https://www.reddit.com/r/LockdownSkepticism/comments/1e6p8u5/covid_inquiry_report_finds_significant_flaws_in/
UK 'failed citizens' with flawed pandemic plans
21 hours ago
By Nick Triggle,
Health correspondent,
@nicktriggle
�
Jim Reed,
Health reporter
Share
Getty Images A person paints on a heart at the National Covid Memorial
wall Getty Images
Significant flaws in the UK�s pandemic planning meant Covid caused more >deaths and economic costs than it should have, the first report of the
Covid Inquiry says.
The 217-page report called for radical reform of the systems, saying the
UK government and devolved nations �failed their citizens�.
It said the UK planned for the wrong pandemic � a mild one where spread
of a new virus was inevitable - and this led to the UK turning to
�untested� lockdowns.
Part of the blame, it said, was groupthink by scientists and too little >challenge from ministers.
How the UK planned for the wrong pandemic
Government �failed its citizens� on Covid by planning for wrong
pandemic, report finds
What is the UK Covid inquiry and what powers does it have?
However, it also pointed out the UK lacked resilience � with high rates
of ill-health and public services running close to, if not beyond, capacity. >By the end of 2023, 235,000 people had died from Covid.
This is the first of at least nine inquiry reports covering everything
from political decision-making to vaccines.
Inquiry chair Baroness Hallett said the UK was �ill-prepared for dealing
with a catastrophic emergency, let alone the coronavirus pandemic�.
�Never again can a disease be allowed to lead to so many deaths and so
much suffering,� she added.
Her report makes a series of recommendations, including:
Taking responsibility for pandemic planning away from the Department of >Health and Social Care, which leads for the UK
Creating a ministerial-level body in each nation, chaired by the leader
or deputy leader, with responsibility for all types of civil emergency
that every department feeds into
A new independent body to advise on civil emergencies and assess the
state of preparation and resilience, which includes both socio-economic
and scientific expertise
Three-yearly pandemic response exercises to stress-test plans in place >Baroness Hallett said she wants to see her recommendations acted on
quickly, with many in place within six months or a year.
�The expert evidence suggests it is not a question of if another
pandemic will strike, but when," she added.
'They failed everyone'
The families and loved-ones of those who died from Covid have welcomed >publication of the report.
Prof Naomi Fulop, a spokeswoman for the Covid 19 Bereaved Families for >Justice group , said the report was �hard-hitting and clear-sighted� and >urged the new government to adopt the recommendations.
However, she said the inquiry did not go far enough in terms of what >undermined the UK�s ability to respond � the inequalities within society
and the state of public services.
�Even the best-laid plans won�t save lives unless they address, rather
than just account for, the conditions that led to our inability to
respond quickly, equitably and effectively.�
Kazeema Afzal, who lost her sister Areema Nasreen, who at 36 was one of
the youngest NHS workers to die with Covid when she lost her life at the >start of the pandemic, told BBC Newsbeat that healthcare workers were >unprepared.
"They failed everyone," she said.
"The families that lost their loved ones - they were failed. The people
that worked in the NHS 100% agree with that.
"We've lost a nurse that worked from the heart - Areema was passionate
about her job.
"She's not here now and she would have done so much. She would have made
a huge difference in NHS services."
SUPPLIED Areema Nasreen with her sister SUPPLIED
Areema Nasreen (right) and her sister Kazeema Afzal (left) worked at a >hospital in the West Midlands
The wrong strategy
Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said: "My heartfelt sympathies go out to
all those who lost a loved one during that time.
�The report confirms what many have always believed - that the UK was >under-prepared.
�The safety and security of the country should always be the first
priority - and this government is committed to learning the lessons and >putting better measures in place to protect and prepare us."
Baroness Hallett's report contrasted the approach taken by the UK with >countries in East Asia which had learnt from outbreaks of two
coronaviruses � Sars and Mers � over the past two decades.
They had plans in place to quickly ramp up test-and-trace systems, and >established processes for quarantine.
This significantly slowed the spread of Covid, limiting the impact of
the pandemic in the first few months and, in places, limiting the use of >lockdowns.
Instead, the UK pandemic strategy dated back to 2011 and was based on
the idea that spread of a new virus was inevitable, rather than one
already known about.
