• Re: OT: assessment of Trump 2 at 2 months

    From Scall5@21:1/5 to Sawfish on Tue Mar 18 18:35:03 2025
    On 3/18/2025 11:32 AM, Sawfish wrote:
    Since the reality for the common man is, and always has been,
    everywhere, and at all times, that we're pissants and have to find ways
    to survive/prosper thru all regimes, it's beneficial to periodically
    examine the state of the nation and the regime in control.

    Or, alternatively, you can just choose a side, and then *trust* them...

    There's an odd thing about Trump 2, and that's his great haste in
    addressing what he considers problems.  Stepping back, and considering
    his actions objectively, without considering who it is on a personal level--because let's face it; Trump is so divisive that those who
    dislike him are pretty much worthless at analyzing his regime--the way
    he is behaving could plausibly be explained as:

    a) a man who accepts that he has at most four years (two while he has majority support in congress, then afterward, who knows?)  to accomplish
    his goals; or

    b) a man who does not expect to relinquish power, at all.

    In neither case does he care, at all, about public opinion, and this is underscored by the fact that while he is using executive authority more forcefully that any president since FDR, he seldom even offers any
    rebuttals to criticism for these actions. He ignores them and plows
    forward. He seems to feel no need or obligation to make an explanation.

    He does *not* act like a man seeking re-election. This is very, very clear.

    Now, if the first case, "a", is true, this might be explained by a goal
    to reboot the US political system, no matter what the personal cost to himself. It might also be explained as he being a man who has a terminal illness.

    For the second case, "b", he could being planning to retain power in
    either a quasi-legal manner (attempting to change the 22nd amendment,
    which limits him to 2 terms), or to unlawfully retain power in some more direct fashion. The latter would require the aid of the military almost certainly.

    So we have to try to guess the direction so as to make our survival/
    success more assured. We must look for indicators.

    One indication that he may not relinquish power would be ignoring court orders. He is doing this, or at the minimum, he is finessing each
    situation for long enough that the action under court order is
    completed--a fait accompli. A done deal, so what?

    Another indication would be enhancing his current relationship with the military. He has installed a secretary of defense who personally owes
    him, and who seems well-connected to the more macho and traditionalist elements of the military--which is itself one of the most macho and traditionalist segments of the US society.

    He has also replaced the sitting chairman of the joint chiefs of staff
    with a person of his own own choosing, which if track records mean
    anything, he is a Trump loyalist.

    So from my perspective all of this is really up in the air. Personally,
    I favor much of what he seems to be doing--although the entire tariff
    thingie seems pointlessly risky to me, in an economic sense, and so I
    wish it would go away. But forcefully announcing an end to favoritism
    based on whether one is a member of an officially recognized oppressed identity group--which list has grown by the month--and to the complete
    idiocy of self-selecting one's sex--not sexual identity, mind you, but
    making a claim to the sex, itself, however grotesque and clumsy--and expecting everyone else in society to play along with this ruse, is just plain *good* policy, as I see it.

    I think he'll push pretty hard to make the tax laws of 2017 permanent,
    and this is a significant benefit to anyone with a pass-thru single
    member LLC. I consider that as a plus.

    He does indeed seem to be interested, personally, in securing something closer to "peace" between foreign powers than the status quo. However,
    he reserves the right to use force to benefit the US, as he sees it.

    See? This is very, very disorienting, and it's why I like processes to
    follow clearly defined courses, not ad hoc actions. To come to a decent understanding of what personal actions to take to give me the best
    chance of continued success is very taxing and worrisome. But then, as a counter-balance, I *am* getting a lot of what I have wanted, which in a nutshell is a cultural re-set, so it's tricky times, indeed.

    Valid points, all. I do like the idea of DOGE, but I think they are
    being way too hasty about it. I think tariffs should only be used, in a
    *much* more calculated manner, when leveling the playing field with
    other nations. I appreciate him doing something about the boarder, the
    USA has made many enemies since 1945 and hence need secure borders.

