• Near-Future SF That Almost Forecast Actual Events

    From Robert Woodward@21:1/5 to All on Fri Jan 17 22:13:55 2025
    People have been writing near-future SF for decades and when the future
    comes, it doesn't resemble those books. However, on occasion there have
    been odd matches.

    For example, I mentioned John Ringo's _The Last Centurion_ some weeks
    back (published in 2008, with most of the events taking place
    2018-2021). In amidst what some would consider to be a "Marty Stu" plot
    are some events that kinda match actual events. A woman that I think is
    a caricature of Hillary Clinton is elected President of the USA in 2016
    with 48.2% percent of the vote, "it was one of those elections" (no
    mention if she had a plurality of the votes or not). Hillary Clinton
    received 48.2% of the vote in 2016, had a plurality of over 2.8 million
    and lost in the Electoral College because it was _Definitely_ one of
    those elections. Oh, yes, the woman elected in 2016 was extremely
    reluctant to admit that her term in office ended on Jan 20, 2021.

    There was also a pandemic started in China (which the government was
    rather slow to admit). However, it started in early 2019 (if not late
    2018), was not a coronavirus, but was bird influenza that jumped to
    human-human transmission. It was about as dangerous to humans as it was
    to birds. In my earlier post, I gave an estimate of the deaths to be
    over 1 billion. After reviewing the text _tLC_, I think 4 billion would
    be a better estimate.

    --
    "We have advanced to new and surprising levels of bafflement."
    Imperial Auditor Miles Vorkosigan describes progress in _Komarr_. �-----------------------------------------------------
    Robert Woodward [email protected]

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From James Nicoll@21:1/5 to [email protected] on Sat Jan 18 15:58:57 2025
    In article <[email protected]>,
    Christian Weisgerber <[email protected]> wrote:
    On 2025-01-18, Robert Woodward <[email protected]> wrote:

    People have been writing near-future SF for decades and when the future
    comes, it doesn't resemble those books. However, on occasion there have
    been odd matches.

    It's hard to beat the Québécois TV show _Épidémie_, which was
    presumably shot in summer 2019, aired from January to March 2020,
    and presented the fictional outbreak of a coronavirus epidemic in
    Montréal.

    Waaaaaaay back in the 1980s, there was a Canadian show about a pandemic originating in Toronto. The city was subjected to a rather brutual
    quarantine. One of the fictional news announcers covering the story
    was oddly gleeful about it all. That guy was played by Tom Cherington,
    who was a well-known (at the time) news guy from Hamilton and he didn't
    care for Toronto _at all_.
    --
    My reviews can be found at http://jamesdavisnicoll.com/
    My tor pieces at https://www.tor.com/author/james-davis-nicoll/
    My Dreamwidth at https://james-davis-nicoll.dreamwidth.org/
    My patreon is at https://www.patreon.com/jamesdnicoll

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Christian Weisgerber@21:1/5 to Robert Woodward on Sat Jan 18 14:29:26 2025
    On 2025-01-18, Robert Woodward <[email protected]> wrote:

    People have been writing near-future SF for decades and when the future comes, it doesn't resemble those books. However, on occasion there have
    been odd matches.

    It's hard to beat the Québécois TV show _Épidémie_, which was
    presumably shot in summer 2019, aired from January to March 2020,
    and presented the fictional outbreak of a coronavirus epidemic in
    Montréal.

    --
    Christian "naddy" Weisgerber [email protected]

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to Nicoll on Sat Jan 18 09:41:08 2025
    On Sat, 18 Jan 2025 15:58:57 -0000 (UTC), [email protected] (James
    Nicoll) wrote:

    In article <[email protected]>,
    Christian Weisgerber <[email protected]> wrote:
    On 2025-01-18, Robert Woodward <[email protected]> wrote:

    People have been writing near-future SF for decades and when the future >>> comes, it doesn't resemble those books. However, on occasion there have >>> been odd matches.

    It's hard to beat the Québécois TV show _Épidémie_, which was >>presumably shot in summer 2019, aired from January to March 2020,
    and presented the fictional outbreak of a coronavirus epidemic in >>Montréal.

    Waaaaaaay back in the 1980s, there was a Canadian show about a pandemic >originating in Toronto. The city was subjected to a rather brutual >quarantine. One of the fictional news announcers covering the story
    was oddly gleeful about it all. That guy was played by Tom Cherington,
    who was a well-known (at the time) news guy from Hamilton and he didn't
    care for Toronto _at all_.

    Cronenberg's /Rabid/ was in 1977. But the city there was Montreal.

    I recently (well, mid-December) saw /Viral/ on Netflix. Sisterhood and
    survival are what it's about.

