• Real Science. A Real Climate Change Model.

    From JTEM is my hero@21:1/5 to All on Thu Jul 20 12:58:09 2023
    Look at a clock.

    No, NOT a digital clock! Look at a real clock,
    a traditional clock with a round face and the
    moving hands...

    The clock strikes 12.

    There. That's the climate. (It's a metafive no
    I mean four. Metaphor. The clock is a
    metaphor)

    The clock strikes 12.

    Now, every second, every minute that tics
    by moves the hands further and further away
    from 12... EVEN AS they move closer and
    closer to striking 12 again.

    This is the glacial/interglacial cycle, which
    characterizes the planet's climate and will
    continue to characterize it until the
    Quaternary Period ends. And to do that, in
    order to end it would require some pretty hefty
    geoengineering.

    We'd have to alter the currents, we'd have
    to change the way the planet distributes
    warmth from the sun. Energy, baby.

    But that's your "Climate Model": A clock.

    And it's accurate. Unlike Gwobull Warbling
    models which have never ever predicted
    anything in advance.

    They're like Nostradamus "Predictions" or
    "Postecies" as many of us like to call them.
    Something WILL HAPPEN and only then,
    only AFTER it has happened they start
    shrieking and jumping up & down; "See?
    See that? We were right!"

    Here:

    https://trove.nla.gov.au/newspaper/article/102074798

    Back in 1988 he Maldives were going to be drowned
    under rising sea levels in the next 30 years -- so by
    the year 2018. That didn't happen. Their models
    were proven dead wrong and the AGW propaganda
    machine wasted no time:

    https://therealnews.com/sea-level-rise-three-times-worse-previous-estimate

    AGW PREDICTION: Maldives will drown under the
    rising seas by 2018!

    OBSERVED FACTS: 2018 has come & gone and the
    Maldives are thriving.

    CONCLUSION; "SEA LEVEL RISE IS WORSE THAN
    WE THOUGHT!!!"

    This is exactly how Nostradamus "Predictions"
    work: Wait and see what eventually happens and
    then take credit for it... no, wait. THIS IS WORSE!
    This is waiting to see how things turned out and
    STILL getting it wrong!

    This is the furthest you can get from science. This
    his faux "History" level crap -- right up there with
    Pawn Stars and Ancient Aliens.









    -- --

    https://jtem.tumblr.com/post/722829763403743232

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  • From jillery@21:1/5 to JTEM on Fri Jul 21 07:00:16 2023
    On Thu, 20 Jul 2023 12:58:09 -0700 (PDT), JTEM wrote:


    Look at a clock.

    No, NOT a digital clock! Look at a real clock,
    a traditional clock with a round face and the
    moving hands...

    The clock strikes 12.

    There. That's the climate. (It's a metafive no
    I mean four. Metaphor. The clock is a
    metaphor)

    The clock strikes 12.

    Now, every second, every minute that tics
    by moves the hands further and further away
    from 12... EVEN AS they move closer and
    closer to striking 12 again.

    This is the glacial/interglacial cycle, which
    characterizes the planet's climate and will
    continue to characterize it until the
    Quaternary Period ends. And to do that, in
    order to end it would require some pretty hefty
    geoengineering.

    We'd have to alter the currents, we'd have
    to change the way the planet distributes
    warmth from the sun. Energy, baby.

    But that's your "Climate Model": A clock.

    And it's accurate. Unlike Gwobull Warbling
    models which have never ever predicted
    anything in advance.

    They're like Nostradamus "Predictions" or
    "Postecies" as many of us like to call them.
    Something WILL HAPPEN and only then,
    only AFTER it has happened they start
    shrieking and jumping up & down; "See?
    See that? We were right!"

    Here:

    https://trove.nla.gov.au/newspaper/article/102074798

    Back in 1988 he Maldives were going to be drowned
    under rising sea levels in the next 30 years -- so by
    the year 2018. That didn't happen. Their models
    were proven dead wrong and the AGW propaganda
    machine wasted no time:

    https://therealnews.com/sea-level-rise-three-times-worse-previous-estimate

    AGW PREDICTION: Maldives will drown under the
    rising seas by 2018!

