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  • Undefeated Watch

    From JGibson@21:1/5 to All on Mon Nov 13 10:01:12 2023
    Don't remember 7 undefeated teams this late in the season since I've been following. Even among the 1 and 2 loss teams, upsets seem to be at a minimum.

    Anyway, here are the undefeated teams with their remaining schedule and the percent chance FPI suggests they have at winning out. Note that winning out would include the conference championship game.

    Michigan, 10-0
    @Maryland (6-4)
    vs. Ohio State (10-0)
    Big Ten Champ game if they beat Ohio State
    Win out: 48.4%

    Ohio State, 10-0
    vs. Minnesota (5-5)
    @Michigan (10-0)
    Big Ten Champ game if they beat Michigan
    Win out: 38.4%

    Georgia, 10-0
    @Tennessee (7-3)
    @Georiga Tech (5-5)
    SEC Champ game vs. Alabama (9-1)
    Win out: 31.8%

    Florida State, 10-0
    vs. North Alabama (3-7 in FCS)
    @Florida (5-5)
    ACC Champ game vs. TBD
    Win out: 62.9%

    Washington, 10-0
    @Oregon State (8-2)
    vs. Washington State (4-6)
    Pac-12 Champ game if they win 1 of those (maybe even if they lose both)
    Win out: 15.8%

    James Madison, 10-0
    vs. Appalachian State (6-4)
    @Coastal Carolina (7-3)
    Win out: 42.7%

    Liberty, 10-0
    vs. Massachusetts (3-7)
    @UTEP (3-7)
    CUSA Champ Game vs. New Mexico State (8-3)
    Win out: 70.4%

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From Michael Falkner@21:1/5 to All on Mon Nov 13 16:49:42 2023
    We basically have the four, barring other results:

    The Michigan/Ohio State winner
    Georgia
    Washington
    Florida State.

    Mike

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From JGibson@21:1/5 to Michael Falkner on Mon Nov 13 19:08:04 2023
    On Monday, November 13, 2023 at 7:49:45 PM UTC-5, Michael Falkner wrote:
    We basically have the four, barring other results:

    The Michigan/Ohio State winner
    Georgia
    Washington
    Florida State.

    Not guaranteed, though. Washington, for example, is an underdog right now (+1) against Oregon State this weekend. They'd likely be an underdog in a rematch with Oregon. Georgia would be an underdog to Alabama based on most computers (not sure where
    Vegas is going with this line). Only the Michigan/Ohio State winner and Florida State will be favored to win out.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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  • From JGibson@21:1/5 to JGibson on Tue Nov 14 07:07:21 2023
    On Monday, November 13, 2023 at 10:08:07 PM UTC-5, JGibson wrote:
    On Monday, November 13, 2023 at 7:49:45 PM UTC-5, Michael Falkner wrote:
    We basically have the four, barring other results:

    The Michigan/Ohio State winner
    Georgia
    Washington
    Florida State.
    Not guaranteed, though. Washington, for example, is an underdog right now (+1) against Oregon State this weekend. They'd likely be an underdog in a rematch with Oregon. Georgia would be an underdog to Alabama based on most computers (not sure where
    Vegas is going with this line). Only the Michigan/Ohio State winner and Florida State will be favored to win out.

    Well, actually, Liberty is also favored to win out. JMU is actually not, despite not having a CC game. FPI only gives JMU a 43% chance to win both, although they are favored in each individual game.

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