XPost: seattle.politics

I sent, it disappeared, I think this time I lucked out
and found a shadow, so I do not have to retype it all
(and too frequently, I do not have the energy to redo!!!
So is this gonna work?

On 11/18/22 01:04, Walt In Seattle wrote:

On Thursday, November 17, 2022 at 4:23:31 PM UTC-8, a425couple wrote:

On 11/17/22 00:39, Walt In Seattle wrote:

On 11/17/22 00:39, Walt In Seattle wrote:

I am surely not positive,
But I do think the statement "We, The World, Are Moving Inexorably
Toward World War And Global Economic Decline" will not prove to be
the case.

I think most first world countries are wanting, and willing,
to take steps to avoid war.
Without their participation, I do not think any conflict would
justify being called a "World War".
And this should be even more true after viewing what is the case
in Ukraine.

What likely conflicts do you see that would likely qualify?

Even if Red China decides to pull the trigger on taking
ownership of Taiwan, and even if POTUS Biden takes the
'newly described' action to defend, I think these two
superpowers will keep the warfare and destruction local.

Think Iran would start a serious war with Israel?
I would not think it likely that it would get that big.

Same with India and Pakistan.

However, I think for much of the world's population,
there will not be a great economic blessing.
Too many people have accepted things that will limit
their prosperity and growth.

I am afraid I can not see good things in the future
of the Arab & Islamic worlds.
A large number of these people will chose their
religion and violence and repression, over toleration.

One of my most recent book reads is certainly depressing.
I can not see real good things for Egypt.
And the same feelings go for Afghanistan and Iraq.


-------------

https://www.amazon.com/Generation-Revolution-Between-Tradition-Change/dp/1543601332

Generation Revolution MP3 CD – Unabridged, May 9, 2017
by Rachel Aspden (Author), Cat Gould (Reader)
3.9 out of 5 stars 9 ratings
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Generation Revolution unravels the complex forces shaping the lives of
four young Egyptians on the eve and in the aftermath of the Arab Spring,
and what their stories mean for the future of the Middle East.

In 2003 Rachel Aspden arrived in Egypt as a 23-year-old journalist. She
found a country on the brink of change. The two thirds of Egypt's eight
million citizens under the age of 30 were stifled, broken, and
frustrated, caught between a dictatorship that had nothing to offer them
and their autocratic parents' generation, defined by tradition and
obedience. In January 2011 the young people's patience ran out. They
thought the revolution that followed would change everything. But as
violence escalated, the economy collapsed, and as the united front
against President Mubarak shattered into sectarianism, many found
themselves at a loss. Following the stories of four young Egyptians -
Amr, the atheist software engineer; Amal, the village girl who defied
her family and her entire community; Ayman, the onetime religious
extremist; and Ruqayah, the would-be teenage martyr - Generation
Revolution exposes the failures of the Arab Spring and shines new light
on those left in the wake of its lost promise.

What I see coming and what I can prove or argue convincingly are two

different things. In addition, my geopolitical vision may be worse than
my actual eyesight. So, we can just leave it there, 425.....

My best wishes to you.
We can leave it anywhere you want to.
You seemed to have asked a question, and although I
let a fair number pass without answering, on this one
I had ideas, and had a few minutes, and had a motivation
to try answering.

IMHO, there will be wars, there will be a lot of
suffering. But I think we will avoid the major
nations raining destruction all over each other.

I am quite sorry for those suffering in Ukraine.
But, it seems to me, they have broken a lot of
the teeth on that greatly feared Russian Bear.
I'm sorry for the average Russian citizen, and
all the dead Russian troops. There is sadness
in having (allowing ??) a dictatorial warmonger
in charge.
(I still have great anger at fucking JFK and LBJ!)

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