    OBSERVED FACTS: 2018 has come & gone and the
    Maldives are thriving.


    Cite.


    CONCLUSION; "SEA LEVEL RISE IS WORSE THAN
    WE THOUGHT!!!"

    This is exactly how Nostradamus "Predictions"
    work: Wait and see what eventually happens and
    then take credit for it... no, wait. THIS IS WORSE!
    This is waiting to see how things turned out and
    STILL getting it wrong!

    This is the furthest you can get from science. This
    his faux "History" level crap -- right up there with
    Pawn Stars and Ancient Aliens.


    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change_in_the_Maldives> **************************************
    Most people in the Maldives live on small, flat, densely populated
    atolls that are threatened by violent storms or even the slightest sea
    level rise. The capital Malé is especially threatened because it is on
    a small, flat, extremely densely populated atoll that is surrounded by
    sea walls, and other barriers to protect against storms. This means
    the Malé atoll cannot change shape in response to rising sea levels
    and is increasingly reliant on expensive engineering solutions.[8]

    Climate change will also have significant implications for tourism in
    the Maldives.[9]
    **************************************


    --
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    You're not entitled to your own facts.

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  • From JTEM is my hero@21:1/5 to jillery on Fri Jul 21 09:45:47 2023
    jillery wrote:

    AGW PREDICTION: Maldives will drown under the
    rising seas by 2018!

    OBSERVED FACTS: 2018 has come & gone and the
    Maldives are thriving.
    Cite.
    CONCLUSION; "SEA LEVEL RISE IS WORSE THAN
    WE THOUGHT!!!"

    This is exactly how Nostradamus "Predictions"
    work: Wait and see what eventually happens and
    then take credit for it... no, wait. THIS IS WORSE!
    This is waiting to see how things turned out and
    STILL getting it wrong!

    This is the furthest you can get from science. This
    his faux "History" level crap -- right up there with
    Pawn Stars and Ancient Aliens.


    Most people in the Maldives live on

    What is that twisted, disordered excuse for a mind thinking
    that you're contradicting?

    The Maldives were supposed to be destroyed by rising sea
    level by the year 2018. The prediction was proven FALSE.
    In actual science when your prediction is proven false then
    your hypothesis -- AGW, in this case -- is rejected. But in
    the media, what you obey as science, they double down!





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    https://jtem.tumblr.com/post/723026966788423680

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  • From jillery@21:1/5 to All on Fri Jul 21 23:04:27 2023
    On Fri, 21 Jul 2023 09:45:47 -0700 (PDT), JTEM trolled:
    jillery wrote:

    AGW PREDICTION: Maldives will drown under the
    rising seas by 2018!

    OBSERVED FACTS: 2018 has come & gone and the
    Maldives are thriving.
    Cite.
    CONCLUSION; "SEA LEVEL RISE IS WORSE THAN
    WE THOUGHT!!!"

    This is exactly how Nostradamus "Predictions"
    work: Wait and see what eventually happens and
    then take credit for it... no, wait. THIS IS WORSE!
    This is waiting to see how things turned out and
    STILL getting it wrong!

    This is the furthest you can get from science. This
    his faux "History" level crap -- right up there with
    Pawn Stars and Ancient Aliens.


    <cite restored>
    <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change_in_the_Maldives> **********************************
    Most people in the Maldives live on

    What is that twisted, disordered excuse for a mind thinking
    that you're contradicting?


    To refresh your convenient amnesia:

    "OBSERVED FACTS: 2018 has come & gone and the
    Maldives are thriving."

    Cite how the Maldives are thriving.


    --
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    You're not entitled to your own facts.

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  • From JTEM is my hero@21:1/5 to Mentally unhinged jillery on Sat Jul 22 22:41:59 2023
    Mentally unhinged jillery wrote:

    To refresh your convenient amnesia:
    "OBSERVED FACTS: 2018 has come & gone and the
    Maldives are thriving."