PA Media Baroness HallettPA Media
This is Baroness Hallet's first Covid Inquiry report - at least another
eight will follow
The report said the UK government and its advisers had been �lulled�
into a false sense of security by the swine flu pandemic of 2011, which >turned out to be mild.
Her report said the UK needed to be ready to scale up test-and-trace
systems as well as surge NHS capacity in the future.
It also called for plans to be put in place to protect the most
vulnerable people.
Groupthink
The report said part of the blame for these failings lay with the
groupthink that was prevalent in its planning.
The scientific advice received by ministers was too narrowly focused and >there was too little consideration given to the socio-economic impacts,
it said.
The report said ministers did not do enough to challenge what they were
being told, and there was not sufficient freedom or autonomy in the way
the various advisory groups were set up for dissenting voices to be heard. >The creation of an independent body drawing in expertise from science, >economics and society would help rectify that, the report said.
Michael Ejercito wrote:
https://www.reddit.com/r/LockdownSkepticism/comments/1e6p8u5/covid_inquiry_report_finds_significant_flaws_in/
UK 'failed citizens' with flawed pandemic plans
21 hours ago
By Nick Triggle,
Health correspondent,
@nicktriggle
•
Jim Reed,
Health reporter
Share
Getty Images A person paints on a heart at the National Covid Memorial
wall Getty Images
Significant flaws in the UK’s pandemic planning meant Covid caused more
deaths and economic costs than it should have, the first report of the
Covid Inquiry says.
The 217-page report called for radical reform of the systems, saying the
UK government and devolved nations “failed their citizens”.
It said the UK planned for the wrong pandemic – a mild one where spread
of a new virus was inevitable - and this led to the UK turning to
“untested” lockdowns.
Part of the blame, it said, was groupthink by scientists and too little
challenge from ministers.
How the UK planned for the wrong pandemic
Government ‘failed its citizens’ on Covid by planning for wrong
pandemic, report finds
What is the UK Covid inquiry and what powers does it have?
However, it also pointed out the UK lacked resilience – with high rates
of ill-health and public services running close to, if not beyond, capacity. >> By the end of 2023, 235,000 people had died from Covid.
This is the first of at least nine inquiry reports covering everything >>from political decision-making to vaccines.
Inquiry chair Baroness Hallett said the UK was “ill-prepared for dealing >> with a catastrophic emergency, let alone the coronavirus pandemic”.
“Never again can a disease be allowed to lead to so many deaths and so
much suffering,” she added.
Her report makes a series of recommendations, including:
Taking responsibility for pandemic planning away from the Department of
Health and Social Care, which leads for the UK
Creating a ministerial-level body in each nation, chaired by the leader
or deputy leader, with responsibility for all types of civil emergency
that every department feeds into
A new independent body to advise on civil emergencies and assess the
state of preparation and resilience, which includes both socio-economic
and scientific expertise
Three-yearly pandemic response exercises to stress-test plans in place
Baroness Hallett said she wants to see her recommendations acted on
quickly, with many in place within six months or a year.
“The expert evidence suggests it is not a question of if another
pandemic will strike, but when," she added.
'They failed everyone'
The families and loved-ones of those who died from Covid have welcomed
publication of the report.
Prof Naomi Fulop, a spokeswoman for the Covid 19 Bereaved Families for
Justice group , said the report was “hard-hitting and clear-sighted” and >> urged the new government to adopt the recommendations.
However, she said the inquiry did not go far enough in terms of what
undermined the UK’s ability to respond – the inequalities within society >> and the state of public services.
“Even the best-laid plans won’t save lives unless they address, rather >> than just account for, the conditions that led to our inability to
respond quickly, equitably and effectively.”
Kazeema Afzal, who lost her sister Areema Nasreen, who at 36 was one of
the youngest NHS workers to die with Covid when she lost her life at the
start of the pandemic, told BBC Newsbeat that healthcare workers were
unprepared.
"They failed everyone," she said.
"The families that lost their loved ones - they were failed. The people
that worked in the NHS 100% agree with that.
"We've lost a nurse that worked from the heart - Areema was passionate
about her job.
"She's not here now and she would have done so much. She would have made
a huge difference in NHS services."
