XPost: alt.politics, alt.defense, alt.fan.rush-limbaugh
On 6/13/25 6:30 PM, c186282 wrote:
Minutes ago, another rain of ballistic missiles
into Tel Aviv ... looks like at least one made
it past the defenses and smacked somewhere in
the middle of town.
Yesterday it was mostly drones.
The US is apparently positioned to intercept SOME
of this stuff while still in transit to Israel.
In any case, people were wondering whether Iran
would wimp out and negotiate - or follow the
Islamic tradition of revenge-at-all-costs.
Looks to be the latter right now ...
Frankly, Iran may already have some nukes, it's
old tech and they did have everything they needed
for a long time. Iran's problem there would be
twofold ... first, getting a nuke to Israel
reliably ... IronDome and the AF are really good
at intercepting planes, drones and missiles. It
is more random chance if anything gets through.
Second, Israel is a known nuclear power and
would almost surely trade Iran nuke for nuke.
Israeli missiles are better, Iranian defenses
are worse.
Nobody seems sure how MANY missiles Iran has that
can reach as far as Israel. It MIGHT use up its
inventory in a few days. By some reports, the
main factory for making those missiles was hit
by Israel the other day. Iran does have some
missiles that can orbit satellites - thus are
de-facto ICBMs - but I've never heard they
had a lot of those.
Followup :
The missile strike on Tel Aviv I described above
actually managed to hit in the main defense complex.
Reporters did document some damage, but were quickly
run off by authorities.
Also a report on FOX that there are now explosions
in Tehran.
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