I thought I posted this one a couple of days ago, but I
guess maybe I forget to hit "send".

XGID=---a-BCBB-A-bBa--bbbcB-bA-:1:1:1:55:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O X O X |
| X O O | | O O X O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X | +---+
| O X X | | X X | | 2 |
| O X X X | | X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 160 O: 120 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 55

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at 8:45:55 AM UTC-5, Timothy Chow wrote:

I thought I posted this one a couple of days ago, but I
guess maybe I forget to hit "send".

XGID=---a-BCBB-A-bBa--bbbcB-bA-:1:1:1:55:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O X O X |
| X O O | | O O X O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X | +---+
| O X X | | X X | | 2 |
| O X X X | | X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 160 O: 120 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 55

---
Tim Chow

I would take advantage of the opportunity to safely escape the anchor checkers and plan to plant them on the 16 point until the back checker can reach them. The back checker isn't in much trouble at the moment. I'd point on O's back checker to slow its
escape and hope to blitz with the 10 available checkers plus 2 more coming from the midpoint. The race gave me pause with breaking the anchor, but we'll only be down 20 after the play.

21/16(2) 8/3(2)

Bob

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

I posted this one already, but in the wrong thread, so I'm re-posting
it here.

XGID=---a-BCBB-A-bBa--bbbcB-bA-:1:1:1:55:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O X O X |
| X O O | | O O X O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X | +---+
| O X X | | X X | | 2 |
| O X X X | | X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 160 O: 120 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 55

Like Bob, I played 21/16(2), 8/3*(2). But X is still way behind in the
pip count after this roll, and 21/16(2) somewhat strands his straggler.
See the variant below for comparison.

1. Rollout¹ 13/3*(2) eq:+0.294
Player: 52.75% (G:14.82% B:0.49%)
Opponent: 47.25% (G:12.19% B:0.61%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (+0.283..+0.304) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 21/16(2) 8/3*(2) eq:+0.181 (-0.113)
Player: 50.58% (G:15.47% B:0.66%)
Opponent: 49.42% (G:18.00% B:0.74%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (+0.171..+0.190) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=---a-BCBB-A-bCa--bbbcB-b--:1:1:1:55:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O O X O |
| X O O | | O O X O |
| X | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X | +---+
| O X X | | X X | | 2 |
| O X X X | | X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 149 O: 120 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 55

1. Rollout¹ 21/16(2) 8/3*(2) eq:+0.595
Player: 62.57% (G:13.59% B:0.39%)
Opponent: 37.43% (G:7.39% B:0.23%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (+0.587..+0.602) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 13/3*(2) eq:+0.566 (-0.029)
Player: 61.69% (G:16.07% B:0.46%)
Opponent: 38.31% (G:7.91% B:0.28%)
Confidence: ±0.014 (+0.552..+0.580) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)