XGID=---ACbC-CC---Ba--a-bdabb--:1:1:1:11:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O O O |
| X | | O O O O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X X | | X X | +---+
| X X | | X O X | | 2 |
| X X | | X O X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 110 O: 105 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 11

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=---ACbC-CC---Ba--a-bdabb--:1:1:1:11:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O O O |
| X | | O O O O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X X | | X X | +---+
| X X | | X O X | | 2 |
| X X | | X O X X | +---+ +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 110 O: 105 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 11

---
Tim Chow

13/11(2)

This way I block his 6 and have lots of time to set up my home board
before he has to crunch.

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On 10/28/2021 11:53 PM, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=---ACbC-CC---Ba--a-bdabb--:1:1:1:11:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game  +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 | X  O        O    |   | O  O  O  O  O    |
 | X                |   | O  O     O  O    |  |                  |   |    O             |
 |                  |   |    O             |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |          X  X    |   | X     X          | +---+
 |          X  X    |   | X  O  X          | | 2 |  |          X  X    |   | X  O  X  X       | +---+  +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 110  O: 105 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 11

Roughly even race so O will want to run off the anchor if she can.
Which does a better job of blocking, the eleven or the seven point? I'm
not sure, but if the dice go our way race-wise it will be easier to
clear the thirteen than the eleven, so I'll go with making the seven
point. Plus, making the seven lets me also make the three point. Should
be worth something.

9/7 8/7 4/3

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=---ACbC-CC---Ba--a-bdabb--:1:1:1:11:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O O O |
| X | | O O O O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X X | | X X | +---+
| X X | | X O X | | 2 |
| X X | | X O X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 110 O: 105 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 11

There are two plausible plays; 13/11(2) is the play that X would make
if well behind in the race, and 9/7 8/7 4/3 is the play that X would
make if well ahead in the race. In this position, X is still behind
in the pip count after the roll, so 13/11(2) is indicated. See the
variant for a "crossover point."

1. Rollout¹ 13/11(2) eq:+0.379
Player: 58.41% (G:2.50% B:0.06%)
Opponent: 41.59% (G:2.49% B:0.04%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (+0.372..+0.386) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 9/7 8/7 4/3 eq:+0.285 (-0.094)
Player: 54.09% (G:2.69% B:0.08%)
Opponent: 45.91% (G:2.74% B:0.05%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (+0.278..+0.291) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=---ACbC-CC---Bbaa--bbabb--:1:1:1:11:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O O O O |
| X O | | O O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X X | | X X | +---+
| X X | | X O X | | 2 |
| X X | | X O X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 110 O: 117 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 11

1. Rollout¹ 13/11(2) eq:+0.526
Player: 63.79% (G:1.38% B:0.03%)
Opponent: 36.21% (G:1.48% B:0.02%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (+0.519..+0.533) - [71.6%]

2. Rollout¹ 9/7 8/7 4/3 eq:+0.523 (-0.003)
Player: 63.04% (G:1.79% B:0.16%)
Opponent: 36.96% (G:1.62% B:0.03%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (+0.517..+0.530) - [28.4%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)