XGID=-BaB-BB-B--acCa----cbbAbA-:1:-1:1:62:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O O X O X | +---+
| X | | O O O O | | 2 |
| X | | O | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| O | | |
| O X | | X X X X |
| O O X | | X X X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 131 O: 127 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 62

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-BaB-BB-B--acCa----cbbAbA-:1:-1:1:62:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O O O X O X | +---+
| X | | O O O O | | 2 |
| X | | O | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| O | | |
| O X | | X X X X |
| O O X | | X X X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 131 O: 127 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 62

Yes, hit, of course, but which hit? Hitting twice seemed too loose to
me given O's four-point board, but that's what XG insists we must do.
We have a four-point board of our own and O will be twice up, so even
if she hits back from the bar, we may still end up on top.

1. Rollout¹ 13/11* 8/2* eq:+0.241
Player: 58.99% (G:40.38% B:1.29%)
Opponent: 41.01% (G:18.68% B:2.38%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.232..+0.249) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 13/11* 11/5 eq:+0.139 (-0.101)
Player: 56.64% (G:31.89% B:1.19%)
Opponent: 43.36% (G:15.98% B:0.87%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (+0.128..+0.150) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 24/18 13/11* eq:+0.129 (-0.111)
Player: 58.43% (G:28.09% B:1.00%)
Opponent: 41.57% (G:17.59% B:0.89%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (+0.120..+0.138) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ 22/14* eq:+0.124 (-0.116)
Player: 58.09% (G:27.51% B:0.95%)
Opponent: 41.91% (G:15.58% B:0.65%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (+0.113..+0.135) - [0.0%]

5. Rollout¹ 22/16 13/11* eq:+0.100 (-0.141)
Player: 57.40% (G:28.34% B:1.01%)
Opponent: 42.60% (G:17.35% B:1.10%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.092..+0.108) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On 8/7/2023 8:32 AM, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=-BaB-BB-B--acCa----cbbAbA-:1:-1:1:62:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 | X  O             |   | O  O  O  X  O  X | +---+
 | X                |   | O  O  O     O    | | 2 |
 | X                |   | O                | +---+
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 | O                |   |                  |
 | O           X    |   | X  X     X     X |
 | O  O        X    |   | X  X     X  O  X |
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 131  O: 127 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 62

Catching up....


X will be ahead in the race after hitting, so the game plan would be to
win by running. 22/14* seems to accomplish that best, although the
double hit of 13/11* 8/2* is tempting.

22/14*.

--
Ah....Clem
The future is fun, the future is fair.

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)