    Trump is a person I never liked because his threats and refusal to admit incorrect or totally wrong statements. Nor do I agree with his
    governmental style; bull in a china shop. I think his handling of COVID
    when early on he was on-board with Fauci regarding shutting everything
    down in March of 2020 was very poor. Worse, he did not push for things
    to return to normal during the rest of his term although he did start
    speaking out against Fauci and the WHO/CDC.

    His behavior on January 6, 2021 was despicable. But as one co-worker
    said to me, Europe around 2005 or so started to have some elected
    leaders who act similar to Trump. So they implied that this may become
    the new 'normal'. That is point worth pondering further...
    --
    ---------------
    Scall5

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scall5@21:1/5 to All on Wed Mar 19 17:47:23 2025
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    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scall5@21:1/5 to Sawfish on Wed Mar 19 18:55:04 2025
    On 3/19/2025 6:20 PM, Sawfish wrote:
    On 3/19/25 3:47 PM, Scall5 wrote:
    On 3/19/2025 10:12 AM, PeteWasLucky wrote:
    Scall5 <[email protected]> Wrote in message:r
    On 3/18/2025 11:32 AM, Sawfish wrote:> Since the reality for the
    common man is, and always has been, > everywhere, and at all times,
    that we're pissants and have to find ways > to survive/prosper thru
    all regimes, it's beneficial to periodically > examine the state of
    the nation and the regime in control.> > Or, alternatively, you can
    just choose a side, and then *trust* them...> > There's an odd thing
    about Trump 2, and that's his great haste in > addressing what he
    considers problems.  Stepping back, and considering > his actions
    objectively, without considering who it is on a personal > level--
    because let's face it; Trump is so divisive that those who > dislike
    him are pretty much worthless at analyzing his regime--the way > he
    is behaving could plausibly be explained as:> > a) a man who accepts
    that he has at most four years (two while he has > majority support
    in congress, then afterward, who knows?)  to accomplish > his goals;
    b) a man who does not expect to relinquish power, at all.> >
    In neither case does he care, at all, about public opinion, and this
    is > underscored by the fact that while he is using executive
    authority more > forcefully that any president since FDR, he seldom
    even offers any > rebuttals to criticism for these actions. He
    ignores them and plows > forward. He seems to feel no need or
    obligation to make an explanation.> > He does *not* act like a man
    seeking re-election. This is very, very clear.> > Now, if the first
    case, "a", is true, this might be explained by a goal > to reboot
    the US political system, no matter what the personal cost to >
    himself. It might also be explained as he being a man who has a
    terminal > illness.> > For the second case, "b", he could being
    planning to retain power in > either a quasi-legal manner
    (attempting to change the 22nd amendment, > which limits him to 2
    terms), or to unlawfully retain power in some more > direct fashion.
    The latter would require the aid of the military almost >
    certainly.> > So we have to try to guess the direction so as to make
    our survival/ > success more assured. We must look for indicators.>
    One indication that he may not relinquish power would be ignoring
    court > orders. He is doing this, or at the minimum, he is finessing
    each > situation for long enough that the action under court order
    is > completed--a fait accompli. A done deal, so what?> > Another
    indication would be enhancing his current relationship with the >
    military. He has installed a secretary of defense who personally
    owes > him, and who seems well-connected to the more macho and
    traditionalist > elements of the military--which is itself one of
    the most macho and > traditionalist segments of the US society.> >
    He has also replaced the sitting chairman of the joint chiefs of
    staff > with a person of his own own choosing, which if track
    records mean > anything, he is a Trump loyalist.> > So from my
    perspective all of this is really up in the air. Personally, > I
    favor much of what he seems to be doing--although the entire tariff
    thingie seems pointlessly risky to me, in an economic sense, and
    so I > wish it would go away. But forcefully announcing an end to
    favoritism > based on whether one is a member of an officially
    recognized oppressed > identity group--which list has grown by the
    month--and to the complete > idiocy of self-selecting one's sex--not
    sexual identity, mind you, but > making a claim to the sex, itself,
    however grotesque and clumsy--and > expecting everyone else in
    society to play along with this ruse, is just > plain *good* policy,
    as I see it.> > I think he'll push pretty hard to make the tax laws
    of 2017 permanent, > and this is a significant benefit to anyone
    with a pass-thru single > member LLC. I consider that as a plus.> >
    He does indeed seem to be interested, personally, in securing
    something > closer to "peace" between foreign powers than the status
    quo. However, > he reserves the right to use force to benefit the
    US, as he sees it.> > See? This is very, very disorienting, and it's
    why I like processes to > follow clearly defined courses, not ad hoc
    actions. To come to a decent > understanding of what personal
    actions to take to give me the best > chance of continued success is
    very taxing and worrisome. But then, as a > counter-balance, I *am*
    getting a lot of what I have wanted, which in a > nutshell is a
    cultural re-set, so it's tricky times, indeed.Valid points, all. I
    do like the idea of DOGE, but I think they are being way too hasty
    about it. I think tariffs should only be used, in a *much* more
    calculated manner, when leveling the playing field with other
    nations. I appreciate him doing something about the boarder, the USA
    has made many enemies since 1945 and hence need secure borders.Trump
    is a person I never liked because his threats and refusal to admit
    incorrect or totally wrong statements. Nor do I agree with his
    governmental style; bull in a china shop. I think his handling of
    COVID when early on he was on-board with Fauci regarding shutting
    everything down in March of 2020 was very poor. Worse, he did not
    push for things to return to normal during the rest of his term
    although he did start speaking out against Fauci and the WHO/CDC.His
    behavior on January 6, 2021 was despicable. But as one co-worker
    said to me, Europe around 2005 or so started to have some elected
    leaders who act similar to Trump. So they implied that this may
    become the new 'normal'. That is point worth pondering further...--
    ---------------Scall5

