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the key is
" Fox News Poll choice for president if you voted now
Nikki Haley 49% Joe Biden 45%
(in comparison to)
Ron Desantis 49% Joe Biden 47%
Donald Trump 48% Joe Biden 49% "


from https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls/fox-news-poll-haley-doubles-gop-primary-biden

Fox News Poll: Support for Haley doubles in GOP primary, she tops Biden
by four
Trump received 59% support among Republican voters
Dana Blanton By Dana Blanton Fox News
Published October 11, 2023 6:00pm EDT


Who is Donald Trump? A deep dive into the life and history of America's
45th president
FOX Nation's 'Who is Donald J. Trump?' explores the life of one of the
most controversial and notorious figures in modern America, who is vying
for his second shot at the White House even as his opponents push to
jail him.

This is one of three Fox News Polls released Wednesday. See results of
Fox News' polling on border security here and on support for Israel here.

Former President Donald Trump maintains his commanding lead in the
Republican presidential contest, but his nomination would unify
Democrats in the general election, according to a new Fox News national
survey.

Trump receives 59% support among GOP primary voters. He’s been above 50% since March and hit a record 60% in September.

Ron DeSantis remains an extremely distant second — he holds steady at
13%. Nikki Haley registers her best showing yet with 10% support (+5
points), while Vivek Ramaswamy falls back into single digits with 7% (-4 points). All others are below 5%.

Fox News Poll 2024 presidential nominee preference primaries
Preference of GOP presidential candidates (Fox News)

About the same number of voters say they plan to participate in the
Democratic (42%) as the Republican primary/caucus (45%) in their state.

HAMAS ATTACK ON ISRAEL ROCKS 2024 PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN, INSTANTLY
ALTERING THE POLITICAL CONVERSATION

Forty-five percent of Democratic primary voters now want to keep
President Joe Biden as their party’s presidential nominee, up from 37%
in February. Still, a majority of 53% prefers someone else at the top of
the ticket.

Fox News Poll 2024 democratic presidential nominee
2024 Democratic presidential nominee (Fox News)

Republican primary voters are more settled, with fully 82% saying they
are satisfied with their candidate choices.

The 2024 general election matchups remain tight. Despite a job approval
rating stuck at 41%, Biden’s support in hypothetical head-to-heads is
between 45-49% against each Republican tested. He is preferred over
Trump by just 1 point, while DeSantis has a 2-point edge over Biden and
Haley tops him by 4 points. This marks the first time in Fox News
polling this year that Trump has fared worse against Biden than his
rivals for the Republican nomination.

Fox News Poll choice for president if you voted now
GOP choice for presidential nominee (Fox News)

No candidate, however, is truly "leading" as each matchup is within the survey’s margin of error.

Notably, Haley has gone from trailing Biden by 6 points in August to
besting him by 4 points today. She also garners the highest number of defections among Democrats (9% support her), while Trump gets the least
(5% of Democrats back him). Bottom line, Democrats are most unified when
Biden is running against Trump.

Fox News Poll 2024 choice for president
2024 choice for president (Fox News)

Plus, more voters overall say it would be "extremely" important to show
up and vote in a Biden-Trump contest (80%) than if the race is Biden vs. DeSantis (67%) or Haley (63%) — and that heightened motivation holds
true for Democrats, Republicans, and independents.

Fox News Poll choice for president vs Biden
Fox News Poll choice for president vs Biden (Fox News)

"A Biden-Trump rematch starts at pressure-cooker level and keeps
Democrats highly united," says Chris Anderson, a Democrat who conducts
Fox News surveys with Republican Daron Shaw. "If Republicans somehow
pick someone other than Trump, the pressure immediately drops, and some Democrats might toy with backing the Republican -- that doesn’t happen
if Trump’s the nominee."

Meanwhile, compared to the final Biden-Trump 2020 Fox NEws pre-election
survey, Biden's advantage over Trump has narrowed most significantly
among Black voters (-17 points), women (-15), and voters under age 45 (-12).

While independents favor the Republican candidate over Biden in each
matchup, a caution that those single-digit advantages are insignificant
among such a small subgroup.

The new survey, released Wednesday, included two potential three-way
matchups with third-party candidates Cornel West and Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Kennedy, who announced Monday he will run as an independent instead of
as a Democrat, takes about equally from both sides, as 13% of Democrats
and 11% of Republicans back him over their party’s candidate. Biden and
Trump tie at 41% in this scenario and Kennedy gets 16%.

With West in the race (9%), Biden trails Trump by 2 points (43-45%).
Again, roughly equal numbers of Democrats (7%) and Republicans (5%)
defect for West. Trump’s narrow advantage comes from independents
preferring him (35%) over both West (28%) and Biden (26%).

Fox News Poll choice for president if you voted now
Support for presidential candidates if voting now (Fox News)

Independents are more likely to go for Kennedy (41%) than West (28%).
That is at the expense of Trump, who performs 9 points better among independents against West than Kennedy.

"A lot of pundits and practitioners speculate West would draw from Biden
and Kennedy would draw from Trump," says Shaw. "That may prove out over
the long run, but third party or independent candidates tend to draw disproportionately from those who are more independent and less engaged,
and that checks out in this poll."

Donald Trump wearing a red make america great again hat
Former President Trump. (Sean Rayford)

Poll-pourri

Majorities believe there is a disconnect between the electorate and the
leading Democratic and Republican presidential candidates. Sixty-four
percent of voters say Biden is out of touch with everyday Americans and
59% feel that way about Trump.

CLICK HERE TO GET THE FOX NEWS APP

More Democrats think Biden is out of touch (30%) than Republicans say
the same about Trump (24%), and more independents feel Biden (81%) is
detached than Trump (68%).

Twenty-four percent of those saying Biden is out of touch still back him
over Trump, while for Trump that number is 17%.

CLICK HERE FOR TOPLINE AND CROSSTABS

Conducted October 6-9, 2023, under the joint direction of Beacon
Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News Poll
includes interviews with 1,007 registered voters nationwide who were
randomly selected from a voter file and spoke with live interviewers on
both landlines and cellphones. The poll has a margin of sampling error
of plus or minus 3 percentage points for all registered voters and plus
or minus 4.5 points for Democratic and Republican primary voters.

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