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  • Holding game cube action?

    From BlueDice@21:1/5 to All on Thu May 5 05:47:10 2022
    XGID=--BA--DbCb-C-B---dabbb----:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
    X:Player 1 O:Player 2

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O | | O O O |
    | X O | | O O O |
    | O | | |
    | O | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | X |
    | X X | | X |
    | X O X O | | X X |
    | X O X O | | X X X |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 114 O: 137 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X on roll, cube action
    --
    BD

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Timothy Chow@21:1/5 to BlueDice on Fri May 6 08:46:53 2022
    On 5/5/2022 8:47 AM, BlueDice wrote:
    XGID=--BA--DbCb-C-B---dabbb----:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
    X:Player 1 O:Player 2

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O | | O O O |
    | X O | | O O O |
    | O | | |
    | O | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | X |
    | X X | | X |
    | X O X O | | X X |
    | X O X O | | X X X |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 114 O: 137 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X on roll, cube action

    Having two "anchors" that are just two apart is usually not
    good for the holder. Here, for example, O will probably want
    to run off her 16pt soon, but will risk exposing a double shot.
    With a 23-pip deficit, my first instinct is to pass. But O's
    structure is considerably better than X's, and X may have trouble
    clearing his remaining outfield points. If O exposes a blot and
    X hits it, O may still be able to hit back and win. The race
    deficit is slightly less than it might seem at first because of
    X's wastage. I guess this is D/T.

    ---
    Tim Chow

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From BlueDice@21:1/5 to BlueDice on Wed May 11 02:46:06 2022
    On Thursday, May 5, 2022 at 1:47:12 PM UTC+1, BlueDice wrote:
    XGID=--BA--DbCb-C-B---dabbb----:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
    X:Player 1 O:Player 2

    Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
    +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
    | X O O | | O O O |
    | X O | | O O O |
    | O | | |
    | O | | |
    | | | |
    | |BAR| |
    | | | |
    | | | X |
    | X X | | X |
    | X O X O | | X X |
    | X O X O | | X X X |
    +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
    Pip count X: 114 O: 137 X-O: 0-0
    Cube: 1
    X on roll, cube action
    --
    BD

    XGR++ result

    Not a huge double

    Analyzed in XG Roller++
    Player Winning Chances: 70.93% (G:4.24% B:0.05%)
    Opponent Winning Chances: 29.07% (G:2.69% B:0.06%)

    Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.434, Double=+0.895

    Cubeful Equities:
    No double: +0.641 (-0.054)
    Double/Take: +0.694
    Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.306)

    Best Cube action: Double / Take

    eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)