    Cite how the Maldives are thriving.

    Lol!

    You're insane. You're literally insane. You don't even know WHAT
    an argument is, never mind how to make one.

    Google it. Look.

    The Maldives were never destroyed by 2018. It's 2023. They're
    thriving. They've been the recipient of massive foreign investment.

    Google.




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    https://jtem.tumblr.com/post/723491963468447744

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  • From jillery@21:1/5 to All on Sun Jul 23 04:39:49 2023
    On Sat, 22 Jul 2023 22:41:59 -0700 (PDT), JTEM trolled:

    Mentally unhinged jillery wrote:

    To refresh your convenient amnesia:
    "OBSERVED FACTS: 2018 has come & gone and the
    Maldives are thriving."

    Cite how the Maldives are thriving.

    Lol!


    So you can't back up your own claim, and are proud of it. Quelle
    surprise.


    You're insane. You're literally insane. You don't even know WHAT
    an argument is, never mind how to make one.

    Google it. Look.

    The Maldives were never destroyed by 2018. It's 2023. They're
    thriving. They've been the recipient of massive foreign investment.

    Google.


    You first.


    --
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    You're not entitled to your own facts.

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  • From JTEM is my hero@21:1/5 to jillery on Sun Jul 23 10:32:43 2023
    Eats snot, jillery wrote:

    So you can't back up your own claim, and

    You're a raging narcissist.

    Post your cites. You Googled it and found... what?

    You're not asking for cites because you're curious. You're mentally
    ill. You're trying desperately to fool yourself into believing that
    you're not the waste product you know you are, and I'm here to
    ensure you that, yes, you are a waste product.

    #1: "The Maldives will be underwater by 2018"

    #2: 2018 has come and gone, the Maldives are thriving, the
    AGW hypothesis is falsified.

    THIS IS HOW science works. A hypothesis is the basis for
    predictions. These predictions are tests. Fail the test and the
    hypothesis is falsified, discarded.

    You don't know what science is. You have no clue how it
    works or even WHY is exists. You parrot headlines.

    Obediently.





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    https://jtem.tumblr.com/post/721968221374365696/saw-a-ghost-today-in-fact-saw-two

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  • From =?UTF-8?B?w5bDtiBUaWli?=@21:1/5 to JTEM is my hero on Sun Jul 23 16:13:06 2023
    On Sunday, 23 July 2023 at 20:35:49 UTC+3, JTEM is my hero wrote:
    Eats snot, jillery wrote:

    So you can't back up your own claim, and
    You're a raging narcissist.

    Post your cites. You Googled it and found... what?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_level_rise It says that
    Scientists predict by 2100 sea level to raise 0.3 meters to 1.2 meters.
    Cites to papers are in references section.

    You're not asking for cites because you're curious. You're mentally
    ill. You're trying desperately to fool yourself into believing that
    you're not the waste product you know you are, and I'm here to
    ensure you that, yes, you are a waste product.

    #1: "The Maldives will be underwater by 2018"

    Give the cite. Where are the projection models, where is the
    paper, who are authors? What did they actually write? 2.4 meters
    2018?

    #2: 2018 has come and gone, the Maldives are thriving, the
    AGW hypothesis is falsified.

    THIS IS HOW science works. A hypothesis is the basis for
    predictions. These predictions are tests. Fail the test and the
    hypothesis is falsified, discarded.

    You don't know what science is. You have no clue how it
    works or even WHY is exists. You parrot headlines.

    Obediently.

    Why you have to post such imbecile noise instead of cite to
    real papers?

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  • From JTEM is my hero@21:1/5 to All on Sun Jul 23 17:23:38 2023
    Öö Tiib wrote:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_level_rise It says that
    Scientists predict by 2100

    What you're saying here -- the unstated or unenumerated portion
    of your statement is -- that their past history of predictions, their
    proven record of accuracy (inaccuracy) is of vital importance here.

