On 5/29/2025 9:58 AM, Jethro_uk wrote:
May well go down in history as May 28th 2025 :)
Is the tariff case onwards and upwards to SCOTUS ?
Will they have to rule in the next 10 days before the administration has
to remove tariffs ?
Will the administration just ignore the court, and POTUS pardon any individual held in contempt ?
Was this development a surprise to anyone ?
Or is this the moment where judges find themselves being run out of town
by a mob of MAGA faithful.
How would the US public react to a headline of mugshots of the judges and
the headline "ENEMIES OF THE PEOPLE" ?
Who needs Netflix or Amazon ?
I don't think the ruling was a surprise, especially considering the wide
scale nature of the tariffs. I think the courts recognize the
president's right to declare tariffs in a national emergency like a
steel shortage, but this goes well beyond that. A deficiency of the
original law may be that it is too vague in defining what would
constitute an emergency. I believe it only mentions "unusual and
extraordinary threat" without even giving good examples.
The courts have traditionally been pretty lenient as past presidents
have used the law to justify actions in places like Iran, Syria and
North Korea, but this case clearly goes well beyond that as the
President has imposed tariffs on friendly countries like Mexico and
Canada which theoretically are of no threat to us. The Supreme Court
will almost certainly step in quickly and the president will almost
certainly comply. With pretty much a 3-3-3 split or perhaps a 4-2-3
split on the court between conservative, moderate and liberal (with
Roberts and Barrett as the key moderate votes and sometimes Kavanaugh),
There is no way to predict how they will decide.
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