Is NOC/Proudman/NTSLF sitting on evidence of such changes in the last 5
years or so, from the UK tide gauge network.?
An anomalous increase in mean sea level around the UK. Perhaps due to freshening of the sea water via the Baltic and Greenland.
The reason for this, via email contact a year ago, was to be explained
by a researcher at the Proudman Labs, Liverpool in the latest 2023/2024
State of the UK climate by the UK Met Office, but nothing emerged on
that in that latest report.
Worse than that a cover up by the supposed pre-eminent UK NTSLF
Go to
https://ntslf.org/storm-surges/surge-model/monthly-surge-plots
and select the month report for August 2024, any port.
On the 29 Aug 2024 at 6am GMT there was a "glitch", an impssible
vertical transition , explained nowhere in the text.
In recent years they must have found it so embarassing that the RMS
error between the Exeter big-data surge prediction and actuality was
getting so large, approx 6 inches, they decided to magically remove the
latest error for each ports reporting onwards to the present, that
glitch. ie an official cover-up.
Up to August 2024 about the only tool that could be relied upon was the
NTSLF surge predictions. But now the ridiclous situation that they don't
even observe the most basic of oceanographic principles of inverse
barometer, ie in quiet weather periods the surge predictions no longer
show 0.0m residuals for 1013mBar air pressure and cm/mB pro rata for
higher and lower pressures in quiet weather.
So about 0.16m for Nwelyn and 0.13m anomaly for Portsmouth as examples. Perghaps they hope its temporary and will go down again.
https://ntslf.org/files/surgeforecast/ntslf_newlyn.1.3.png
It seems the case that storms bring extra denser saltier water onto the
bubbler gauges and decrease the anomaly short term.
Similarly, the other way, excessive rainfall over NW Europe decreases
salinity leading to short term elevation of the tide gauge records.
Casual rather than causal linkage in the plot , just my theory.
--
Global sea level rise to 2100 from curve-fitted existing altimetry data <
http://diverse.4mg.com/slr.htm>
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