• Coin Tosses Are Not 50/50

    From JAB@21:1/5 to All on Wed Oct 11 06:17:43 2023
    Coin Tosses Are Not 50/50: Scientists Toss 350,757 Coins And Prove Old
    Theory

    Look closely at the starting position if you want to win.

    In sports, coin tosses are often used to decide who goes first, or
    pick who goes to bat for the first part of the game.

    It seems fair. You'd assume that as coins have two sides and you
    introduce a random element (flipping the coin and catching it), the
    odds of it coming up with your pick is 50/50 (or one in two). But
    researchers have crunched the numbers, looking at an impressive
    350,757 coin tosses, and found that coin tosses are not 50/50 after
    all. You can tip the odds ever so slightly in your favor.

    According to one team led by American mathematician Persi Diaconis,
    when you toss a coin you introduce a tiny amount of wobble to it.

    "According to the Diaconis model, precession causes the coin to spend
    more time in the air with the initial side facing up," a new team
    writes in a pre-print paper that has not yet been peer-reviewed.
    "Consequently, the coin has a higher chance of landing on the same
    side as it started (i.e., 'same-side bias')."

    https://www.iflscience.com/coin-tosses-are-not-5050-scientists-toss-350757-coins-and-prove-old-theory-71047

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