On Monday, August 30, 2021 at 3:03:41 AM UTC+1,
[email protected] wrote:
On Monday, August 30, 2021 at 1:31:13 AM UTC+1, Tim Chow wrote:
On 8/29/2021 12:49 PM, [email protected] wrote:
The reason it's obvious is that everyone knows that
acepoint games are passes.
Paul
XGID=-BBBBCB---------a-dcb-e-B-:1:-1:-1:00:4:3:3:0:10
X:eXtremeGammon O:Daniel
Score is X:3 O:4. Unlimited Game, Jacoby Beaver +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O O O O O |
| | | O O O O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| X | | X |
| X | | X X | +---+
| X | | X X X O | | 2 |
| X X | | X X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 80 O: 95 X-O: 3-4
I think only 65 forces X to give O an immediate direct shot, but in
general X's position is awkward enough that I would take this one.
But I think that if X fills in one of his gaps (and O doesn't get a
miracle fly shot) then X loses his market. D/T for me.
I'll give you a clue as to the answer (according to the rollout).
Someone suggests that you should ring a prof in your department regarding your question in combinatorics. (This is before the use of email was widespread).
You reply that it would seem bizarre to call her because her office is right next to yours.
Paul
It's ultra-marginal. My riddle is probably completely obvious but my point is that her office is
"too close to call." Geddit?
Analyzed in Rollout
No redouble
Player Winning Chances: 76.02% (G:4.97% B:0.12%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.98% (G:1.00% B:0.01%)
Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 76.22% (G:4.96% B:0.11%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 23.78% (G:1.02% B:0.01%)
Cubeless Equities: No Double=+0.561, Double=+1.129
Cubeful Equities:
No redouble: +0.867 (-0.128)
Redouble/Take: +0.995
Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.005)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
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