    Is this really you Scall5? I am surprised to be honest.

    You shouldn't be surprised; as I have voted Libertarian since 1996 and
    have been a $ supporting member of the Libertarian Party since 200(?).
    I have used this nick on rst since the middle 1990's, if not earlier.

    Like I have stated NUMEROUS times on rst, I will NOT vote for a GOP or
    Demo Presidential candidate until I feel that the political duopoly is
    willing to reduce the federal deficit.  Still waiting for that to happen! >>
    Not sure why you have pigeon holed me into something else than that.

    Ah, Scall, shame on you.

    RST is *all about* pigeon-holing people so as to make them better targets.

    Straw-manning and pigeon-holing, yep.

    ;^)

    I must admit Sawfish that every time I post logical thoughts, the others
    often simply stop replying to that thread...regardless of their viewpoint.
    --
    ---------------
    Scall5

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scall5@21:1/5 to Sawfish on Wed Mar 19 18:49:17 2025
    On 3/18/2025 7:45 PM, Sawfish wrote:
    On 3/18/25 4:35 PM, Scall5 wrote:
    On 3/18/2025 11:32 AM, Sawfish wrote:
    Since the reality for the common man is, and always has been,
    everywhere, and at all times, that we're pissants and have to find
    ways to survive/prosper thru all regimes, it's beneficial to
    periodically examine the state of the nation and the regime in control.

    Or, alternatively, you can just choose a side, and then *trust* them...

    There's an odd thing about Trump 2, and that's his great haste in
    addressing what he considers problems.  Stepping back, and
    considering his actions objectively, without considering who it is on
    a personal level--because let's face it; Trump is so divisive that
    those who dislike him are pretty much worthless at analyzing his
    regime--the way he is behaving could plausibly be explained as:

    a) a man who accepts that he has at most four years (two while he has
    majority support in congress, then afterward, who knows?)  to
    accomplish his goals; or

    b) a man who does not expect to relinquish power, at all.

    In neither case does he care, at all, about public opinion, and this
    is underscored by the fact that while he is using executive authority
    more forcefully that any president since FDR, he seldom even offers
    any rebuttals to criticism for these actions. He ignores them and
    plows forward. He seems to feel no need or obligation to make an
    explanation.

    He does *not* act like a man seeking re-election. This is very, very
    clear.

    Now, if the first case, "a", is true, this might be explained by a
    goal to reboot the US political system, no matter what the personal
    cost to himself. It might also be explained as he being a man who has
    a terminal illness.

