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  • Double 5s

    From Robert Zimmerman@21:1/5 to All on Thu Feb 23 05:24:59 2023
    XGID=-aa-B-C-C--BcCA--b-d-b-bA-:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
    +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
    | X O O O | | O X X |
    | O O O | | O X |
    | O | | X |
    | O | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | X | | X O |
    | X X | | X X O |
    | O O X X | | X X O |
    +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
    Pip count X: 149 O: 138 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 55

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to Robert Zimmerman on Thu Feb 23 14:42:52 2023
    On 2/23/2023 8:24 AM, Robert Zimmerman wrote:
    XGID=-aa-B-C-C--BcCA--b-d-b-bA-:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
    +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
    | X O O O | | O X X |
    | O O O | | O X |
    | O | | X |
    | O | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | X | | X O |
    | X X | | X X O |
    | O O X X | | X X O |
    +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
    Pip count X: 149 O: 138 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 55

    Seems like there are two main options: attack with 11/1*(2),
    or make the 3pt with 13/3 8/3 14/9. (There's also the loose
    hit 13/3 8/3 6/1* but that doesn't look best to me.) I would
    go ahead and attack since the quiet play also leaves quite a
    few shots. Ten checkers in the zone is enough to try for a
    blitz.

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Stick Rice@21:1/5 to Timothy Chow on Thu Feb 23 13:54:05 2023
    On Thursday, February 23, 2023 at 2:42:53 PM UTC-5, Timothy Chow wrote:
    On 2/23/2023 8:24 AM, Robert Zimmerman wrote:
    XGID=-aa-B-C-C--BcCA--b-d-b-bA-:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
    | X O O O | | O X X |
    | O O O | | O X |
    | O | | X |
    | O | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | X | | X O |
    | X X | | X X O |
    | O O X X | | X X O |
    +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
    Pip count X: 149 O: 138 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 55
    Seems like there are two main options: attack with 11/1*(2),
    or make the 3pt with 13/3 8/3 14/9. (There's also the loose
    hit 13/3 8/3 6/1* but that doesn't look best to me.) I would
    go ahead and attack since the quiet play also leaves quite a
    few shots. Ten checkers in the zone is enough to try for a
    blitz.

    ---
    Tim Chow

    I feel like if you set the two plays up OtB and got an actual visual of what the position looked like after each play you might not be so inclined to try the blitzing play.

    Stick

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to Stick Rice on Fri Feb 24 07:35:42 2023
    On 2/23/2023 4:54 PM, Stick Rice wrote:
    I feel like if you set the two plays up OtB and got an actual visual of what the position looked like after each play you might not be so inclined to try the blitzing play.

    That advice might apply to other players, but not to me.

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Robert Zimmerman@21:1/5 to Timothy Chow on Sat Feb 25 05:27:40 2023
    On Friday, February 24, 2023 at 7:35:45 AM UTC-5, Timothy Chow wrote:
    On 2/23/2023 4:54 PM, Stick Rice wrote:
    I feel like if you set the two plays up OtB and got an actual visual of what the position looked like after each play you might not be so inclined to try the blitzing play.
    That advice might apply to other players, but not to me.

    ---
    Tim Chow

    It looks like the non-hitting play gets more wins by preserving the priming game as an option and not committing to a blitzing game.
    In a variant where X is under just a little pressure, the blitz proves more valuable. It increases X's gammons and reduces O's gammons compared to the non-hitting move.

    Bob

    XGID=-aa-B-C-C--BcCA--b-d-b-bA-:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10

    1. XG Roller++ 14/9 13/3 8/3 eq:+0.314
    Player: 58.39% (G:19.81% B:1.16%)
    Opponent: 41.61% (G:15.60% B:0.53%)

    2. XG Roller++ 11/1*(2) eq:+0.255 (-0.059)
    Player: 55.93% (G:19.58% B:0.51%)
    Opponent: 44.07% (G:14.39% B:0.51%)


    VARIANT

    XGID=-aa-B-C-C--BcCA--b-d-bAb--:0:0:1:55:0:0:3:0:10

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
    +24-23-22-21-20-19------18-17-16-15-14-13-+
    | O X O O | | O X X |
    | O O O | | O X |
    | O | | X |
    | O | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | |
    | X | | X O |
    | X X | | X X O |
    | O O X X | | X X O |
    +-1--2--3--4--5--6-------7--8--9-10-11-12-+
    Pip count X: 147 O: 138 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X to play 55

    1. XG Roller++ 11/1*(2) eq:+0.308
    Player: 57.39% (G:19.42% B:0.50%)
    Opponent: 42.61% (G:14.39% B:0.52%)

    2. XG Roller++ 14/9 13/3 8/3 eq:+0.268 (-0.041)
    Player: 57.59% (G:17.94% B:1.14%)
    Opponent: 42.41% (G:16.01% B:0.48%)

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)