XGID=-a---BFBC---b-b--cBcb-b---:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O X | | O O O |
| O O X | | O O O |
| O | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | 6 |
| | | X |
| X | | X |
| O X X | | X X |
| O X X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 120 O: 130 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 61

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On 10/26/2023 11:36 PM, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=-a---BFBC---b-b--cBcb-b---:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game  +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 |    O        O  X |   | O  O     O       |  |    O        O  X |   | O  O     O       |  |             O    |   | O                |  |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   | 6                |
 |                  |   | X                |
 |             X    |   | X                |  | O           X  X |   | X  X             |
 | O           X  X |   | X  X           O |  +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 120  O: 130 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 61

8/2 looks almost forced. Then 6/5 looks more flexible than 2/1*.
Hitting seems to give O more chances to move the runner to where it sees daylight.

8/2 6/5.

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On Thursday, October 26, 2023 at 11:36:44 PM UTC-4, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=-a---BFBC---b-b--cBcb-b---:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O X | | O O O |
| O O X | | O O O |
| O | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | 6 |
| | | X |
| X | | X |
| O X X | | X X |
| O X X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 120 O: 130 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 61

---
Tim Chow

I'm sure somebody out there is missing it ... Next!

Stick

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-a---BFBC---b-b--cBcb-b---:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O X | | O O O |
| O O X | | O O O |
| O | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | 6 |
| | | X |
| X | | X |
| O X X | | X X |
| O X X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 120 O: 130 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 61

Spare distribution has a big influence on this play. See the two
variants below.

1. Rollout¹ 8/2 6/5 eq:+0.188
Player: 54.92% (G:12.18% B:0.34%)
Opponent: 45.08% (G:9.47% B:0.35%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (+0.176..+0.199) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 8/1* eq:+0.060 (-0.128)
Player: 51.70% (G:10.66% B:0.24%)
Opponent: 48.30% (G:9.41% B:0.35%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (+0.048..+0.072) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---------
Variant 1
---------

XGID=-a---CEBC---b-b--cBcb-b---:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O X | | O O O |
| O O X | | O O O |
| O | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| X | | X X |
| O X X | | X X |
| O X X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 119 O: 130 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 61

1. Rollout¹ 8/2 6/5 eq:+0.206
Player: 55.47% (G:12.23% B:0.30%)
Opponent: 44.53% (G:9.05% B:0.34%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (+0.193..+0.218) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 8/1* eq:+0.166 (-0.040)
Player: 54.16% (G:12.35% B:0.29%)
Opponent: 45.84% (G:8.57% B:0.35%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (+0.154..+0.177) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---------
Variant 2
---------

XGID=-a---DDBC---b-b--cBcb-b---:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O X | | O O O |
| O O X | | O O O |
| O | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| X | | X X |
| O X X | | X X |
| O X X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 118 O: 130 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 61

1. Rollout¹ 8/1* eq:+0.198
Player: 54.83% (G:13.07% B:0.27%)
Opponent: 45.17% (G:8.89% B:0.37%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (+0.187..+0.210) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 8/2 6/5 eq:+0.146 (-0.053)
Player: 54.00% (G:11.50% B:0.30%)
Opponent: 46.00% (G:9.89% B:0.35%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (+0.135..+0.157) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)