    For the second case, "b", he could being planning to retain power in
    either a quasi-legal manner (attempting to change the 22nd amendment,
    which limits him to 2 terms), or to unlawfully retain power in some
    more direct fashion. The latter would require the aid of the military
    almost certainly.

    So we have to try to guess the direction so as to make our survival/
    success more assured. We must look for indicators.

    One indication that he may not relinquish power would be ignoring
    court orders. He is doing this, or at the minimum, he is finessing
    each situation for long enough that the action under court order is
    completed--a fait accompli. A done deal, so what?

    Another indication would be enhancing his current relationship with
    the military. He has installed a secretary of defense who personally
    owes him, and who seems well-connected to the more macho and
    traditionalist elements of the military--which is itself one of the
    most macho and traditionalist segments of the US society.

    He has also replaced the sitting chairman of the joint chiefs of
    staff with a person of his own own choosing, which if track records
    mean anything, he is a Trump loyalist.

    So from my perspective all of this is really up in the air.
    Personally, I favor much of what he seems to be doing--although the
    entire tariff thingie seems pointlessly risky to me, in an economic
    sense, and so I wish it would go away. But forcefully announcing an
    end to favoritism based on whether one is a member of an officially
    recognized oppressed identity group--which list has grown by the
    month--and to the complete idiocy of self-selecting one's sex--not
    sexual identity, mind you, but making a claim to the sex, itself,
    however grotesque and clumsy--and expecting everyone else in society
    to play along with this ruse, is just plain *good* policy, as I see it.

    I think he'll push pretty hard to make the tax laws of 2017
    permanent, and this is a significant benefit to anyone with a pass-
    thru single member LLC. I consider that as a plus.

    He does indeed seem to be interested, personally, in securing
    something closer to "peace" between foreign powers than the status
    quo. However, he reserves the right to use force to benefit the US,
    as he sees it.

    See? This is very, very disorienting, and it's why I like processes
    to follow clearly defined courses, not ad hoc actions. To come to a
    decent understanding of what personal actions to take to give me the
    best chance of continued success is very taxing and worrisome. But
    then, as a counter-balance, I *am* getting a lot of what I have
    wanted, which in a nutshell is a cultural re-set, so it's tricky
    times, indeed.

    Valid points, all. I do like the idea of DOGE, but I think they are
    being way too hasty about it. I think tariffs should only be used, in
    a *much* more calculated manner, when leveling the playing field with
    other nations. I appreciate him doing something about the boarder, the
    USA has made many enemies since 1945 and hence need secure borders.

    Trump is a person I never liked because his threats and refusal to
    admit incorrect or totally wrong statements. Nor do I agree with his
    governmental style; bull in a china shop. I think his handling of
    COVID when early on he was on-board with Fauci regarding shutting
    everything down in March of 2020 was very poor. Worse, he did not push
    for things to return to normal during the rest of his term although he
    did start speaking out against Fauci and the WHO/CDC.

    His behavior on January 6, 2021 was despicable. But as one co-worker
    said to me, Europe around 2005 or so started to have some elected
    leaders who act similar to Trump. So they implied that this may become
    the new 'normal'. That is point worth pondering further...

    Good points concerning Trump's personality and what he did in the past.
    Good point about tariffs.

    But what I'm really interested is in where does this go?  To what degree
    do I need to *really* plan? Can I coast thru it, or do I need to
    rearrange stuff? Hard to do because things are working pretty well as
    is, so...

    That's the thing, NO ONE really knows what is going to happen in 1, 5,
    or 10 years from now. Dollar cost averaging is the best bet, from what I
    have been told by various investment analyst (including Squawk Box). If
    one, like you are, is already in retirement, I have no aid to offer...

    Weird times, hey, Scall?  Have you ever seen anything like it, yourself?
    Not me; all new shit now...

    I recall in 1987 when the stock market crashed everyone was worried for
    a few days. But some smart chaps I knew said "Now is the time to buy". I
    wanted to buy but I was a poor college student so could not.

    I recall in 2001-2002 the same scenario happened with the .com bubble.
    But many people kept dollar cost investing. I recall in 2020 the same
    scenario happened but many people kept dollar cost investing. Eventually
    the stock market worked it's way out of a hole.

