XGID=-A-AaBBBBB--b----bbdBbb-A-:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:1:10

Score is X:0 O:0 1 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O X O O X |
| O O | | O X O O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| O X X X | | X X |
| O X X X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 138 O: 115 X-O: 0-0/1
Cube: 1
X to play 55

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On Monday, January 9, 2023 at 11:10:56 AM UTC-5, Tim Chow wrote:

XGID=-A-AaBBBBB--b----bbdBbb-A-:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:1:10

Score is X:0 O:0 1 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O X O O X |
| O O | | O X O O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| O X X X | | X X |
| O X X X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 138 O: 115 X-O: 0-0/1
Cube: 1
X to play 55

---
Tim Chow

The first three fives are a clear next.

Stick

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-A-AaBBBBB--b----bbdBbb-A-:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:1:10

Score is X:0 O:0 1 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O X O O X |
| O O | | O X O O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | |
| O X X X | | X X |
| O X X X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 138 O: 115 X-O: 0-0/1
Cube: 1
X to play 55

I opted for making the six-prime, but that play strands the straggler,
and chances are the six-prime won't last very long.

1. Rollout¹ 9/4*(2) 8/3(2) eq:+0.112
Player: 55.60% (G:15.81% B:0.41%)
Opponent: 44.40% (G:12.26% B:1.30%)
Confidence: ±0.004 (+0.108..+0.116) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 20/15 9/4*(2) 8/3 eq:+0.095 (-0.017)
Player: 54.73% (G:17.92% B:1.23%)
Opponent: 45.27% (G:20.53% B:3.76%)
Confidence: ±0.005 (+0.090..+0.100) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 20/10(2) eq:-0.030 (-0.142)
Player: 48.51% (G:11.56% B:0.75%)
Opponent: 51.49% (G:21.98% B:2.84%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (-0.036..-0.024) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=-A-AaBCBBB--b----bbdBbb---:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:1:10

Score is X:0 O:0 1 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O O | | O X O O |
| O O | | O X O O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X |
| O X X X | | X X |
| O X X X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 120 O: 115 X-O: 0-0/1
Cube: 1
X to play 55

1. Rollout¹ 20/10(2) eq:+0.551
Player: 77.55% (G:4.89% B:0.12%)
Opponent: 22.45% (G:1.30% B:0.06%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (+0.548..+0.554) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 9/4*(2) 8/3 6/1 eq:+0.532 (-0.019)
Player: 76.62% (G:28.03% B:0.29%)
Opponent: 23.38% (G:3.61% B:0.29%)
Confidence: ±0.003 (+0.529..+0.536) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On 1/9/2023 11:10 AM, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=-A-AaBBBBB--b----bbdBbb-A-:0:0:1:55:0:0:0:1:10

Score is X:0 O:0 1 pt.(s) match.
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 |             O  O |   | O  X  O  O     X |
 |             O  O |   | O  X  O  O       |
 |                  |   | O                |
 |                  |   | O                |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 | O        X  X  X |   | X  X             |
 | O        X  X  X |   | X  X  O  X     X |
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 138  O: 115 X-O: 0-0/1
Cube: 1

Blitzing seems to win more gammons but the full prime seems to win more
games. Will it even be right for O to hit the straggler once X makes the
full prime?

so 20/10(2) for me at DMP.


--
Ah....Clem
The future is fun, the future is fair.

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)