XGID=--BbCBB-D---b------cBcbba-:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O X O O O O |
| | | O X O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| X | | |
| X | | X |
| O X | | X X X O X |
| O X | | X X X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 110 O: 111 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 63

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=--BbCBB-D---b------cBcbba-:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O X O O O O |
| | | O X O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| X | | |
| X | | X |
| O X | | X X X O X |
| O X | | X X X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 110 O: 111 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 63

Kit Woolsey has a nice article on breaking anchor.

https://www.bkgm.com/articles/GOL/Sep02/anchor.htm

Here, timing considerations might seem to suggest breaking anchor.
X is ahead in the pip count and if he doesn't break anchor now, he
has to dump a checker to the 2pt, and he might be forced to break
anchor under more unfavorable conditions next turn. Also, O's board,
while pretty strong, has a blot in it.

However, the rollout below says that 20/11 is a whopper. The thing
is that O's timing is also precarious. If X sits tight, O may very
well be forced to compromise her position immediately. If we give
O some more timing (see variant) then the decision becomes much
closer.

1. Rollout¹ 8/5 8/2 eq:+0.427
Player: 61.13% (G:13.83% B:0.33%)
Opponent: 38.87% (G:7.32% B:0.19%)
Confidence: ±0.013 (+0.414..+0.440) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 20/11 eq:+0.302 (-0.125)
Player: 59.92% (G:14.27% B:0.70%)
Opponent: 40.08% (G:11.12% B:0.15%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (+0.290..+0.315) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=--BbCBB-D---c------cBbbba-:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O X O O O O |
| | | O X O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| X | | |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X X X O X |
| O X | | X X X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 110 O: 120 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 63

1. Rollout¹ 8/5 8/2 eq:+0.354
Player: 59.92% (G:13.34% B:0.49%)
Opponent: 40.08% (G:8.54% B:0.20%)
Confidence: ±0.005 (+0.349..+0.359) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 20/11 eq:+0.330 (-0.024)
Player: 59.78% (G:14.54% B:0.62%)
Opponent: 40.22% (G:10.82% B:0.16%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (+0.324..+0.335) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 8/2 4/1 eq:+0.296 (-0.057)
Player: 58.15% (G:14.22% B:0.43%)
Opponent: 41.85% (G:10.01% B:0.27%)
Confidence: ±0.005 (+0.291..+0.302) - [0.0%]

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

14 Haziran 2022 Salı tarihinde saat 15:38:53 UTC+3 itibarıyla Tim Chow şunları yazdı:

XGID=--BbCBB-D---b------cBcbba-:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O X O O O O |
| | | O X O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| X | | |
| X | | X |
| O X | | X X X O X |
| O X | | X X X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 110 O: 111 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 63
Kit Woolsey has a nice article on breaking anchor.

https://www.bkgm.com/articles/GOL/Sep02/anchor.htm

Here, timing considerations might seem to suggest breaking anchor.
X is ahead in the pip count and if he doesn't break anchor now, he
has to dump a checker to the 2pt, and he might be forced to break
anchor under more unfavorable conditions next turn. Also, O's board,
while pretty strong, has a blot in it.

However, the rollout below says that 20/11 is a whopper. The thing
is that O's timing is also precarious. If X sits tight, O may very
well be forced to compromise her position immediately. If we give
O some more timing (see variant) then the decision becomes much
closer.