SUPPLIED Areema Nasreen with her sister SUPPLIED
Areema Nasreen (right) and her sister Kazeema Afzal (left) worked at a
hospital in the West Midlands
The wrong strategy
Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said: "My heartfelt sympathies go out to
all those who lost a loved one during that time.
“The report confirms what many have always believed - that the UK was
under-prepared.
“The safety and security of the country should always be the first
priority - and this government is committed to learning the lessons and
putting better measures in place to protect and prepare us."
Baroness Hallett's report contrasted the approach taken by the UK with
countries in East Asia which had learnt from outbreaks of two
coronaviruses – Sars and Mers – over the past two decades.
They had plans in place to quickly ramp up test-and-trace systems, and
established processes for quarantine.
This significantly slowed the spread of Covid, limiting the impact of
the pandemic in the first few months and, in places, limiting the use of
lockdowns.
Instead, the UK pandemic strategy dated back to 2011 and was based on
the idea that spread of a new virus was inevitable, rather than one
already known about.
PA Media Baroness HallettPA Media
This is Baroness Hallet's first Covid Inquiry report - at least another
eight will follow
The report said the UK government and its advisers had been “lulled”
into a false sense of security by the swine flu pandemic of 2011, which
turned out to be mild.
Her report said the UK needed to be ready to scale up test-and-trace
systems as well as surge NHS capacity in the future.
It also called for plans to be put in place to protect the most
vulnerable people.
Groupthink
The report said part of the blame for these failings lay with the
groupthink that was prevalent in its planning.
The scientific advice received by ministers was too narrowly focused and
there was too little consideration given to the socio-economic impacts,
it said.
The report said ministers did not do enough to challenge what they were
being told, and there was not sufficient freedom or autonomy in the way
the various advisory groups were set up for dissenting voices to be heard. >> The creation of an independent body drawing in expertise from science,
economics and society would help rectify that, the report said.
In the interim, we are 100% prepared/protected in the "full armor of
GOD" (Ephesians 6:11) which we put on as soon as we use Apostle Paul's
secret (Philippians 4:12). Though masking is less protective, it helps
us avoid the appearance of doing the evil of spreading airborne
pathogens while there are people getting sick because of not being
100% protected. It is written that we're to "abstain from **all**
appearance of doing evil" (1 Thessalonians 5:22 w/**emphasis**).
Meanwhile, the only *perfect* (Matt 5:47-8 ) way to eradicate the
COVID-19 virus, thereby saving lives, in the UK & elsewhere is by
rapidly (i.e. use the "Rapid COVID-19 Test" ) finding out at any given moment, including even while on-line, who among us are unwittingly
contagious (i.e pre-symptomatic or asymptomatic) in order to
"convince it forward" (John 15:12) for them to call their doctor and self-quarantine per their doctor in hopes of stopping this pandemic.
Thus, we're hoping for the best while preparing for the worse-case
scenario of the Alpha lineage mutations and others like the Omicron,
Gamma, Beta, Epsilon, Iota, Lambda, Mu & Delta lineage mutations
combining via slip-RNA-replication to form hybrids like "Deltamicron"
that may render current COVID vaccines/monoclonals/medicines/pills no
longer effective.
Indeed, I am wonderfully hungry ( https://groups.google.com/g/sci.med.cardiology/c/6ZoE95d-VKc/m/14vVZoyOBgAJ
) and hope you, Michael, also have a healthy appetite too.
So how are you ?
HeartDoc Andrew, in the Holy Spirit, boldly wrote:
Michael Ejercito wrote:
https://www.reddit.com/r/LockdownSkepticism/comments/1e6p8u5/covid_inquiry_report_finds_significant_flaws_in/
UK 'failed citizens' with flawed pandemic plans
21 hours ago
By Nick Triggle,
Health correspondent,
@nicktriggle
�
Jim Reed,
Health reporter
Share
Getty Images A person paints on a heart at the National Covid Memorial
wall Getty Images
Significant flaws in the UK�s pandemic planning meant Covid caused more
deaths and economic costs than it should have, the first report of the
Covid Inquiry says.
The 217-page report called for radical reform of the systems, saying the >>> UK government and devolved nations �failed their citizens�.
