• Re: Wrong Again: 50 Years of Failed Eco-pocalyptic Predictions - Compet

    From TT@21:1/5 to All on Fri Jul 5 16:05:34 2024
    PeteWasLucky kirjoitti 5.7.2024 klo 9.40:
    https://cei.org/blog/wrong-again-50-years-of-failed-eco-pocalyptic-predictions/

    I trust Thunberg & Gore 100%. Free Palestine!

    Too bad that actual data doesn't support emergence of climate catastrophe...

    -The Great Barrier Reef is stronger than ever
    -The number of strong tornadoes hasn't varied much since the 1970s
    -Number of tropical cyclones has decreased 13% since 1900
    -No material increase in droughts in the USA between 1895-2020

    etc

    https://youtu.be/2lseti5zvY0?t=360

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  • From *skriptis@21:1/5 to Sawfish on Fri Jul 5 21:40:49 2024
    Sawfish <[email protected]> Wrote in message:r
    On 7/5/24 9:42 AM, PeteWasLucky wrote:> TT <[email protected]> Wrote in message:r>> PeteWasLucky kirjoitti 5.7.2024 klo 9.40:> https://cei.org/blog/wrong-again-50-years-of-failed-eco-pocalyptic-predictions/I trust Thunberg & Gore 100%. Free Palestine!Too bad
    that actual data doesn't support emergence of climate catastrophe...-The Great Barrier Reef is stronger than ever-The number of strong tornadoes hasn't varied much since the 1970s-Number of tropical cyclones has decreased 13% since 1900-No material
    increase in droughts in the USA between 1895-2020etchttps://youtu.be/2lseti5zvY0?t=360> Yes but there are individuals and full organizations that are> profiting from these fake theories and bad models and they got> big percentage of people fooled and
    brainwashed.I think it's important to note that if climate change is a valid representation of what's currently happening, AND a group of people one does not like support publicizing this--yes, and exaggerating it to some degree to profit from it--do not
    make the fact(s) of climate change invalid.It simply means that you don't like--will never like--those hyping it and coincidentally profiting from it.Where I'm coming from...Many times I've explained that my gut reaction was to oppose the ideas of
    climate change. This is because a) I could see no change, myself, in *any* sense; and b) like many here, I loathe and despise the people who stridently try to nag me into knuckling under to their version of reality.I told myself that until I, objectively,
    could identify changes that I, myself, could detect indisputably, I'd view it a lot like the Y2K thingie later turned out--much ado about almost nothing. That was right around the late 90s.Gradually I began to see small changes, isolated, no clear
    trends. But all of them, were indeed consistent with an increase in temps.Then I saw images of mountain glaciers I'd known since childhood in CA, then later in Oregon. All instances were dramatically reduced, and I'm not talking about a short-term
    natural variation. I mean 50-100% reductions.Hmmmmm....I noted that many of my upstairs rental units were getting intolerably hot more often than formerly and I gradually phased in some form of A/C over a period of 6-7 years. I would not do this if I
    didn't feel that I had to to retain decent tenants. I'm a tightwad by nature.Then my own house required remediation. First an attic whole house fan around 2005, then room fans, and finally 2 years ago, A/C. I noted that many other homeowners were doing
    this, and that up until the early 2000s, very, very few homes in PDX had cooling systems--just as unneeded as coastal property in CA.In point of fact I had never owned a property that had a cooling system of any kind until 2005.Then I noticed that all
    the temp trends on Accuweather showed "warmer than average" on more days than not--with even record-setting temperature happened multiple times per summer, back to back, for maybe 4-5 years. In 2021 I endured 6 days in a row above 100, topping out at 116.
    This is latitude 46 N, 60 miles from the cold Pacific. Tomorrow will break the record, which was set last year, for 06 July.Well before this point I got curious about the mechanics (physics) of the claimed climate change argument. This was maybe 2010. I
    read as much stuff as I could and I determined that very much of it was sound.Bear in mind that I really *wanted* to find everything was bogus, made-up, so that the turds who were nagging would be wrong. But this exploration of the greenhouse gas
    phenomenon, when it was first identified (early 1800s?) and repeated tested and verified (ever since then) convinced me that this is what would happen if greenhouse gases were introduced into a closed system. And that seems to me like what's going on.So
    what we've got is a cyclical variation that would predict a decline in temp at the same time that the temperatures are increasing consistently (and by my own observation, they sure-as-shit are), the ppm of greenhouse gases is demonstrably up (consistent
    with what would happen in the greenhouse gas model) and in the aggregate it looks to me like we're in a warming TREND. What's more we can see the probable cause of the trend (GH gases ppm), and unless these begin to drop or stabilize, all else being
    equal, the trend will continue.Now add to that, by their own repeated harping and nagging, if we went ZERO emissions worldwide, right now, the warming would continue for 500-1000 years. They made this claim maybe 10-15 years ago.So, we're fucked for 500-
    1000 years anyway. It doesn't matter any more except in theoretical degree, which in EVERY case is well over any known threshold of human experience.Now, I still hate and loathe the know-it-all doomsayers who, by great good luck actually stumbled onto a
    serious and REAL threat, so that they could fulfill their miserable lives by kvetching (like that, skript?..;^) ) about it every minute of the day.But yep, it's there and happening, and yep they're exaggerating it to benefit their own position, and yep,
    part of this is to make money off of it.And yep, I still don't like them.