1. Rollout¹ 8/5 8/2 eq:+0.427
Player: 61.13% (G:13.83% B:0.33%)
Opponent: 38.87% (G:7.32% B:0.19%)
Confidence: ±0.013 (+0.414..+0.440) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 20/11 eq:+0.302 (-0.125)
Player: 59.92% (G:14.27% B:0.70%)
Opponent: 40.08% (G:11.12% B:0.15%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (+0.290..+0.315) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=--BbCBB-D---c------cBbbba-:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O X O O O O |
| | | O X O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| X | | |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X X X O X |
| O X | | X X X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 110 O: 120 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 63
1. Rollout¹ 8/5 8/2 eq:+0.354
Player: 59.92% (G:13.34% B:0.49%)
Opponent: 40.08% (G:8.54% B:0.20%)
Confidence: ±0.005 (+0.349..+0.359) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 20/11 eq:+0.330 (-0.024)
Player: 59.78% (G:14.54% B:0.62%)
Opponent: 40.22% (G:10.82% B:0.16%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (+0.324..+0.335) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 8/2 4/1 eq:+0.296 (-0.057)
Player: 58.15% (G:14.22% B:0.43%)
Opponent: 41.85% (G:10.01% B:0.27%)
Confidence: ±0.005 (+0.291..+0.302) - [0.0%]

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

Here we should not overlook the pretty aces awarded to O after 20/11. (Variant 2)
Also after 8/5, the spare checkers on the 4 and 5 work well together. If we move the spare checker on the point 4 to point 2, both moves are close. Therefore, the spare checker on the 4 point also have an effect on the decision. (variant 3)

Variant 2
XGID=--BbCBB-D---c------bBcbba-:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O X O O O O |
| | | O X O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| X | | |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X X X O X |
| O X | | X X X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 110 O: 118 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 63

1. XG Roller++ 20/11 eq:+0,585
Player: 65,29% (G:12,81% B:0,45%)
Opponent: 34,71% (G:6,10% B:0,10%)

2. XG Roller++ 8/5 8/2 eq:+0,445 (-0,140)
Player: 62,06% (G:14,37% B:0,44%)
Opponent: 37,94% (G:7,50% B:0,18%)

3. 2-ply 8/2 4/1 eq:+0,364 (-0,221)
Player: 59,59% (G:15,73% B:0,26%)
Opponent: 40,41% (G:7,67% B:0,17%)

4. 2-ply 20/14 8/5 eq:+0,337 (-0,248)
Player: 58,70% (G:15,37% B:0,56%)
Opponent: 41,30% (G:10,42% B:0,24%)

5. 2-ply 20/17 8/2 eq:+0,261 (-0,324)
Player: 56,37% (G:17,14% B:0,61%)
Opponent: 43,63% (G:11,51% B:0,28%)

Variant 3
XGID=--CbBBB-D---b------cBcbba-:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O X O O O O |
| | | O X O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| X | | |
| X | | X |
| O X | | X X X O X |
| O X | | X X X O X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 108 O: 111 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 63

1. Rollout¹ 20/11 eq:+0,259
Player: 58,63% (G:14,01% B:0,66%)
Opponent: 41,37% (G:11,05% B:0,17%)
Confidence: ±0,012 (+0,247..+0,271) - [99,4%]

2. Rollout¹ 8/5 8/2 eq:+0,240 (-0,020)
Player: 56,19% (G:13,09% B:0,31%)
Opponent: 43,81% (G:8,81% B:0,26%)
Confidence: ±0,010 (+0,230..+0,249) - [0,6%]
Duration: 4 minutes 28 seconds

3. 2-ply 20/14 8/5 eq:+0,054 (-0,205)
Player: 50,82% (G:16,72% B:0,85%)
Opponent: 49,18% (G:16,09% B:0,35%)

4. 2-ply 20/17 20/14 eq:+0,019 (-0,240)
Player: 50,61% (G:13,90% B:0,69%)
Opponent: 49,39% (G:15,98% B:0,34%)

5. 1-ply 20/17 8/2 eq:-0,073 (-0,333)
Player: 48,71% (G:11,30% B:0,37%)
Opponent: 51,29% (G:15,08% B:0,34%)


¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-AAbCBB-BB------b--ccBbc--:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O | | O O X O O |
| O | | O O X O O |
| | | O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X |
| X X | | X X X O |
| X X | | X X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 113 O: 107 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 63

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-AAbCBB-BB------b--ccBbc--:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O | | O O X O O |
| O | | O O X O O |
| | | O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X |
| X X | | X X X O |
| X X | | X X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 113 O: 107 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 63

Deciding whether to break anchor in a mutual holding game isn't
usually considered a "pay now or pay later" decision, but there
are some similarities. X can volunteer a direct shot now with
21/18 21/15, and will be in great shape if he is missed (probably
able to double). Or he can sit tight, cover a blot with 8/5 8/2,
and hope that he can cruise home to a win without ever leaving
a shot.

