XGID=---bBBD-C---aBb---bbbbb-AA:1:1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O O X |
| X O O | | O O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| X | | X | +---+
| X | | X X X O | | 2 |
| O X | | X X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 141 O: 129 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 21

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=---bBBD-C---aBb---bbbbb-AA:1:1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O O X |
| X O O | | O O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| X | | X | +---+
| X | | X X X O | | 2 |
| O X | | X X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 141 O: 129 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 21

According to XG, this is a close decision at DMP, but hitting
loses too many gammons for money. See also the variant, where
X doesn't have to break his midpoint to hit.

1. Rollout¹ Bar/23 24/23 eq:-0.180
Player: 37.52% (G:8.38% B:0.30%)
Opponent: 62.48% (G:15.31% B:0.72%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (-0.189..-0.171) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/23 13/12* eq:-0.252 (-0.072)
Player: 37.05% (G:10.54% B:0.46%)
Opponent: 62.95% (G:22.22% B:1.52%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (-0.264..-0.241) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=---bBBD-B---aCb---bbbbb-AA:1:1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O O X |
| X O O | | O O O O |
| X | | |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X | +---+
| X | | X X X O | | 2 |
| O X | | X X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 146 O: 129 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 21

1. Rollout¹ Bar/23 24/23 eq:-0.151
Player: 38.71% (G:8.82% B:0.31%)
Opponent: 61.29% (G:15.73% B:0.78%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.159..-0.143) - [81.4%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/23 13/12* eq:-0.157 (-0.006)
Player: 40.34% (G:11.37% B:0.54%)
Opponent: 59.66% (G:22.26% B:1.26%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.167..-0.147) - [18.6%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On Wednesday, December 22, 2021 at 8:07:45 AM UTC-5, Tim Chow wrote:

XGID=---bBBD-C---aBb---bbbbb-AA:1:1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O O X |
| X O O | | O O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| X | | X | +---+
| X | | X X X O | | 2 |
| O X | | X X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 141 O: 129 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 21
According to XG, this is a close decision at DMP, but hitting
loses too many gammons for money. See also the variant, where
X doesn't have to break his midpoint to hit.

1. Rollout¹ Bar/23 24/23 eq:-0.180
Player: 37.52% (G:8.38% B:0.30%)
Opponent: 62.48% (G:15.31% B:0.72%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (-0.189..-0.171) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/23 13/12* eq:-0.252 (-0.072)
Player: 37.05% (G:10.54% B:0.46%)
Opponent: 62.95% (G:22.22% B:1.52%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (-0.264..-0.241) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=---bBBD-B---aCb---bbbbb-AA:1:1:1:21:0:0:0:0:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O O X |
| X O O | | O O O O |
| X | | |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X | +---+
| X | | X X X O | | 2 |
| O X | | X X X O | +---+
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 146 O: 129 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 2, X own cube
X to play 21
1. Rollout¹ Bar/23 24/23 eq:-0.151
Player: 38.71% (G:8.82% B:0.31%)
Opponent: 61.29% (G:15.73% B:0.78%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (-0.159..-0.143) - [81.4%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/23 13/12* eq:-0.157 (-0.006)
Player: 40.34% (G:11.37% B:0.54%)
Opponent: 59.66% (G:22.26% B:1.26%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-0.167..-0.147) - [18.6%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

It's still right by ~.025 or about 1.25% at dmp to anchor.

Stick

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-a--aBD-C---dD---c-d-Ab-A-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O X O X |
| X O | | O O |
| X O | | O |
| X | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X X |
| O X | | X X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 155 O: 151 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 21

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-a--aBD-C---dD---c-d-Ab-A-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O X O X |
| X O | | O O |
| X O | | O |
| X | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X X |
| O X | | X X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 155 O: 151 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 21

Anchoring didn't seem too urgent to me here since O's board isn't
that strong, so I opted to fight for the 4pt. According to XG,
that's a whopper. (Oops, I guess I've been instructed that it's not
a whopper if X plays 24/23 instead of 21/20.) However, in the
variant below, where O's structure is even weaker, XG favors the hit.