    Do you not grasp this?

    Their "Predictions" only matter, we can only care if they have a
    history of making accurate predictions WHICH THEY DON'T.

    So let's ACCURATELY rephrase your words: "This nameless,
    faceless entity which has never been anything but spectacularly
    wrong about everything, these last 40 years, is now demanding
    that we redraw our economy, redraw society and invent energy
    poverty with highly regressive taxes, because of something that
    never happened but they claim will happen in maybe 80 years."

    And you think it's science?

    You think you're acting rationally?

    Honey, you're well trained, not well informed.




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    https://jtem.tumblr.com/post/162940642662

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  • From =?UTF-8?B?w5bDtiBUaWli?=@21:1/5 to JTEM is my hero on Sun Jul 23 19:27:39 2023
    On Monday, 24 July 2023 at 03:25:49 UTC+3, JTEM is my hero wrote:
    Öö Tiib wrote:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_level_rise It says that
    Scientists predict by 2100
    What you're saying here -- the unstated or unenumerated portion
    of your statement is -- that their past history of predictions, their
    proven record of accuracy (inaccuracy) is of vital importance here.

    Do you not grasp this?

    I do not grasp how you can't provide any cite. You don't have it?


    Their "Predictions" only matter, we can only care if they have a
    history of making accurate predictions WHICH THEY DON'T.

    Scientists always estimate error range. But you do not cite the
    odd paper where they didn't.
    Are you denying unusual heatwaves hitting southern Europe, the US
    and north Africa right now? That is like predicted 40 years ago.

    So let's ACCURATELY rephrase your words: "This nameless,
    faceless entity which has never been anything but spectacularly
    wrong about everything, these last 40 years, is now demanding
    that we redraw our economy, redraw society and invent energy
    poverty with highly regressive taxes, because of something that
    never happened but they claim will happen in maybe 80 years."

    You misrepresent me. Your idea of accuracy?
    Scientists always sign their papers and never demand anything.

    And you think it's science?

    You think you're acting rationally?

    Honey, you're well trained, not well informed.

    You are just denying apparent reality. It is happening how it
    was predicted and it will anyway get about as much warmer
    40 years later too.

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  • From JTEM is my hero@21:1/5 to All on Sun Jul 23 21:33:03 2023
    Öö Tiib wrote:

    I do not grasp

    NO. You don't. You don't grasp how when 40 solid years of
    Gwobull Warbling predictions have been proven false, you
    can't quote a prediction for the future as evidence for
    anything but your own gullibility.

    Go back. Read the initial post in this thread for the first
    time.

    You're asking for proof when the thread began with proof.

    You're clueless.




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    https://jtem.tumblr.com/post/722141766714818560

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  • From jillery@21:1/5 to All on Mon Jul 24 01:21:04 2023
    On Sun, 23 Jul 2023 10:32:43 -0700 (PDT), JTEM trolled yet another
    self-parody:

    Eats snot, jillery wrote:

    So you can't back up your own claim, and

    You're a raging narcissist.

    Post your cites. You Googled it and found... what?


    Since you asked, and once again I post the cite and quote you deleted: <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change_in_the_Maldives> **************************************
    Most people in the Maldives live on small, flat, densely populated
    atolls that are threatened by violent storms or even the slightest sea
    level rise. The capital Malé is especially threatened because it is on
    a small, flat, extremely densely populated atoll that is surrounded by
    sea walls, and other barriers to protect against storms. This means
    the Malé atoll cannot change shape in response to rising sea levels
    and is increasingly reliant on expensive engineering solutions.[8]

    Climate change will also have significant implications for tourism in
    the Maldives.[9]
    **************************************


    You're not asking for cites because you're curious. You're mentally
    ill. You're trying desperately to fool yourself into believing that
    you're not the waste product you know you are, and I'm here to
    ensure you that, yes, you are a waste product.


    Yeah, I get that a lot from willfully stupid trolls.


