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  • Re: Swinging voters

    From Tony@21:1/5 to Gordon on Tue Sep 12 03:58:00 2023
    Gordon <[email protected]> wrote: >https://www.neighbourly.co.nz/public/christchurch/avondale/message/70222338

    I came across this, which is a straw poll. However the results are not as I >would expect, not that I have seen any studies on the amount (%) of swinging >voters.

    The 44.9% seems very high to me.

    This might be accounted for the fact that the question is "Will your vote be >vastly different this year?"

    However in the UK it is 33%, has been up to 43%. Can not find swing voter
    for NZ.

    https://theconversation.com/how-many-voters-really-switch-parties-in-british-elections-what-the-evidence-tells-us-127690

    On side line, this is a good summing up. All parties need to take heed of
    the message.

    https://www.gisborneherald.co.nz/column/campaign-promises-rarely-swing-an-election
    Interesting. I think the last link is valid and I argely agree with it.
    However the first two links both make the same mistake, they ignore people who have no political allegiances. And I believe there are a lot of people in that group, a significant percentage.
    Those two links refer to swinging voters and the word swinging makes the same error. A swing means move from one political view to another and ignores those that do not allow politics to significantly affect their opinions.
    I am one such and I know many, many others. There are more of us than most people might understand.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Gordon@21:1/5 to All on Tue Sep 12 03:21:47 2023
    https://www.neighbourly.co.nz/public/christchurch/avondale/message/70222338

    I came across this, which is a straw poll. However the results are not as I would expect, not that I have seen any studies on the amount (%) of swinging voters.

    The 44.9% seems very high to me.

    This might be accounted for the fact that the question is "Will your vote be vastly different this year?"

    However in the UK it is 33%, has been up to 43%. Can not find swing voter
    for NZ.

    https://theconversation.com/how-many-voters-really-switch-parties-in-british-elections-what-the-evidence-tells-us-127690

    On side line, this is a good summing up. All parties need to take heed of
    the message.

    https://www.gisborneherald.co.nz/column/campaign-promises-rarely-swing-an-election

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
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