In article <v5o0ge$3ol0p$[email protected]>, Lléo <[email protected]> wrote: >Group A

June 29th

Argentina - Peru
Canada - Chile

1 Argentina 6 (GD +3, 3-0)
2 Canada 3 (GD -1, 1-2)
3 Chile 1 (GD -1, 0-1)
Peru 1 (GD -1, 0-1)

Argentina is through and may rest Messi for the last matchday (he
complained about a thigh strain and a fever). But even without him
they're quite above this very poor Peruvian team, who has to win to
avoid a first round exit. Canada vs Chile could be an interesting
showdown. Canada so far has been the better side between the two, and
only needs a draw, while Chile must win. Should be a close one.

Predicting

Canada 2 -0 Arg 1- 0

Group B

June 30th

Jamaica - Venezuela
Mexico - Ecuador

1 Venezuela 6 (GD +2, 3-1)
2 Ecuador 3 (GD +1, 4-3)
3 Mexico 3 (GD 0, 1-1)
4 Jamaica 0 (GD -3, 1-4)

Jamaica is out of contention, while Venezuela needs at least a draw to >guarantee 1st place in the group, something that should be enough for
them to avoid Argentina in the QF. Ecuador vs Mexico duel for the other
QF spot. Ecuador seems to be better than this very underwhelming Mexican
team and a draw is enough for them.

Venezuela and Ecuador to win.

Group C

July 1st

Bolivia - Panama
United States - Uruguay

1 Uruguay 6 (GD +7, 8-1)
2 United States 3 (GD +1, 2-1)
3 Panama 3 (GD -1, 3-4)
4 Bolivia 0 (GD -7, 0-7)

Uruguay is through for all intents and purposes, it would take a
disaster to knock off their comfortable GD cushion. The United States
and Panama battle for the second spot. The US has the tiebreaker edge. I >thought Panama was quite mediocre, but they probably are good enough to
beat Bolivia, who seems to be the weakest team of the tournament. The
US, then, better play for a win against Uruguay.

Urugauy and Panama

Group D

July 2nd

Brasil - Colombia
Costa Rica - Paraguay

1 Colombia 6 (GD +4, 5-1)
2 Brasil 4 (GD +3, 4-1)
3 Costa Rica 1 (GD -3, 0-3)
4 Paraguay 0 (GD -4, 2-6)

Colombia and Brasil will play for 1st place in the group, with Colombia >playing for a draw. Costa Rica has to beat Paraguay, hope for Colombia
to beat Brasil, and that combined results cover the big GD difference
between them and Brasil. Though they haven't shown much so far, I think
they will beat a Paraguayan team which has been one of the poorest of
the Cup thus far. But we'll probably see Colombia and Brasil through.

We are projecting an Argentina vs Uruguay final. I think they've been
the best teams thus far (early days, though). Argentina seems to have
the easier path, probably getting Ecuador or Mexico in the QF and >Canada/Chile/Venezuela in the semis. Uruguay, meanwhile, will expect to
get one of Colombia or Brasil already in the quarters and the other in
the semis (or, who knows, Panama/United States, though that doesn't seem >likely). And beyond the Rioplatense duo, I see Colombia and Brasil with
the main outside shot at the Cup.

Brasil and Paraguay.

Best regards,

Lléo

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Lléo wrote:

Group C

July 1st

Bolivia - Panama
United States - Uruguay

1 Uruguay 6 (GD +7, 8-1)
2 United States 3 (GD +1, 2-1)
3 Panama 3 (GD -1, 3-4)
4 Bolivia 0 (GD -7, 0-7)

Uruguay is through for all intents and purposes, it would take a
disaster to knock off their comfortable GD cushion. The United States
and Panama battle for the second spot. The US has the tiebreaker edge.

Fortunately, Conmebol/CONCACAF use overall GD as the first tie-breaker, otherwise we would be in for a nice USA-Uruguay biscotto.

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On 2024-06-29 12:36, Futbolmetrix wrote:

Lléo wrote:

Group C

July 1st

Bolivia - Panama
United States - Uruguay

1 Uruguay 6 (GD +7, 8-1)
2 United States 3 (GD +1, 2-1)
3 Panama 3 (GD -1, 3-4)
4 Bolivia 0 (GD -7, 0-7)

Uruguay is through for all intents and purposes, it would take a
disaster to knock off their comfortable GD cushion. The United States
and Panama battle for the second spot. The US has the tiebreaker edge.

Fortunately, Conmebol/CONCACAF use overall GD as the first tie-breaker, otherwise we would be in for a nice USA-Uruguay biscotto.

Would that not be pretty risky for the the US, since Panama must have a
decent chance of beating Bolivia ?

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MH wrote:

Fortunately, Conmebol/CONCACAF use overall GD as the first tie-breaker,
otherwise we would be in for a nice USA-Uruguay biscotto.

Would that not be pretty risky for the the US, since Panama must have a decent chance of beating Bolivia ?

You are not versed well enough in biscottology. Under HTH, a 1-0 USA win
would have sent both teams to the next round, regardless of what
happened in the other match.

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On 2024-06-30 06:19, Futbolmetrix wrote:

MH wrote:

Fortunately, Conmebol/CONCACAF use overall GD as the first tie-breaker,
otherwise we would be in for a nice USA-Uruguay biscotto.

Would that not be pretty risky for the the US, since Panama must have a
decent chance of beating Bolivia ?

You are not versed well enough in biscottology. Under HTH, a 1-0 USA win would have sent both teams to the next round, regardless of what
happened in the other match.

I see, I am clearly not devious enough. Anyway, fortunately the
criterion is GD, and anyway, I can't see the USA winning vs. Uruguay
without a huge dollop of luck.

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