XGID=---b-BE-B---dD---d-da--AA-:0:0:1:66:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O X X |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| O | | X |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X X O |
| O X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 155 O: 157 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 66

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=---b-BE-B---dD---d-da--AA-:0:0:1:66:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O X X |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| O | | X |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X X O |
| O X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 155 O: 157 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 66

With two checkers still in O's home board, I didn't like giving up the
midpoint here, and I tried 13/7(2) 8/2(2). But XG doesn't like that
play. We still have good chances of making a five-prime, and our rear
checkers are not yet in much danger of getting trapped. See the
variant, in which O's anchor has been advanced one pip.

1. Rollout¹ 13/7(4) eq:+0.088
Player: 51.89% (G:14.43% B:0.56%)
Opponent: 48.11% (G:11.43% B:0.38%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (+0.075..+0.100) - [90.5%]

2. Rollout¹ 24/18 13/7(3) eq:+0.075 (-0.013)
Player: 52.14% (G:13.76% B:0.63%)
Opponent: 47.86% (G:12.61% B:0.53%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (+0.060..+0.090) - [9.5%]

3. Rollout¹ 13/7(2) 8/2(2) eq:+0.006 (-0.082)
Player: 49.89% (G:14.77% B:0.52%)
Opponent: 50.11% (G:13.15% B:0.49%)
Confidence: ±0.016 (-0.010..+0.022) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=----bBE-B---dD---d-da--AA-:0:0:1:66:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O X X |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| O | | X |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X X O |
| O X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 155 O: 155 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 66

1. Rollout¹ 13/7(2) 8/2(2) eq:-0.037
Player: 49.19% (G:13.11% B:0.37%)
Opponent: 50.81% (G:12.94% B:0.45%)
Confidence: ±0.013 (-0.050..-0.024) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 13/1(2) eq:-0.083 (-0.046)
Player: 47.93% (G:13.13% B:0.32%)
Opponent: 52.07% (G:13.77% B:0.49%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (-0.095..-0.071) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 13/7(4) eq:-0.086 (-0.049)
Player: 48.23% (G:12.16% B:0.44%)
Opponent: 51.77% (G:12.05% B:0.40%)
Confidence: ±0.013 (-0.100..-0.073) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ 24/18 13/7(3) eq:-0.121 (-0.084)
Player: 47.70% (G:10.64% B:0.40%)
Opponent: 52.30% (G:12.90% B:0.50%)
Confidence: ±0.020 (-0.141..-0.100) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On 11/8/2023 9:22 AM, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=---b-BE-B---dD---d-d pa--AA-:0:0:1:66:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 | X           O    |   | O  O        X  X |
 | X           O    |   | O                |
 | X           O    |   | O                |
 | X           O    |   | O                |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   | X                |
 | O                |   | X                |
 | O                |   | X                |
 | O           X    |   | X  X     O       |
 | O           X    |   | X  X     O       |
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 155  O: 157 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 66

These positions flummox me. Ahead in the race, I want to escape a
runner, but if I do that I expose a blot on the 8 or 13. So I'll just
make the 7 and the deuce points. Which is probably the obvious but
wrong answer.

--
Ah....Clem
The future is fun, the future is fair.

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)