It said the UK planned for the wrong pandemic � a mild one where spread
of a new virus was inevitable - and this led to the UK turning to
�untested� lockdowns.
Part of the blame, it said, was groupthink by scientists and too little
challenge from ministers.
How the UK planned for the wrong pandemic
Government �failed its citizens� on Covid by planning for wrong
pandemic, report finds
What is the UK Covid inquiry and what powers does it have?
However, it also pointed out the UK lacked resilience � with high rates
of ill-health and public services running close to, if not beyond, capacity.
By the end of 2023, 235,000 people had died from Covid.
This is the first of at least nine inquiry reports covering everything >>>from political decision-making to vaccines.
Inquiry chair Baroness Hallett said the UK was �ill-prepared for dealing >>> with a catastrophic emergency, let alone the coronavirus pandemic�.
�Never again can a disease be allowed to lead to so many deaths and so
much suffering,� she added.
Her report makes a series of recommendations, including:
Taking responsibility for pandemic planning away from the Department of
Health and Social Care, which leads for the UK
Creating a ministerial-level body in each nation, chaired by the leader
or deputy leader, with responsibility for all types of civil emergency
that every department feeds into
A new independent body to advise on civil emergencies and assess the
state of preparation and resilience, which includes both socio-economic
and scientific expertise
Three-yearly pandemic response exercises to stress-test plans in place
Baroness Hallett said she wants to see her recommendations acted on
quickly, with many in place within six months or a year.
�The expert evidence suggests it is not a question of if another
pandemic will strike, but when," she added.
'They failed everyone'
The families and loved-ones of those who died from Covid have welcomed
publication of the report.
Prof Naomi Fulop, a spokeswoman for the Covid 19 Bereaved Families for
Justice group , said the report was �hard-hitting and clear-sighted� and >>> urged the new government to adopt the recommendations.
However, she said the inquiry did not go far enough in terms of what
undermined the UK�s ability to respond � the inequalities within society >>> and the state of public services.
�Even the best-laid plans won�t save lives unless they address, rather
than just account for, the conditions that led to our inability to
respond quickly, equitably and effectively.�
Kazeema Afzal, who lost her sister Areema Nasreen, who at 36 was one of
the youngest NHS workers to die with Covid when she lost her life at the >>> start of the pandemic, told BBC Newsbeat that healthcare workers were
unprepared.
"They failed everyone," she said.
"The families that lost their loved ones - they were failed. The people
that worked in the NHS 100% agree with that.
"We've lost a nurse that worked from the heart - Areema was passionate
about her job.
"She's not here now and she would have done so much. She would have made >>> a huge difference in NHS services."
SUPPLIED Areema Nasreen with her sister SUPPLIED
Areema Nasreen (right) and her sister Kazeema Afzal (left) worked at a
hospital in the West Midlands
The wrong strategy
Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer said: "My heartfelt sympathies go out to >>> all those who lost a loved one during that time.
�The report confirms what many have always believed - that the UK was
under-prepared.
�The safety and security of the country should always be the first
priority - and this government is committed to learning the lessons and
putting better measures in place to protect and prepare us."
Baroness Hallett's report contrasted the approach taken by the UK with
countries in East Asia which had learnt from outbreaks of two
coronaviruses � Sars and Mers � over the past two decades.
They had plans in place to quickly ramp up test-and-trace systems, and
established processes for quarantine.
This significantly slowed the spread of Covid, limiting the impact of
the pandemic in the first few months and, in places, limiting the use of >>> lockdowns.
Instead, the UK pandemic strategy dated back to 2011 and was based on
the idea that spread of a new virus was inevitable, rather than one
already known about.
PA Media Baroness HallettPA Media
This is Baroness Hallet's first Covid Inquiry report - at least another
eight will follow
The report said the UK government and its advisers had been �lulled�
into a false sense of security by the swine flu pandemic of 2011, which
turned out to be mild.
Her report said the UK needed to be ready to scale up test-and-trace
systems as well as surge NHS capacity in the future.
It also called for plans to be put in place to protect the most
vulnerable people.
Groupthink
The report said part of the blame for these failings lay with the
groupthink that was prevalent in its planning.
