On Thursday, September 16, 2021 at 1:07:41 PM UTC-7, Fabulous Pedigree wrote:
I don't play seriously, as I did decades ago, but in casual on-line play this hand came up. I'd rather you experts analyze it, rather than embarrassing myself.
Both sides vulnerable. North Deals.:
S A7642
H J42
D KT
C J43
S KJT3 S Q985
H 8 H AK6
D Q85 D 973
C AQ965 C K72
S -
H QT9753
D AJ642
C T8
N E S W
Pass 1C 1H 2C
2H Pass Pass 2S
3H 3S Pass 4S
X Pass Pass Pass
Opening Lead: Jack of Hearts
Can (and should!) West take ten tricks after the JH opening lead?
I think so. The general idea is that EW have 5 tricks to cash in hearts and clubs. No matter how the play goes we can allocate 3 trump tricks to West's strong intermediates with an East intermediate covering West's trump 3 if necessary. We need 2 more
tricks which come from leading the two small clubs out of the West hand and ruffing them in the East hand unless North discards.
To be explicit, first consider double dummy, the "can":
Win the 5 plain suit tricks - hAK then cKAQ.
Lead a 4th club. If North ruffs small, overruff, ruff heart to get back to West, and play the 5th club. It will be the game-going trick regardless whether West ruffs low, high, or discards. North discarding a heart on the 4th club (or ruffing high)
wouldn't change anything material.
As for "should": Win the hA and play a trump. At best West can clear 2 rounds of trumps which doesn't muck up our executing the double dummy line which is indicated when the trump break is revealed.
--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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