XGID=--CCAbBBB--a------bbBcbba-:1:1:1:54:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O | | O X O O O O |
| O | | O X O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X X | +---+
| X X | | X O X X | | 2 |
| O X X | | X O X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 101 O: 103 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 54

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On 9/27/2022 11:35 PM, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=--CCAbBBB--a------bbBcbba-:1:1:1:54:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 |                O |   | O  X  O  O  O  O |
 |                O |   | O  X  O  O  O    |
 |                  |   |       O          |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |          X  X    | +---+
 |             X  X |   | X  O     X  X    | | 2 |
 |    O        X  X |   | X  O  X  X  X    | +---+
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 101  O: 103 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 54

Dumping seems weak. O dances nine times and only hits from the bar 13
times (with a fair number of other loose hits) Maybe if X was farther
ahead in the race I'd dump, but unless O shakes 43 or 11 we have
counterplay when hit.

20/11*


--
Ah....Clem
The future is fun, the future is fair.

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=--CCAbBBB--a------bbBcbba-:1:1:1:54:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O | | O X O O O O |
| O | | O X O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X X | +---+
| X X | | X O X X | | 2 |
| O X X | | X O X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 101 O: 103 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 54

Hitting is tempting, but it means breaking the golden anchor, and
X has a blot in his board. O is the one who is behind in the pip
count and stands to gain more from a blot-hitting contest. XG says
that hitting is a whopper with cheese. But see the variant below,
where XG says that hitting and playing safe are very close.

1. Rollout¹ 8/4 8/3 eq:+0.118
Player: 48.82% (G:4.96% B:0.10%)
Opponent: 51.18% (G:7.02% B:0.26%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (+0.112..+0.123) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 20/11* eq:-0.022 (-0.140)
Player: 46.14% (G:10.12% B:0.37%)
Opponent: 53.86% (G:21.91% B:0.94%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.030..-0.014) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=--CABbCBB--a------bbBcbba-:1:1:1:54:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O | | O X O O O O |
| O | | O X O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X X | +---+
| X X | | X O X X | | 2 |
| O X X | | X O X X X | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 105 O: 103 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 54

1. Rollout¹ 8/4 8/3 eq:+0.189
Player: 51.04% (G:5.54% B:0.12%)
Opponent: 48.96% (G:5.13% B:0.16%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (+0.182..+0.196) - [99.4%]

2. Rollout¹ 20/11* eq:+0.175 (-0.013)
Player: 51.96% (G:11.56% B:0.50%)
Opponent: 48.04% (G:18.44% B:0.69%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.168..+0.183) - [0.6%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)