    And there are surely many many others.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Charles Packer@21:1/5 to Christian Weisgerber on Sun Jan 19 08:58:12 2025
    On Sat, 18 Jan 2025 14:29:26 -0000 (UTC), Christian Weisgerber wrote:

    On 2025-01-18, Robert Woodward <[email protected]> wrote:

    People have been writing near-future SF for decades and when the future
    comes, it doesn't resemble those books. However, on occasion there have
    been odd matches.

    It's hard to beat the Québécois TV show _Épidémie_, which was presumably shot in summer 2019, aired from January to March 2020,
    and presented the fictional outbreak of a coronavirus epidemic in
    Montréal.

    You could go back to 1979, where the movie "The China Syndrome"
    seemed to prophecy the Three-Mile Island accident.

    In 1886 W. T. Stead wrote a novel that seemed to prophecy the
    Titanic disaster. But that was so far ahead of the event that
    it might not have registered in public consciousness as
    prophecy. But he did go down with the Titanic, so he gets
    extra points...

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to [email protected] on Sun Jan 19 09:03:17 2025
    On Sun, 19 Jan 2025 08:58:12 -0000 (UTC), Charles Packer
    <[email protected]> wrote:

    On Sat, 18 Jan 2025 14:29:26 -0000 (UTC), Christian Weisgerber wrote:

    On 2025-01-18, Robert Woodward <[email protected]> wrote:

    People have been writing near-future SF for decades and when the future
    comes, it doesn't resemble those books. However, on occasion there have
    been odd matches.

    It's hard to beat the Qu�b�cois TV show _�pid�mie_, which was presumably
    shot in summer 2019, aired from January to March 2020,
    and presented the fictional outbreak of a coronavirus epidemic in
    Montr�al.

    You could go back to 1979, where the movie "The China Syndrome"
    seemed to prophecy the Three-Mile Island accident.

    "Seemed to prophecy" nothing.

    When it was released, Three-Mile Island was already an event, and the
    wisdom of releasing /The China Syndrome/ so soon after was questioned.

    Most of the concern was alarming the public by including a line of
    dialog suggesting that a meltdown could cause the reactor to descend
    to the core of the Earth, with catastrophic consequences. Which, of
    course, did not happen, either at TMI or in the film.

    If you like, you can point out that it was, no doubt, written and made
    before TMI. But I don't think that works as a prophecy, since nobody
    knew about it.

    In 1886 W. T. Stead wrote a novel that seemed to prophecy the
    Titanic disaster. But that was so far ahead of the event that
    it might not have registered in public consciousness as
    prophecy. But he did go down with the Titanic, so he gets
    extra points...
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Paul S Person@21:1/5 to [email protected] on Mon Jan 20 08:17:30 2025
    On Sun, 19 Jan 2025 12:13:06 -0500, Cryptoengineer
    <[email protected]> wrote:

    On 1/19/2025 12:03 PM, Paul S Person wrote:
    On Sun, 19 Jan 2025 08:58:12 -0000 (UTC), Charles Packer
    <[email protected]> wrote:

    On Sat, 18 Jan 2025 14:29:26 -0000 (UTC), Christian Weisgerber wrote:

    On 2025-01-18, Robert Woodward <[email protected]> wrote:

    People have been writing near-future SF for decades and when the future >>>>> comes, it doesn't resemble those books. However, on occasion there have >>>>> been odd matches.

    It's hard to beat the Qu�b�cois TV show _�pid�mie_, which was presumably >>>> shot in summer 2019, aired from January to March 2020,
    and presented the fictional outbreak of a coronavirus epidemic in
    Montr�al.

    You could go back to 1979, where the movie "The China Syndrome"
    seemed to prophecy the Three-Mile Island accident.

    "Seemed to prophecy" nothing.

    When it was released, Three-Mile Island was already an event, and the
    wisdom of releasing /The China Syndrome/ so soon after was questioned.

    Can you give a cite for that? According to Wikipedia, the film was
    release 12 days *before* Three-Mile-Island.

    IMDB: Movie release date: March 16, 1979.
    Wikipedia: TMI: March 28, 1979

    [...]

    If you like, you can point out that it was, no doubt, written and made
    before TMI. But I don't think that works as a prophecy, since nobody
    knew about it.

    Given that it was in theaters before and during the accident, I think it >actually does work as prophecy.

    That's not the timing as I remember it ... but it's been a long time.

    So, yes, it /could/ be seen as prophetic. By those who saw it in the
    first 12 days, anyway.
    --
    "Here lies the Tuscan poet Aretino,
    Who evil spoke of everyone but God,
    Giving as his excuse, 'I never knew him.'"

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)