The scientific advice received by ministers was too narrowly focused and >>> there was too little consideration given to the socio-economic impacts,
it said.
The report said ministers did not do enough to challenge what they were
being told, and there was not sufficient freedom or autonomy in the way
the various advisory groups were set up for dissenting voices to be heard. >>> The creation of an independent body drawing in expertise from science,
economics and society would help rectify that, the report said.
In the interim, we are 100% prepared/protected in the "full armor of
GOD" (Ephesians 6:11) which we put on as soon as we use Apostle Paul's
secret (Philippians 4:12). Though masking is less protective, it helps
us avoid the appearance of doing the evil of spreading airborne
pathogens while there are people getting sick because of not being
100% protected. It is written that we're to "abstain from **all**
appearance of doing evil" (1 Thessalonians 5:22 w/**emphasis**).
Meanwhile, the only *perfect* (Matt 5:47-8 ) way to eradicate the
COVID-19 virus, thereby saving lives, in the UK & elsewhere is by
rapidly (i.e. use the "Rapid COVID-19 Test" ) finding out at any given
moment, including even while on-line, who among us are unwittingly
contagious (i.e pre-symptomatic or asymptomatic) in order to
"convince it forward" (John 15:12) for them to call their doctor and
self-quarantine per their doctor in hopes of stopping this pandemic.
Thus, we're hoping for the best while preparing for the worse-case
scenario of the Alpha lineage mutations and others like the Omicron,
Gamma, Beta, Epsilon, Iota, Lambda, Mu & Delta lineage mutations
combining via slip-RNA-replication to form hybrids like "Deltamicron"
that may render current COVID vaccines/monoclonals/medicines/pills no
longer effective.
Indeed, I am wonderfully hungry (
https://groups.google.com/g/sci.med.cardiology/c/6ZoE95d-VKc/m/14vVZoyOBgAJ >> ) and hope you, Michael, also have a healthy appetite too.
So how are you ?
I am wonderfully hungry!
HeartDoc Andrew, in the Holy Spirit, boldly wrote:
Subject: The LORD says "Blessed are you who hunger now ..."
Shame on andrew, look at his red face.
He is trying to pull a fast one. His scripture bit is found among these:
'14 Bible verses about Spiritual Hunger'
Psalms
81:10 I am the LORD thy God, which brought thee out of the land of Egypt: >open thy mouth wide, and I will fill it.
Proverbs
13:25 The righteous has enough to satisfy his appetite, But the stomach of >the wicked is in need.
Joel
2:26 And ye shall eat in plenty, and be satisfied, and praise the name of
the LORD your God, that hath dealt wondrously with you: and my
people shall never be ashamed.
Psalms
107 For he satisfies the thirsty and fills the hungry with good things.
Acts
14:17 "Yet he did not leave himself without witness, for he did good by >giving you rains from heaven and fruitful seasons, satisfying
your hearts with food and gladness."
someone eternally condemned & ever more cursed by GOD perseverated:
HeartDoc Andrew, in the Holy Spirit, boldly wrote:
Subject: a very very very simple definition of sin ...
Does andrew's "definition" agree with scripture? Let's see in 1 John:
John wrote this to christians. The greek grammer (sic) speaks of an ongoing >> status. He includes himself in that status.
1:8 If we say that we have no sin, we deceive ourselves, and the truth is
not in us.
1:9 If we confess our sins, he is faithful and just to forgive us our sins, >> and to cleanse us from all unrighteousness.
1:10 If we say that we have not sinned, we make him a liar, and his word is >> not in us.
HeartDoc Andrew, in the Holy Spirit, boldly wrote:
Subject: The LORD says "Blessed are you who hunger now ..."
Shame on andrew, look at his red face.
He is trying to pull a fast one. His scripture bit is found among these:
'14 Bible verses about Spiritual Hunger'
Psalms
81:10 I am the LORD thy God, which brought thee out of the land of Egypt: >open thy mouth wide, and I will fill it.
Proverbs
13:25 The righteous has enough to satisfy his appetite, But the stomach of >the wicked is in need.
Joel
2:26 And ye shall eat in plenty, and be satisfied, and praise the name of
the LORD your God, that hath dealt wondrously with you: and my
people shall never be ashamed.
