XGID=----B-CCa--a-C--bcbd-bBA-A:0:0:1:32:3:5:0:7:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:3 O:5 7 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O X X |
| X O O O | | O O X |
| X O | | O |
| | | O |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X |
| X | | X X |
| O O X | | X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 178 O: 119 X-O: 3-5/7
Cube: 1
X to play 32

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On 11/19/2021 9:00 AM, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=----B-CCa--a-C--bcbd-bBA-A:0:0:1:32:3:5:0:7:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:3 O:5 7 pt.(s) match.  +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 | X        O  O  O |   | O     O  X  X    |
 | X        O  O  O |   | O     O  X       |
 | X           O    |   | O                |  |                  |   | O                |
 |                  | X |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                X |   | X                |  |                X |   | X     X          |  |    O        O  X |   | X     X          |  +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 178  O: 119 X-O: 3-5/7
Cube: 1
X to play 32

Making the second anchor and slotting the five point looks good, but ~50
pips is not enough timing for a backgame so I'll hit.

bar/22 13/11*

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On Friday, November 19, 2021 at 11:25:18 AM UTC-5, ah...Clem wrote:

On 11/19/2021 9:00 AM, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=----B-CCa--a-C--bcbd-bBA-A:0:0:1:32:3:5:0:7:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:3 O:5 7 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O X X |
| X O O O | | O O X |
| X O | | O |
| | | O |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X |
| X | | X X |
| O O X | | X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 178 O: 119 X-O: 3-5/7
Cube: 1
X to play 32

Making the second anchor and slotting the five point looks good, but ~50
pips is not enough timing for a backgame so I'll hit.

bar/22 13/11*

Making the second anchor and slotting the five point is not legal. And it's 54 pips + not on roll + that amount of pips out of 120 pips.

Stick

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=----B-CCa--a-C--bcbd-bBA-A:0:0:1:32:3:5:0:7:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:3 O:5 7 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O X X |
| X O O O | | O O X |
| X O | | O |
| | | O |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X |
| X | | X X |
| O O X | | X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 178 O: 119 X-O: 3-5/7
Cube: 1
X to play 32

4-away/2-away checker play is typically very similar to
gammon go checker play, and at gammon go, hitting
13/11* is a serious candidate play to consider. But,
if the cube is not yet turned, the 4-away player does
need to give thought to the possibility of losing a gammon.
The rollout favors making the second anchor.

1. Rollout¹ Bar/23 13/10 eq:-0.417
Player: 35.03% (G:5.35% B:0.30%)
Opponent: 64.97% (G:23.07% B:3.07%)
Confidence: ±0.016 (-0.433..-0.402) - [98.2%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/23 6/3 eq:-0.441 (-0.024)
Player: 34.28% (G:5.35% B:0.56%)
Opponent: 65.72% (G:23.28% B:3.90%)
Confidence: ±0.016 (-0.457..-0.425) - [1.8%]

3. Rollout¹ Bar/23 7/4 eq:-0.485 (-0.068)
Player: 33.25% (G:4.81% B:0.35%)
Opponent: 66.75% (G:22.96% B:3.91%)
Confidence: ±0.017 (-0.502..-0.469) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ Bar/22 13/11* eq:-0.504 (-0.086)
Player: 32.74% (G:6.78% B:0.50%)
Opponent: 67.26% (G:28.41% B:4.43%)
Confidence: ±0.019 (-0.523..-0.485) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

---------
Gammon go
---------

XGID=----B-CCa--a-C--bcbd-bBA-A:0:0:1:32:0:1:1:2:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:1 2 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O X X |
| X O O O | | O O X |
| X O | | O |
| | | O |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X |
| X | | X X |
| O O X | | X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 178 O: 119 X-O: 0-1/2 Crawford
Cube: 1
X to play 32

1. Rollout¹ Bar/23 13/10 eq:-0.165
Player: 35.76% (G:5.99% B:0.47%)
Opponent: 64.24% (G:28.40% B:3.77%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.173..-0.157) - [87.3%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/22 13/11* eq:-0.172 (-0.007)
Player: 34.15% (G:7.26% B:0.62%)
Opponent: 65.85% (G:35.78% B:5.57%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (-0.181..-0.163) - [12.6%]

3. Rollout¹ Bar/23 6/3 eq:-0.181 (-0.016)
Player: 35.34% (G:5.61% B:0.44%)
Opponent: 64.66% (G:28.76% B:3.99%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.189..-0.173) - [0.1%]

4. Rollout¹ Bar/23 7/4 eq:-0.207 (-0.042)
Player: 34.41% (G:5.22% B:0.21%)
Opponent: 65.59% (G:28.61% B:3.73%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.215..-0.199) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)