    As far as the cultural/sociological bullshit that is trying to pull
    people apart? The clock-like swing from left to right, right to left,
    will never go away. Nature of the human species. PLUS - the GOP/Demos
    will only pay lip service because they know that this is the way to keep
    the people under their thumbs while they all become multi-millionaires.
    Look at all the multi-millionaires in the Senate and House - that proves
    my opinion...
    --
    ---------------
    Scall5

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Scall5@21:1/5 to Sawfish on Wed Mar 19 19:59:02 2025
    On 3/19/2025 7:33 PM, Sawfish wrote:
    On 3/19/25 4:55 PM, Scall5 wrote:
    On 3/19/2025 6:20 PM, Sawfish wrote:
    On 3/19/25 3:47 PM, Scall5 wrote:
    On 3/19/2025 10:12 AM, PeteWasLucky wrote:
    Scall5 <[email protected]> Wrote in message:r
    On 3/18/2025 11:32 AM, Sawfish wrote:> Since the reality for the
    common man is, and always has been, > everywhere, and at all
    times, that we're pissants and have to find ways > to survive/
    prosper thru all regimes, it's beneficial to periodically >
    examine the state of the nation and the regime in control.> > Or,
    alternatively, you can just choose a side, and then *trust*
    them...> > There's an odd thing about Trump 2, and that's his
    great haste in > addressing what he considers problems.  Stepping >>>>>> back, and considering > his actions objectively, without
    considering who it is on a personal > level-- because let's face
    it; Trump is so divisive that those who > dislike him are pretty
    much worthless at analyzing his regime--the way > he is behaving
    could plausibly be explained as:> > a) a man who accepts that he
    has at most four years (two while he has > majority support in
    congress, then afterward, who knows?)  to accomplish > his goals; >>>>>> or> > b) a man who does not expect to relinquish power, at all.> > >>>>>> In neither case does he care, at all, about public opinion, and
    this is > underscored by the fact that while he is using executive >>>>>> authority more > forcefully that any president since FDR, he
    seldom even offers any > rebuttals to criticism for these actions. >>>>>> He ignores them and plows > forward. He seems to feel no need or
    obligation to make an explanation.> > He does *not* act like a man >>>>>> seeking re-election. This is very, very clear.> > Now, if the
    first case, "a", is true, this might be explained by a goal > to
    reboot the US political system, no matter what the personal cost
    to > himself. It might also be explained as he being a man who has >>>>>> a terminal > illness.> > For the second case, "b", he could being
    planning to retain power in > either a quasi-legal manner
    (attempting to change the 22nd amendment, > which limits him to 2
    terms), or to unlawfully retain power in some more > direct
    fashion. The latter would require the aid of the military almost > >>>>>> certainly.> > So we have to try to guess the direction so as to
    make our survival/ > success more assured. We must look for
    indicators.> > One indication that he may not relinquish power
    would be ignoring court > orders. He is doing this, or at the
    minimum, he is finessing each > situation for long enough that the >>>>>> action under court order is > completed--a fait accompli. A done
    deal, so what?> > Another indication would be enhancing his
    current relationship with the > military. He has installed a
    secretary of defense who personally owes > him, and who seems
    well-connected to the more macho and traditionalist > elements of
    the military--which is itself one of the most macho and >
    traditionalist segments of the US society.> > He has also replaced >>>>>> the sitting chairman of the joint chiefs of staff > with a person
    of his own own choosing, which if track records mean > anything,
    he is a Trump loyalist.> > So from my perspective all of this is
    really up in the air. Personally, > I favor much of what he seems
    to be doing--although the entire tariff > thingie seems
    pointlessly risky to me, in an economic sense, and so I > wish it
    would go away. But forcefully announcing an end to favoritism >
    based on whether one is a member of an officially recognized
    oppressed > identity group--which list has grown by the month--and >>>>>> to the complete > idiocy of self-selecting one's sex--not sexual
    identity, mind you, but > making a claim to the sex, itself,
    however grotesque and clumsy--and > expecting everyone else in
    society to play along with this ruse, is just > plain *good*
    policy, as I see it.> > I think he'll push pretty hard to make the >>>>>> tax laws of 2017 permanent, > and this is a significant benefit to >>>>>> anyone with a pass-thru single > member LLC. I consider that as a
    plus.> > He does indeed seem to be interested, personally, in
    securing something > closer to "peace" between foreign powers than >>>>>> the status quo. However, > he reserves the right to use force to
    benefit the US, as he sees it.> > See? This is very, very
    disorienting, and it's why I like processes to > follow clearly
    defined courses, not ad hoc actions. To come to a decent >
    understanding of what personal actions to take to give me the best >>>>>> > chance of continued success is very taxing and worrisome. But
    then, as a > counter-balance, I *am* getting a lot of what I have
    wanted, which in a > nutshell is a cultural re-set, so it's tricky >>>>>> times, indeed.Valid points, all. I do like the idea of DOGE, but I >>>>>> think they are being way too hasty about it. I think tariffs
    should only be used, in a *much* more calculated manner, when
    leveling the playing field with other nations. I appreciate him
    doing something about the boarder, the USA has made many enemies
    since 1945 and hence need secure borders.Trump is a person I never >>>>>> liked because his threats and refusal to admit incorrect or
    totally wrong statements. Nor do I agree with his governmental
    style; bull in a china shop. I think his handling of COVID when
    early on he was on-board with Fauci regarding shutting everything
    down in March of 2020 was very poor. Worse, he did not push for
    things to return to normal during the rest of his term although he >>>>>> did start speaking out against Fauci and the WHO/CDC.His behavior
    on January 6, 2021 was despicable. But as one co-worker said to
    me, Europe around 2005 or so started to have some elected leaders
    who act similar to Trump. So they implied that this may become the >>>>>> new 'normal'. That is point worth pondering further...--
    ---------------Scall5