    #1: "The Maldives will be underwater by 2018"

    #2: 2018 has come and gone, the Maldives are thriving, the
    AGW hypothesis is falsified.


    As my cite shows, the Maldives are NOT thriving, and continue to be
    threatened by rising sea levels.


    THIS IS HOW science works. A hypothesis is the basis for
    predictions. These predictions are tests. Fail the test and the
    hypothesis is falsified, discarded.


    I agree that's how science works. Too bad for you that's not what you
    do in your posts. Your repeatedly stated "hypothesis" is that the
    Maldives are "thriving". They are not, by any reasonable meaning of
    the word. So follow your own advice and discard your "hypothesis".


    You don't know what science is. You have no clue how it
    works or even WHY is exists. You parrot headlines.

    Obediently.


    And you're proud of being a willfully stupid troll.

    --
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    You're not entitled to your own facts.

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  • From JTEM is my hero@21:1/5 to jillery on Sun Jul 23 23:50:18 2023
    jillery wrote:

    Since you asked, and once again I post the cite and quote you deleted:

    You're fucked up. No, you are REALLY fucked up. You're not just stupid
    you're mentally unhinged. And I'll point out why in this instance.

    You cite establishes your agreement with me: The Maldives are still
    there! You agree! Yes, you agree with me that 2018 has come and
    gone, the Maldives are thriving and the "Climate Models" are all
    bullshit.

    The "Climate Prediction" was false and instead of saying, "Gee, we
    screwed up. We WAY exaggerated everything" the media is pretending
    that sea level rise is WORSE THAN THEY THOUGHT!

    They thought the Maldives would be gone already, five years ago,
    and they're not, and they're claiming that their predictions were too conservative!

    So you're proving my point, But you're so goddamn stupid, so fucked
    up that you believe you're contradicting me.

    Again, I am never ever going to grow tired of rubbing your nose in the
    stink, humiliating you for your stupidity.

    You may want to try reading for comprehension and thinking before
    reacting next time.





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    https://jtem.tumblr.com/post/723706649198690304

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  • From =?UTF-8?B?w5bDtiBUaWli?=@21:1/5 to JTEM is my hero on Mon Jul 24 06:32:45 2023
    On Monday, 24 July 2023 at 07:35:50 UTC+3, JTEM is my hero wrote:
    Öö Tiib wrote:

    I do not grasp

    NO. You don't. You don't grasp how when 40 solid years of
    Gwobull Warbling predictions have been proven false, you
    can't quote a prediction for the future as evidence for
    anything but your own gullibility.

    You can not cite papers. I gave link with number of cites.

    Go back. Read the initial post in this thread for the first
    time.

    Some newspaper claimed that "Mr. Hussain Shihab" said it
    30 years ago. He does not represent science. "Mr." is not science
    degree.
    Look at the claim. 2.5 meters with 30 years? That is about 8 cm
    (or 3 inches) per year? Lot of countries would work hard on
    something like Dutch had to do because of their 4 mm / year.

    You're asking for proof when the thread began with proof.

    You're clueless.

    The thread began with shitposting, sorry. It was clearly inspired by
    fossil fuel burning industry propaganda. Whatever such political,
    economical or religious propaganda tells I ask cites. If there are
    none, then I don't believe them. Do you believe TV commercials
    or something? Do not mirror your gullibility to me.

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  • From jillery@21:1/5 to All on Mon Jul 24 09:56:38 2023
    On Sun, 23 Jul 2023 23:50:18 -0700 (PDT), JTEM continued to troll his self-parody:

    jillery wrote:

    Since you asked, and once again I post the cite and quote you deleted:


    Once again you deleted the cite and quote. That suggests you know it
    shows you're wrong and I'm right.


    You're fucked up. No, you are REALLY fucked up. You're not just stupid
    you're mentally unhinged. And I'll point out why in this instance.

    You cite establishes your agreement with me: The Maldives are still
    there! You agree! Yes, you agree with me that 2018 has come and
    gone, the Maldives are thriving and the "Climate Models" are all
    bullshit.