Psalms
107 For he satisfies the thirsty and fills the hungry with good things.
Acts
14:17 "Yet he did not leave himself without witness, for he did good by >giving you rains from heaven and fruitful seasons, satisfying
your hearts with food and gladness."
someone eternally condemned & ever more cursed by GOD perseverated:
HeartDoc Andrew, in the Holy Spirit, boldly wrote:
Subject: a very very very simple definition of sin ...
Does andrew's "definition" agree with scripture? Let's see in 1 John:
John wrote this to christians. The greek grammer (sic) speaks of an ongoing >> status. He includes himself in that status.
1:8 If we say that we have no sin, we deceive ourselves, and the truth is
not in us.
1:9 If we confess our sins, he is faithful and just to forgive us our sins, >> and to cleanse us from all unrighteousness.
1:10 If we say that we have not sinned, we make him a liar, and his word is >> not in us.
HeartDoc Andrew, in the Holy Spirit, boldly wrote:
Michael Ejercito wrote:
https://www.reddit.com/r/LockdownSkepticism/comments/1g7m74h/vaccinating_care_home_residents_reduced_deaths/
Vaccinating care home residents reduced deaths, but the effect was small >>> � new study
Published: October 18, 2024 8:42am EDT
Authors
David Paton
Chair of Industrial Economics, Nottingham University Business School,
University of Nottingham
Sourafel Girma
Professor of Industrial Economics, Faculty of Social Sciences,
University of Nottingham
Disclosure statement
David Paton is a member of HART (Health Advisory and Recovery Team).
Sourafel Girma does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive
funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this
article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their
academic appointment.
Partners
University of Nottingham
University of Nottingham provides funding as a founding partner of The
Conversation UK.
View all partners
CC BY ND
We believe in the free flow of information
Republish our articles for free, online or in print, under a Creative
Commons license.
X (Twitter)
Facebook15
Vaccinating older people probably did avert some deaths in 2021, but the >>> effects were small. And even those small effects on mortality seem to
have dissipated during the booster programme. That�s the conclusion of
our new study, published in the European Economic Review.
COVID-related deaths decreased significantly in most of Europe and the
US from the middle of 2021. Although this reduction coincided with the
rollout of COVID vaccines, it has proved surprisingly difficult to
identify the extent to which vaccination contributed to the drop in deaths. >>>
Randomised controlled trials (the gold standard for testing new
treatments) suggest COVID vaccination can provide significant protection >>> against serious illness and death relative to unvaccinated people who
have not previously been infected with COVID. But there are reasons the
effect of vaccination on mortality may be lower when viewed outside of
trials.
Early in the programme, there were hopes that vaccination would also
prove highly effective in preventing the spread of COVID but it has
since become clear that vaccination provides only limited and short-term >>> protection against infection and transmission.
Don�t let yourself be misled. Understand issues with help from experts
It is also well established that a previous infection provides
protection both against reinfection and against serious illness and
death in the event of reinfection that is at least as effective as
vaccination. Having a previous infection significantly reduces the
likelihood of being vaccinated meaning the vaccinated population will
include a relatively high proportion of people without protection from
prior infection. So even if vaccination provides protection at an
individual level, we may still observe population-level mortality rates
that are similar for vaccinated and unvaccinated groups.
The effectiveness of vaccination programmes may also be limited by
people�s behaviour. For example, there is evidence that vaccinated
people who get infected are more likely to have mild symptoms and this
may cause them to take fewer precautions than others against spreading
infection. As a result, vaccination may sometimes be associated with
more rather than less transmission.
Taken together, even if vaccination reduces the risk on an individual
basis, it does not necessarily follow that it will reduce deaths at a
population level. Existing research reflects this ambiguity with some
research finding very significant effects of vaccination on death while
other findings conclude there was little or no effect at all.
Our new study attempts to improve our knowledge about the effect of
COVID vaccination programmes by estimating the effect of vaccination
take up on deaths in care homes. This is a particularly important group
to examine. Given that the vast majority of COVID-related deaths occur
in the elderly, any effect on deaths is highly likely to be seen in care >>> homes.
An ampoule of AstraZeneca vaccine with a syringe.
