On 2/9/2024 9:31 AM, Bradley K. Sherman wrote:
Timothy Chow <[email protected]> wrote:
...
Technically, the two scores aren't exactly the same, because at
3-away post-Crawford, you can try "the trick."
https://www.bkgm.com/rgb/rgb.cgi?view+437
But what if you get a lucky roll and the position turns *very*
gammonish? Then the waiting to double trick backfires.
Yes. Here's an example from Gus Hansen versus Bob Koca.
https://vimeo.com/10287279#t=2471
The commentators (one of whom I think was Sander Lyllof) thought
that Bob Koca's pass was a blunder, but XG says the pass was correct.
XGID=aaBBc-B-C---aD--AAcdb-----:0:0:1:00:10:12:0:13:10
Score is X:10 O:12 13 pt.(s) match.
+24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
| O O | | O X X X |
| O O | | O X |
| O | | O X |
| O | | X |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| O | | X |
| X X O X | | X |
| O X X O X | | X O |
+-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
Pip count X: 131 O: 180 X-O: 10-12/13
Cube: 1
X on roll, cube action
Analyzed in XG Roller++
Player Winning Chances: 66.08% (G:36.87% B:2.18%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.92% (G:5.64% B:0.27%)
Cubeful Equities:
No double: +0.921 (-0.079)
Double/Take: +1.148 (+0.148)
Double/Pass: +1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
---
Tim Chow
--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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