According to the rollout, the decision isn't close. X's broken
five-prime is a great asset that he shouldn't discard lightly.
Unless O rolls her 44 joker or the hit-and-split 42, X will still
have an okay position even if he is hit, because O will still
have work to do to escape her back checkers.

1. Rollout¹ 21/18 21/15 eq:+0.526
Player: 64.57% (G:10.81% B:0.37%)
Opponent: 35.43% (G:10.24% B:0.34%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (+0.514..+0.537) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 8/5 8/2 eq:+0.308 (-0.217)
Player: 58.36% (G:14.60% B:0.38%)
Opponent: 41.64% (G:9.18% B:0.31%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (+0.298..+0.319) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=--CAbBCBB-------b--bBbbcb-:1:-1:1:63:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O | | O X O O O O | +---+
| O | | O X O O O O | | 2 |
| | | O | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| X X | | X X O X |
| X X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 107 O: 94 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 63

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=--CAbBCBB-------b--bBbbcb-:1:-1:1:63:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O | | O X O O O O | +---+
| O | | O X O O O O | | 2 |
| | | O | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| X X | | X X O X |
| X X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 107 O: 94 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 63

X is behind in the race with the weaker board, which often means he
should sit tight. But the alternative is the ugly dumping play of
8/5 8/2, and running isn't *that* dangerous since O has only 4's and
10's to hit, and if she doesn't hit then X may get a shot himself.

If we move O's dead checker on her 2pt to her 9pt, however, then XG
prefers the ugly dump.

1. Rollout¹ 20/14 6/3 eq:-0.194
Player: 49.62% (G:9.22% B:0.48%)
Opponent: 50.38% (G:13.20% B:0.14%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (-0.201..-0.188) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 20/17 20/14 eq:-0.289 (-0.095)
Player: 46.75% (G:6.22% B:0.20%)
Opponent: 53.25% (G:14.97% B:0.25%)
Confidence: ±0.005 (-0.294..-0.284) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 8/5 8/2 eq:-0.304 (-0.109)
Player: 45.10% (G:6.51% B:0.13%)
Opponent: 54.90% (G:8.41% B:0.23%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (-0.310..-0.297) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=--CAbBCBB-------c--bBbbbb-:1:-1:1:63:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| O | | O X O O O O | +---+
| O | | O X O O O O | | 2 |
| O | | | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| | | X X |
| X X | | X X O X |
| X X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 107 O: 101 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 63

1. Rollout¹ 8/5 8/2 eq:-0.319
Player: 44.77% (G:6.39% B:0.11%)
Opponent: 55.23% (G:8.10% B:0.26%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (-0.327..-0.312) - [99.9%]

2. Rollout¹ 20/17 20/14 eq:-0.335 (-0.016)
Player: 45.61% (G:6.95% B:0.18%)
Opponent: 54.39% (G:19.56% B:0.57%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (-0.341..-0.329) - [0.1%]

3. Rollout¹ 20/14 6/3 eq:-0.349 (-0.030)
Player: 46.04% (G:5.73% B:0.17%)
Opponent: 53.96% (G:16.53% B:0.27%)
Confidence: ±0.005 (-0.355..-0.344) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-CB-cBDBaaa--------cbBb-b-:1:-1:1:54:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O X O O | +---+
| | | O O X O O | | 2 |
| | | O | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X O X |
| X | | X X O X X |
| O O O X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 97 O: 147 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 54

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On 9/22/2023 9:45 AM, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=-CB-cBDBaaa--------cbBb-b-:1:-1:1:54:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 |                  |   | O  O  X  O     O | +---+
 |                  |   | O  O  X  O     O | | 2 |
 |                  |   | O                | +---+
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   | X                |
 |                  |   | X     O        X |
 |                X |   | X  X  O     X  X |
 |       O  O  O  X |   | X  X  O     X  X |
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 97  O: 147 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 54

I don't like dumping here but breaking anchor leaves too many shots for
my taste. 21/17 6/1 might be playable, but with 7s 8s 9s to hit in the
outfield and 2s 11s and 12s to hit loose it seems like a guaranteed trip
to the bar. what doesn't hit?

so, I'll dump. Clearing the bar looks a bit better than playing off the
six so I'll do that.