COVID vaccines reduced serious illness and deaths, but they did little
to stop infection and transmission. Marc Bruxelle /Alamy Stock Photo
Machine learning used to analyse the data
We examined deaths from COVID in care homes across nearly 150 local
authorities in England from the start of the vaccine rollout in December >>> 2020 until after the second booster dose in summer 2022. We tested
whether higher rates of vaccination of staff and elderly residents led
to fewer deaths both in total and from COVID.
One feature of our research is the use of machine learning (a type of
artificial intelligence) to isolate the effect of vaccination from other >>> factors that may also have affected mortality including levels of prior
infection as well as demographic, economic and health differences among
local authorities.
Machine learning is particularly adept at separating out the effects of
a high number of potential explanatory variables, providing much better
evidence of when associations represent true causal relationships. In
contrast to some other research, we also use a measure of vaccination
that takes account of the fact that effectiveness wanes over time.
We found that higher vaccination rates of residents (but not of staff)
did indeed lead to fewer deaths, but the effect was relatively small.
For example, an increase in the resident vaccination take-up rate of 10% >>> in a local authority caused, on average, a reduction of 1% in the total
care home mortality rate. That is equivalent to about 22 fewer deaths
per week nationwide.
Of course, any reduction in deaths is welcome. But vaccination does not
appear to be the key factor in reducing care home deaths from COVID. We
also found that the reduction in deaths was restricted to the initial
vaccination rollout.
From September 2021, when the booster vaccination programme started in
England, higher vaccination rates of elderly residents do not seem to
have led to any reduction in deaths. Based on these results, vaccination >>> is unlikely to have been responsible for the sustained fall in
COVID-related deaths.
Why then did Europe and the US experience large reductions in COVID
deaths since 2021, even during times when infection rates have soared?
There are two explanations. The first is the growth of variants such as
omicron that, although highly infectious, are less deadly than variants
responsible for the early waves.
Second, is the rise in the cumulative number of people who gained
protection from having had previous infections.
These explanations are consistent with the experience of places such as
Hong Kong, New Zealand and Taiwan. All saw relatively low COVID
infections and deaths in 2020, meaning only limited levels of natural
immunity had been built up. All then experienced high mortality rates
during 2022, well after most people in those places had been vaccinated. >>>
For example, the seven-day average mortality rate in Hong Kong reached
40 deaths per million in March 2022, a rate far above the highest peak
seen in the US during the whole pandemic despite cumulative vaccination
rates at that time being similar.
Even though vaccination probably reduced care home deaths by a small
amount in the early rollout period, there is little evidence that the
booster programme had any significant effect on COVID-related deaths.
In the interim, we are 100% prepared/protected in the "full armor of
GOD" (Ephesians 6:11) which we put on as soon as we use Apostle Paul's
secret (Philippians 4:12). Though masking is less protective, it helps
us avoid the appearance of doing the evil of spreading airborne
pathogens while there are people getting sick because of not being
100% protected. It is written that we're to "abstain from **all**
appearance of doing evil" (1 Thessalonians 5:22 w/**emphasis**).
Meanwhile, the only *perfect* (Matt 5:47-8 ) way to eradicate the
COVID-19 virus, thereby saving lives, in the UK & elsewhere is by
rapidly (i.e. use the "Rapid COVID-19 Test" ) finding out at any given
moment, including even while on-line, who among us are unwittingly
contagious (i.e pre-symptomatic or asymptomatic) in order to
"convince it forward" (John 15:12) for them to call their doctor and
self-quarantine per their doctor in hopes of stopping this pandemic.
Thus, we're hoping for the best while preparing for the worse-case
scenario of the Alpha lineage mutations and others like the Omicron,
Gamma, Beta, Epsilon, Iota, Lambda, Mu & Delta lineage mutations
combining via slip-RNA-replication to form hybrids like "Deltamicron"
that may render current COVID vaccines/monoclonals/medicines/pills no
longer effective.
Indeed, I am wonderfully hungry (
https://groups.google.com/g/sci.med.cardiology/c/6ZoE95d-VKc/m/14vVZoyOBgAJ >> ) and hope you, Michael, also have a healthy appetite too.
So how are you ?
I am wonderfully hungry!
| Sysop: | Keyop |
|---|---|
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