1. Rollout¹ 24/21 eq:+0.266
Player: 56.15% (G:13.85% B:0.43%)
Opponent: 43.85% (G:7.66% B:0.30%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (+0.253..+0.278) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 24/23 6/4* eq:+0.167 (-0.099)
Player: 54.27% (G:16.53% B:0.74%)
Opponent: 45.73% (G:14.75% B:0.68%)
Confidence: ±0.016 (+0.151..+0.182) - [0.0%]

3. Rollout¹ 21/20 6/4* eq:+0.166 (-0.100)
Player: 54.36% (G:16.94% B:0.77%)
Opponent: 45.64% (G:14.39% B:0.78%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (+0.151..+0.181) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=-a--aBD-C---dD---d-e-A--A-:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O | | O X X |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O |
| X O | | O |
| | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| O | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X | | X X |
| O X | | X X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 155 O: 159 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 21

1. Rollout¹ 21/20 6/4* eq:+0.412
Player: 58.94% (G:19.38% B:0.89%)
Opponent: 41.06% (G:10.10% B:0.47%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (+0.397..+0.428) - [98.9%]

2. Rollout¹ 24/21 eq:+0.389 (-0.023)
Player: 59.08% (G:15.78% B:0.54%)
Opponent: 40.92% (G:7.01% B:0.28%)
Confidence: ±0.013 (+0.376..+0.402) - [1.1%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-a-b--E-CB--cC---cac-b-A-A:0:0:1:53:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O X |
| X O | | O O |
| X O | | O |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X X | | X O |
| O X X | | X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 159 O: 164 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 53

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-a-b--E-CB--cC---cac-b-A-A:0:0:1:53:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O X |
| X O | | O O |
| X O | | O |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| O X | | X |
| O X X | | X O |
| O X X | | X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 159 O: 164 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 53

I find it easy to get hypnotized by the rhythm of an early-game
blot-hitting contest, but one should always be alert to the
possibility of a consolidating move that is superior to continuing
the fight. Magriel would have had little trouble with this play
decades ago. All his safe/bold criteria point to safety, and this
roll gives X the option of making the golden point.

But see also the variant below, where XG says the decision is much
closer.

1. Rollout¹ Bar/20 23/20 eq:+0.274
Player: 57.17% (G:12.08% B:0.43%)
Opponent: 42.83% (G:8.59% B:0.31%)
Confidence: ±0.014 (+0.261..+0.288) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/22 23/18* eq:+0.176 (-0.098)
Player: 54.09% (G:15.81% B:0.77%)
Opponent: 45.91% (G:13.27% B:0.59%)
Confidence: ±0.019 (+0.157..+0.196) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=-a-b-BC-CB--cC---cac-b-A-A:0:0:1:53:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O X |
| X O | | O O |
| X O | | O |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| O X | | X |
| O X X | | X X O |
| O X X | | X X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 157 O: 164 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 53

1. Rollout¹ Bar/22 23/18* eq:+0.688
Player: 65.14% (G:22.83% B:1.26%)
Opponent: 34.86% (G:8.15% B:0.33%)
Confidence: ±0.020 (+0.668..+0.708) - [69.9%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/20 23/20 eq:+0.681 (-0.007)
Player: 67.27% (G:15.01% B:0.65%)
Opponent: 32.73% (G:6.22% B:0.23%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (+0.667..+0.696) - [30.1%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

In case anyone was suspicious of the short rollout I posted for the
variant, below is a longer (and stronger) rollout.

On 6/16/2022 8:53 AM, I wrote:

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=-a-b-BC-CB--cC---cac-b-A-A:0:0:1:53:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
 +13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
 | X           O  O |   | O     O     X    |
 | X           O    |   | O     O          |
 | X           O    |   | O                |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  | X |                  |
 |                  |BAR|                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 |                  |   |                  |
 | O           X    |   | X                |
 | O        X  X    |   | X  X     O       |
 | O        X  X    |   | X  X     O     O |
 +12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 157  O: 164 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 53

    1. Rollout¹    Bar/22 23/18*                eq:+0.688
      Player:   65.14% (G:22.83% B:1.26%)
      Opponent: 34.86% (G:8.15% B:0.33%)
      Confidence: ±0.020 (+0.668..+0.708) - [69.9%]

    2. Rollout¹    Bar/20 23/20                 eq:+0.681 (-0.007)
      Player:   67.27% (G:15.01% B:0.65%)
      Opponent: 32.73% (G:6.22% B:0.23%)
      Confidence: ±0.015 (+0.667..+0.696) - [30.1%]

¹  1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
   Dice Seed: 271828
   Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

XGID=-a-b-BC-CB--cC---cac-b-A-A:0:0:1:53:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O X |
| X O | | O O |
| X O | | O |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| O X | | X |
| O X X | | X X O |
| O X X | | X X O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 157 O: 164 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 53

1. Rollout¹ Bar/22 23/18* eq:+0.693
Player: 64.91% (G:22.97% B:1.29%)
Opponent: 35.09% (G:8.23% B:0.34%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (+0.683..+0.704) - [71.8%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/20 23/20 eq:+0.689 (-0.004)
Player: 67.37% (G:15.05% B:0.60%)
Opponent: 32.63% (G:6.17% B:0.21%)
Confidence: ±0.009 (+0.680..+0.698) - [28.2%]

