XGID=----ACB-Bb---A-b-cbdBBbA-A:1:1:1:55:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O X X O X |
| O O O | | O X X O |
| O | | O |
| | | O |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X | +---+
| O X | | X X | | 2 |
| O X | | X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 190 O: 120 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 55

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

IMHO : yes

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On Wednesday, October 25, 2023 at 10:40:32 PM UTC-4, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=----ACB-Bb---A-b-cbdBBbA-A:1:1:1:55:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O X X O X |
| O O O | | O X X O |
| O | | O |
| | | O |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X | +---+
| O X | | X X | | 2 |
| O X | | X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 190 O: 120 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 55

---
Tim Chow

Obvi.

Stick

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On 10/25/2023 10:40 PM, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=----ACB-Bb---A-b-cbdBBbA-A:1:1:1:55:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game  +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 | X     O     O  O |   | O  X  X  O  X    |  |       O     O  O |   | O  X  X  O       |  |             O    |   | O                |  |                  |   | O                |
 |                  | X |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |    X             | +---+
 |          O  X    |   | X  X             | | 2 |
 |          O  X    |   | X  X  X          | +---+  +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 190  O: 120 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 55

Well, it was until X rolled the 55. 70 pips of timing is adequate for a backgame. 50 is not enough.

So, looks like it's time to run off the anchor. bar/20 21/16(2) 13/8 and
hope O coughs up a shot.

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=----ACB-Bb---A-b-cbdBBbA-A:1:1:1:55:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O X X O X |
| O O O | | O X X O |
| O | | O |
| | | O |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X | +---+
| O X | | X X | | 2 |
| O X | | X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 190 O: 120 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 55

Sometimes I panic too soon when I get a roll like this. Like ah...Clem,
I decided to abandon one of my anchors, fearing that my position would otherwise collapse because of poor timing. However, abandoning an
anchor is very committal, and XG strongly recommends sitting tight for
now. This 55 can be absorbed, and O's broken four-prime is not so threatening---X has good chances of being able to free another checker
soon and preserve his timing.

1. Rollout¹ Bar/20 13/3 8/3 eq:-0.301
Player: 34.46% (G:5.85% B:0.19%)
Opponent: 65.54% (G:17.65% B:0.42%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.310..-0.291) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/20 13/3 6/1 eq:-0.484 (-0.183)
Player: 29.64% (G:4.02% B:0.14%)
Opponent: 70.36% (G:22.86% B:0.50%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.494..-0.474) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ Bar/20 13/8 6/1(2) eq:-0.511 (-0.210)
Player: 27.78% (G:3.48% B:0.08%)
Opponent: 72.22% (G:20.69% B:0.31%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (-0.519..-0.502) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ Bar/20 8/3(2) 6/1 eq:-0.514 (-0.213)
Player: 30.99% (G:4.87% B:0.17%)
Opponent: 69.01% (G:30.31% B:0.80%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.526..-0.503) - [0.0%]

5. Rollout¹ Bar/20 21/16(2) 8/3 eq:-0.533 (-0.232)
Player: 30.97% (G:5.75% B:0.24%)
Opponent: 69.03% (G:31.99% B:1.76%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.543..-0.522) - [0.0%]

6. Rollout¹ Bar/20 21/16(2) 13/8 eq:-0.546 (-0.246)
Player: 26.57% (G:4.50% B:0.16%)
Opponent: 73.43% (G:22.17% B:0.40%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (-0.555..-0.537) - [0.0%]

7. Rollout¹ Bar/20 21/6 eq:-0.547 (-0.246)
Player: 31.31% (G:5.84% B:0.23%)
Opponent: 68.69% (G:34.89% B:1.67%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.557..-0.536) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=---AACB-Ab---A-b-cbdBBbA-A:1:1:1:55:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O X X O X |
| O O O | | O X X O |
| O | | O |
| | | O |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X | +---+
| O | | X X | | 2 |
| O X | | X X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 185 O: 120 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 55

1. Rollout¹ Bar/20 13/3 8/3 eq:-0.404
Player: 30.65% (G:4.70% B:0.16%)
Opponent: 69.35% (G:17.20% B:0.35%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (-0.413..-0.395) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/20 21/16(2) 8/3 eq:-0.430 (-0.026)
Player: 32.04% (G:6.09% B:0.24%)
Opponent: 67.96% (G:25.08% B:0.92%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.440..-0.420) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)