    It's an incredible hoax, the whole thing.


    They succeed at it because people are so self-centered and arrogant.

    People want to create history, or at least be part of it.

    They want to see Grand Slam, supernova in the sky, first person X doing thing Y etc.




    The hoax of climate change allows them to experience that. It suggests we could be part of something so big, important, responsible but also having a chance to do something.

    Whites especially have this need to atone for their sins, not for something they actually did, quite often even beyond that, it's atoning for the sin of mere existing.

    Christianity solved that for us, but atheists rejected Christianity so they're in search of something else.



    But seriously, I understand even the emotional and existential stuff, but why do people think they're so important even when facts tell them otherwise?

    Have they not checked temperatures in Roman era when people walked semi naked, then colder medieval age with more robes on them, even at same places e.g. Italy.

    That alone is enough to realize temperature variations have existed throughout our recent, written history.

    And you don't have to go back to ice age and primitive men, meaning humanity experienced even greater variation.



    Stuff always happens. A volcano emits crazy amounts of CO2 I even forgot the exact details. But a good series of volcanos (which will happen eventually) will emit far more CO2 than our entire civilization. What then?


    Greenland (hint) used to be green. Now it's frozen wasteland. Would it be horrible if it was green again?

    Why?



    Climate "change" is bad insofar when it happens rapidly hurting people, but nothing such happens really.

    Solar cycles are of immense importance too, sun creates life on earth and creates conditions here. When you step aside and think further, we're on a tiny rock traveling at crazy speeds though space together with sun, our solar system, the curve of our
    path is crazy.

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=vQJez9iiS7Y



    If CO2 is such a huge issue, plant more trees, period and don't talk at all about it. CO2 itself is not even a pollutant.


    But they talk about it, instead of talking about real pollution. So at that point, when they don't mention microplastics in environment entering every living thing, messing with our body and system, but they talk about CO2, at that point i understand it'
    s a malicious hoax.

    Even if parts of it are true, if some facts now are there are maybe correct, the whole thing is a hoax and must be fully rejected.


    Plastic waste, dangers of it, and and mining which is destroying entire natural habitats and hills and mountains are crushed down in pursuit of elements necessary for all that electric hoax shit.

    Don't have to read it, just to make my point.

    https://www.mining-technology.com/analyst-comment/lithium-mining-negative-environmental-impact/











    --




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  • From TT@21:1/5 to All on Sat Jul 6 02:50:22 2024
    Sawfish kirjoitti 5.7.2024 klo 21.09:
    On 7/5/24 9:42 AM, PeteWasLucky wrote:
    TT <[email protected]> Wrote in message:r
    PeteWasLucky kirjoitti 5.7.2024 klo 9.40:>
    https://cei.org/blog/wrong-again-50-years-of-failed-eco-pocalyptic-predictions/I trust Thunberg & Gore 100%. Free Palestine!Too bad that actual data doesn't support emergence of climate catastrophe...-The Great Barrier Reef is stronger than ever-The
    number of strong tornadoes hasn't varied much since the 1970s-Number of tropical cyclones has decreased 13% since 1900-No material increase in droughts in the USA between 1895-2020etchttps://youtu.be/2lseti5zvY0?t=360
    Yes but there are individuals and full organizations that are
      profiting from these fake theories and bad models and they got
      big percentage of people fooled and brainwashed.

    I think it's important to note that if climate change is a valid representation of what's currently happening, AND a group of people one
    does not like support publicizing this--yes, and exaggerating it to some degree to profit from it--do not make the fact(s) of climate change
    invalid.