--
Ah....Clem
The future is fun, the future is fair.

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On Friday, September 22, 2023 at 9:45:22 AM UTC-4, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=-CB-cBDBaaa--------cbBb-b-:1:-1:1:54:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O X O O | +---+
| | | O O X O O | | 2 |
| | | O | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X O X |
| X | | X X O X X |
| O O O X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 97 O: 147 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 54

---
Tim Chow

Dumping sounds shitty.

Stick

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

so, I'll dump. Clearing the bar looks a bit better than playing off the
six so I'll do that.

Will X situation be better or worse after the next roll, when he dumps?

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-CB-cBDBaaa--------cbBb-b-:1:-1:1:54:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O X O O | +---+
| | | O O X O O | | 2 |
| | | O | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X O X |
| X | | X X O X X |
| O O O X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 97 O: 147 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 54

Dumping with 7/3 7/2 is essentially a "pay later" type of play. The
trouble is that things aren't likely to get better for X. He is very
likely to have to pay eventually, and killing those two checkers is a
big sacrifice.

In the variant, paying now costs even more in terms of number of shots,
but XG still prefers to pay now.

1. Rollout¹ 21/17 21/16 eq:-0.208
Player: 49.18% (G:18.18% B:0.44%)
Opponent: 50.82% (G:15.24% B:0.39%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.218..-0.197) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 21/17 6/1 eq:-0.263 (-0.055)
Player: 46.88% (G:17.87% B:0.38%)
Opponent: 53.12% (G:15.77% B:0.46%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.275..-0.252) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 21/12 eq:-0.322 (-0.114)
Player: 45.48% (G:16.14% B:0.40%)
Opponent: 54.52% (G:16.02% B:0.45%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.332..-0.311) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ 21/16 6/2 eq:-0.336 (-0.128)
Player: 44.80% (G:17.09% B:0.44%)
Opponent: 55.20% (G:16.79% B:0.44%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.346..-0.325) - [0.0%]

5. Rollout¹ 7/3 7/2 eq:-0.365 (-0.158)
Player: 43.48% (G:17.39% B:0.28%)
Opponent: 56.52% (G:16.34% B:0.53%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.377..-0.354) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=-CB-cBDBa-aa-------cbBb-b-:1:-1:1:54:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O X O O | +---+
| | | O O X O O | | 2 |
| | | O | +---+
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X O X |
| X | | X X O X X |
| O O O X | | X X O X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 97 O: 145 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, O own cube
X to play 54

1. Rollout¹ 21/17 21/16 eq:-0.356
Player: 44.75% (G:16.22% B:0.43%)
Opponent: 55.25% (G:17.72% B:0.44%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (-0.365..-0.347) - [99.6%]

2. Rollout¹ 21/12 eq:-0.376 (-0.020)
Player: 43.93% (G:14.67% B:0.45%)
Opponent: 56.07% (G:16.51% B:0.45%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (-0.388..-0.364) - [0.4%]

3. Rollout¹ 21/17 6/1 eq:-0.392 (-0.036)
Player: 42.80% (G:17.31% B:0.50%)
Opponent: 57.20% (G:18.34% B:0.52%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.402..-0.381) - [0.0%]

4. Rollout¹ 7/3 7/2 eq:-0.405 (-0.049)
Player: 42.55% (G:15.99% B:0.25%)
Opponent: 57.45% (G:16.96% B:0.61%)
Confidence: ±0.011 (-0.416..-0.394) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
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