    That the Maldives are "still there" is not in dispute. That the
    Maldives are "thriving", that the Maldives are not threatened by
    rising sea levels, are. Not sure how even you *still* don't
    understand this.

    --
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    You're not entitled to your own facts.

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  • From JTEM is my hero@21:1/5 to All on Tue Jul 25 08:58:40 2023
    Öö Tiib wrote:

    JTEM is my hero wrote:

    You can not cite

    The thread began with two cites.

    You're a fucking idiot.

    You just confessed to lacking reading comprehension and
    retention.

    AGAIN: The thread began with two cites.

    The first one established that the "Climate models" predicted
    the Maldives would be gone by 2018. The second established
    that everything is a lie. It said that sea level was WORSE than
    they thought!





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    https://jtem.tumblr.com/post/723733228961382400

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  • From =?UTF-8?B?w5bDtiBUaWli?=@21:1/5 to JTEM is my hero on Tue Jul 25 14:15:53 2023
    On Tuesday, 25 July 2023 at 19:00:52 UTC+3, JTEM is my hero wrote:
    Öö Tiib wrote:

    JTEM is my hero wrote:
    You can not cite

    The thread began with two cites.

    These were not cites of science. Without publications all is garbage.

    You're a fucking idiot.

    Do not mirror.

    You just confessed to lacking reading comprehension and
    retention.

    You can't provide cites to science.


    AGAIN: The thread began with two cites.

    The first one established that the "Climate models" predicted
    the Maldives would be gone by 2018.

    No cites to science there.

    The second established
    that everything is a lie. It said that sea level was WORSE than
    they thought!

    Can easily be, but no cites to science there either. You never seen
    any scientific papers or just pretend being dumb?

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  • From jillery@21:1/5 to All on Wed Jul 26 04:49:53 2023
    On Tue, 25 Jul 2023 08:58:40 -0700 (PDT), JTEM trolled more
    self-parody:

    Öö Tiib wrote:

    JTEM is my hero wrote:

    You can not cite

    The thread began with two cites.

    You're a fucking idiot.

    You just confessed to lacking reading comprehension and
    retention.

    AGAIN: The thread began with two cites.

    The first one established that the "Climate models" predicted
    the Maldives would be gone by 2018. The second established
    that everything is a lie. It said that sea level was WORSE than
    they thought!


    Posting unauthoritative cites establishes only your credulity. Also,
    you keep conveniently forgetting your "thriving" hypothesis. Why is
    that?

    --
    You're entitled to your own opinions.
    You're not entitled to your own facts.

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  • From JTEM is my hero@21:1/5 to All on Wed Jul 26 21:12:05 2023
    Öö Tiib wrote:

    AGAIN: The thread began with two cites.

    The first one established that the "Climate models" predicted
    the Maldives would be gone by 2018.

    No cites to

    You're in free fall fantasy.

    Two cites. The first to established what was claimed, the second
    to established that the propaganda doubled down, it's telling you
    morons that sea level rise was WORSE than they thought, not
    better.

    "Oh no, the Maldives weren't under a foot of water but now they're
    not under three feet of water! That's worse than we thought!"

    Why are you even in a science group? This isn't helping your
    narcissism, being beaten like a red headed stepchild like this.

    Test ideas. Investigate.





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  • From JTEM is my hero@21:1/5 to Sick. Demented. jillery on Wed Jul 26 21:13:38 2023
    Sick. Demented. jillery wrote:

    AGAIN: The thread began with two cites.

    The first one established that the "Climate models" predicted
    the Maldives would be gone by 2018. The second established
    that everything is a lie. It said that sea level was WORSE than
    they thought!

    Posting

    You're a waste product, a lost cause. Your disordered cage that
    you pretend is a mind won't allow you to do anything but shitpost.

    Don't worry, you can always switch handles and pretend that
    you're popular... like you always do.





    -- --

    https://jtem.tumblr.com/post/723946617934348289

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