    It simply means that you don't like--will never like--those hyping it
    and coincidentally profiting from it.

    Where I'm coming from...

    Many times I've explained that my gut reaction was to oppose the ideas
    of climate change. This is because a) I could see no change, myself, in
    *any* sense; and b) like many here, I loathe and despise the people who stridently try to nag me into knuckling under to their version of reality.

    I told myself that until I, objectively, could identify changes that I, myself, could detect indisputably, I'd view it a lot like the Y2K
    thingie later turned out--much ado about almost nothing. That was right around the late 90s.

    Gradually I began to see small changes, isolated, no clear trends. But
    all of them, were indeed consistent with an increase in temps.

    Then I saw images of mountain glaciers I'd known since childhood in CA,
    then later in Oregon. All instances were dramatically reduced, and I'm
    not talking about a short-term natural variation.  I mean 50-100% reductions.

    Hmmmmm....

    I noted that many of my upstairs rental units were getting intolerably
    hot more often than formerly and I gradually phased in some form of A/C
    over a period of 6-7 years. I would not do this if I didn't feel that I
    had to to retain decent tenants. I'm a tightwad by nature.

    Then my own house required remediation. First an attic whole house fan
    around 2005, then room fans, and finally 2 years ago, A/C. I noted that
    many other homeowners were doing this, and that up until the early
    2000s, very, very few homes in PDX had cooling systems--just as unneeded
    as coastal property in CA.

    In point of fact I had never owned a property that had a cooling system
    of any kind until 2005.

    Then I noticed that all the temp trends on Accuweather showed "warmer
    than average" on more days than not--with even record-setting
    temperature happened multiple times per summer, back to back, for maybe
    4-5 years. In 2021 I endured 6 days in a row above 100, topping out at
    116. This is latitude 46 N, 60 miles from the cold Pacific. Tomorrow
    will break the record, which was set last year, for 06 July.

    Well before this point I got curious about the mechanics (physics) of
    the claimed climate change argument. This was maybe 2010. I read as much stuff as I could and I determined that very much of it was sound.

    Bear in mind that I really *wanted* to find everything was bogus,
    made-up, so that the turds who were nagging would be wrong. But this exploration of the greenhouse gas phenomenon, when it was first
    identified (early 1800s?) and repeated tested and verified (ever since
    then) convinced me that this is what would happen if greenhouse gases
    were introduced into a closed system. And that seems to me like what's
    going on.

    So what we've got is a cyclical variation that would predict a decline
    in temp at the same time that the temperatures are increasing
    consistently (and by my own observation, they sure-as-shit are), the ppm
    of greenhouse gases is demonstrably up (consistent with what would
    happen in the greenhouse gas model) and in the aggregate it looks to me
    like we're in a warming TREND.  What's more we can see the probable
    cause of the trend (GH gases ppm), and unless these begin to drop or stabilize, all else being equal, the trend will continue.

    Now add to that, by their own repeated harping and nagging, if we went
    ZERO emissions worldwide, right now, the warming would continue for
    500-1000 years.  They made this claim maybe 10-15 years ago.

    So, we're fucked for 500-1000 years anyway. It doesn't matter any more
    except in theoretical degree, which in EVERY case is well over any known threshold of human experience.

    Now, I still hate and loathe the know-it-all doomsayers who, by great
    good luck actually stumbled onto a serious and REAL threat, so that they could fulfill their miserable lives by kvetching (like that,
    skript?..;^) ) about it every minute of the day.

    But yep, it's there and happening, and yep they're exaggerating it to
    benefit their own position, and yep, part of this is to make money off
    of it.

    And  yep, I still don't like them.


    I do believe that scientific principle behind global warming is solid.
    However I don't think the projections are... and furthermore conclusions
    based on them.
    For example Ghana is one of the hottest countries on Earth, and it's far
    from being inhabitable...

    https://blog.tractorspakistan.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Governance-Challenge-of-Agriculture-in-Ghana.jpg

    https://media-cdn.tripadvisor.com/media/attractions-splice-spp-720x480/0d/36/30/a7.jpg

    https://i0.wp.com/journal.travelwings.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/09/Kakum-National-Park.jpg?w=700&ssl=1

    As for your personal anecdotes... no offence but I find it hard to
    believe that one would actually notice average increase of 1°C in
    hundred years:

    https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Annual-historical-temperature-for-Oregon-Climate-Division-8-Data-are-from-NOAA-National_fig2_324617054

    I feel that there are other things in play which make us believe our own anecdotal observations...

