On 12/13/2023 7:16 PM, [email protected] wrote:

Who is the equity favourite after my play?

After your roll, your raw pip count is 48, and your EPC is probably
about 10 pips more than that.

An 8-roll position has an EPC of 57. O's position is a little worse
than that, but not much worse. For the equity to be equal, the player
on roll should be about 4 pips behind. So is O's EPC 62 or higher?
I'd guess no, meaning that O is the equity favorite, but it looks
close.

Paul

XGID=-CCBBBC----------a---ccdd-:2:1:1:21:0:0:3:0:10

X:Daniel O:XG Roller+
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O | | O O O O |
| | | O O O O |
| | | O O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X X X | +---+
| | | X X X X X X | | 4 |
| | | X X X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 51 O: 41 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 4, X own cube
X to play 21

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On 12/14/2023 6:13 PM, [email protected] wrote:

I think XG said my position was 0.025

XG 4-ply evaluation says -0.025 so maybe you misread the sign?

XGID=-CCBBBC----------a---ccdd-:2:1:1:21:0:0:3:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O | | O O O O |
| | | O O O O |
| | | O O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X X X | +---+
| | | X X X X X X | | 4 |
| | | X X X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 51 O: 41 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 4, X own cube
X to play 21

1. 4-ply 2/Off 1/Off eq:-0.025
Player: 42.25% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 57.75% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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