    Is this really you Scall5? I am surprised to be honest.

    You shouldn't be surprised; as I have voted Libertarian since 1996
    and have been a $ supporting member of the Libertarian Party since
    200(?). I have used this nick on rst since the middle 1990's, if not
    earlier.

    Like I have stated NUMEROUS times on rst, I will NOT vote for a GOP
    or Demo Presidential candidate until I feel that the political
    duopoly is willing to reduce the federal deficit.  Still waiting for
    that to happen!

    Not sure why you have pigeon holed me into something else than that.

    Ah, Scall, shame on you.

    RST is *all about* pigeon-holing people so as to make them better
    targets.

    Straw-manning and pigeon-holing, yep.

    ;^)

    I must admit Sawfish that every time I post logical thoughts, the
    others often simply stop replying to that thread...regardless of their
    viewpoint.

    There is a *very* fine line between offering enough provocation to
    ensure a response, but not so much as to immediately turn it into the
    usenet version of the 1945 Tokyo firebombing.

    At some point I would like to seriously discuss libertarianism with you. Upfront, I won't veer away from my survival-by-opportunism formula,
    which, while it's somewhat distasteful to me at times, it has paid big dividends over the long haul. But the *ideals* of libertarianism appeal
    to my personal values very much.

    Here's a question that has bothered me for quite a while: do you think
    it's possible for a Libertarian society to function *unless* the vast majority adheres to its tenets? And that *voluntary* non-practitioners
    must by necessity be excluded from the social system?

    Basically, no work, no eat.

    To me, it looks like libertarianism as an all-encompassing system cannot
    work without full enrollment of the populace. I can get into reasons, if needed, but for sake of analysis, if it is not possible for the bulk of society to to adhere to these tenets, can the individual even practice
    those tenets without getting constantly screwed by the majority?

    Like what is happening now, but much worse?

    I think for libertariansim, it has to be either the majority belief, or
    it must be practiced in isolation, 'way back up in the hills.

    What do you think?

    I think you force-feed Ann Rand's "libertarianism" into the current
    Libertarian Party political focus. Some of which I disagree with.
    Thus, you lose focus regarding my view points. I want a balanced budget
    and a smaller federal government with greater states and local rights. Constitutional adherence. That is my stance.

    https://lp.org
    --
    ---------------
    Scall5

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)