    1. Memory. Human memory is selective and far from perfect...

    2. Confirmation bias. We are fed by the press all the time news about
    global warming... so we pay more attention to events which support that
    view... Oh, isn't it an unusually warm summer this year... and it feels
    warmer when press tells you to pay attention to it. 40 years ago... what
    a wonderful indian summer... swimming! 2020s... oh, it's so hot, the
    world is coming to an end and all African people are gonna die! Repent
    for your sins!
    Did you for example pay attention to those less snowy mountains on a
    year/years which happened to have less snow, and ignore later when the
    snow came back... or do you remember the snowy mountains exactly because
    it was unusually snowy and early 70s the press wrote about global
    cooling heh...

    There was this discussion a couple decades ago that in the future, now,
    we won't have any snow in the winters, after a few winters with little
    snow. Last winter(s) have been very snowy. Ouch.

    3. Media bias. Media likes to tell us only about weather etc events that support the climate catastrophe agenda. Warmest June ever, warmest
    average temp during August & September in USA etc. Second warmest.
    Highest daily temp in February. The problem with these sort of stats is
    that they're often cherry picked. The year has 12 months and 365 days, combining them with averages, highest temperatures etc we get endless combinations for cherry picking stats which suit out agenda.
    Wasn't it like last summer that there was about coldest may in long
    time, the press soon forgot that because of the warm following months.

    I googled coldest May...

    2017: Finland endures coldest May in nearly half a century

    Hats and gloves come out as coldest May since 1950 grips Chile’s capital region

    Last Friday marked the coldest May 24th in Victoria since 1919

    etc. But if it was warmest May, the press likely writes 20 fold about
    the matter...

    4. Global warming. I guess even 1 degree increased average does lead to
    all sorts of warmth records

    5. Manufactured statistics?
    It seems somewhat counterintuitive & statistically impossible that such
    a small increase of average temperature would lead to breaking new
    global warmth record almost every year. I think the variance should be
    larger, there should be more colder years in between. This leads me to
    believe that the global averages may be somewhat manufactured. Maybe
    they have added stuff to Africa & moved stuff at the polar stations?

    ...They may have changed/added/moved measuring posts, equipment, having
    changed criteria for past statistics etc.
    Some claim that they like to move new temperature measuring posts to
    airports where it certainly would be slightly more warm than other places.

    The measuring equipment has been changed, that's for certain.
    I have anecdote from Finland where they moved the measuring post on top
    of a hill instead of a cold valley where cold air descends in the
    winter. This measuring spot had the coldest temperature ever recoded on Finland... so one could claim that they did this in order to ensure that
    the coldest temperature measured remains the coldest. Breaking the
    record wouldn't fit in climate change narrative...

    I also googled a while back the warmest temperatures ever measured. The official bodies had REMOVED some rather legit historical hottest
    temperature records. Decades old Death Valley record had been removed
    and new less impressive and more recent record had been put in place.
    The all-time world record had also been removed, it was like 100 years
    old and hasn't been broken since. We can't have 100 year old hottest temperature records now can we...

    5. Climate scientists etc could actually alter the data. I hope not, but
    the financial motives are there.

    So there.

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  • From TT@21:1/5 to All on Sat Jul 6 03:29:55 2024
    Sawfish kirjoitti 6.7.2024 klo 3.21:
    We're not talking about the same thing. You seem to be talking about
    snow cover, and I'm talking about actual alpine glaciers that have been
    in existence since since before the first Europeans came to North
    America. There are hydrology reports and photos that show this, and
    that's what I'm talking about.

    Note: typically you'd see the extent of the glaciers in summer, with
    minimum snow cover. They are masses of permanent ice.

    Ok, which glaciers are you specifically referring to?

    Here's a nice example of subliminal media influence:

    https://x.com/NoContextBrits/status/1807691642222068039

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  • From TT@21:1/5 to All on Sat Jul 6 19:52:15 2024
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    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From TT@21:1/5 to All on Wed Jul 10 01:16:37 2024
    PeteWasLucky kirjoitti 5.7.2024 klo 9.40:
    https://cei.org/blog/wrong-again-50-years-of-failed-eco-pocalyptic-predictions/


    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GSDyx9tWAAA2cH2?format=jpg&name=medium

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)