¹ 2540 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Search interval: Large

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-a----EBC-a-bCb--bbe---AA-:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O X X |
| X O O O | | O |
| X | | O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| X | | X |
| O X X | | X |
| O O X X | | X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 154 O: 147 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 43

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-a----EBC-a-bCb--bbe---AA-:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O X X |
| X O O O | | O |
| X | | O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| X | | X |
| O X X | | X |
| O O X X | | X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 154 O: 147 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 43

Hitting is tempting, but X has no board, so it doesn't do much other
than gain some pips. On the other hand, O's position would improve significantly if she were to make her 5pt, so that's an urgent reason
to make it ourselves when we have the chance. (Having said all that,
I should say that hitting is XG's play at gammon go.)

In the variant, X has made his 4pt, which makes hitting relatively
more attractive.

1. Rollout¹ 24/20 23/20 eq:+0.065
Player: 50.35% (G:10.80% B:0.28%)
Opponent: 49.65% (G:5.73% B:0.24%)
Confidence: ±0.012 (+0.053..+0.078) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ 24/20 13/10* eq:-0.045 (-0.111)
Player: 48.48% (G:14.47% B:0.78%)
Opponent: 51.52% (G:13.64% B:0.70%)
Confidence: ±0.015 (-0.061..-0.030) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=-a--B-CBC-a-bCb--bbe---AA-:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:0:10

X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O O | | O X X |
| X O O O | | O |
| X | | O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| X | | X |
| O X X | | X X |
| O O X X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 150 O: 147 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 43

1. Rollout¹ 24/20 13/10* eq:+0.452
Player: 59.88% (G:21.74% B:1.42%)
Opponent: 40.12% (G:10.24% B:0.54%)
Confidence: ±0.008 (+0.444..+0.460) - [69.8%]

2. Rollout¹ 24/20 23/20 eq:+0.449 (-0.003)
Player: 59.75% (G:16.87% B:0.45%)
Opponent: 40.25% (G:5.34% B:0.21%)
Confidence: ±0.007 (+0.443..+0.456) - [30.2%]

¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.207.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-ab-bBDBB-A-aB---abbbbA--A:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O X |
| X O | | O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| X X | | X X O O |
| O X X X | | X X O O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 147 O: 177 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 21

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

On Sunday, October 29, 2023 at 9:50:22 AM UTC-4, Timothy Chow wrote:

XGID=-ab-bBDBB-A-aB---abbbbA--A:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O X |
| X O | | O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| X X | | X X O O |
| O X X X | | X X O O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 147 O: 177 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 21

---
Tim Chow

You get to hit the checker that steals the most timing from your opponent, definitely hit.

Stick

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)

XGID=-ab-bBDBB-A-aB---abbbbA--A:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O X |
| X O | | O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| X X | | X X O O |
| O X X X | | X X O O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 147 O: 177 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 21

Bar/23 already allows X's rearmost checker escape with a 6, so the
need to step up to the 22pt is less urgent (and the need for an
anchor is also not urgent because O doesn't have a blitzing structure).
The decision would be very different if O's outfield blot were on X's
11pt instead of his 12pt; see variant below.

1. Rollout¹ Bar/23 13/12* eq:+0.551
Player: 60.79% (G:28.35% B:2.33%)
Opponent: 39.21% (G:12.04% B:1.07%)
Confidence: ±0.024 (+0.527..+0.575) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/22 eq:+0.404 (-0.147)
Player: 58.98% (G:22.10% B:1.51%)
Opponent: 41.02% (G:11.92% B:0.60%)
Confidence: ±0.023 (+0.381..+0.427) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

-------
Variant
-------

XGID=-ab-bBDBB-Aa-B---abbbbA--A:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:0:10

Score is X:0 O:0. Unlimited Game
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O O O X |
| X O | | O O O |
| | | |
| | | |
| | X | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| X X | | X X O O |
| O X X X | | X X O O O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 147 O: 178 X-O: 0-0
Cube: 1
X to play 21

1. Rollout¹ Bar/22 eq:+0.488
Player: 59.97% (G:24.35% B:1.78%)
Opponent: 40.03% (G:11.18% B:0.63%)
Confidence: ±0.022 (+0.467..+0.510) - [100.0%]

2. Rollout¹ Bar/24 13/11* eq:+0.417 (-0.072)
Player: 58.27% (G:26.96% B:2.19%)
Opponent: 41.73% (G:13.29% B:1.18%)
Confidence: ±0.023 (+0.394..+0.440) - [0.0%]

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

---
Tim Chow

--- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
* Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)