On 7/25/2022 7:30 AM, Ralph E Lindberg wrote:
On 2022-07-24 17:19:15 +0000, Technobarbarian said:
"A weird economy may give way to recession — or not"
"
.....
Once again for those who missed it the first time:
"With unemployment still historically low and consumers still opening
their wallets with reckless abandon......."
TB
Exactly this is a wierd situtation with some leading factors pointing
one way and others something else
For your entire life time the GDP per capita has only been headed
in one direction, primarily driven by improvements in technology and a
growing population. This has not changed substantially.
"Real gross domestic product per capita"
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A939RX0Q048SBEA
For me the most important "leading factor" is that our State Parks
are still difficult to get into during the summer even though we keep
building more and expanding them. I do not expect that to change any
time soon. Whatever economic difficulties may be ahead of us, they will
be mostly at the margins. Small changes for most folks. The people most affected will be those who were already experiencing economic
difficulties and those flirting with it.
The difficulty rural America is having with inflation is a good
example of this. Economic hardship in rural America has been a perpetual headline since before we were born. People being forced out of rural
America has been going on since before any of us were born. My Dad grew
up on a farm. By the time I came along the farm was just a memory for
many families.
TB
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