• POTUS immunity - possiblities

    From Jethro_uk@21:1/5 to All on Sat Sep 28 07:13:57 2024
    Out of interest, in the next 5 weeks, what could Joe Biden do with the
    immunity SCOTUS has bestowed on him ?

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  • From Stan Brown@21:1/5 to All on Sat Sep 28 21:52:27 2024
    On Sat, 28 Sep 2024 07:13:57 -0700 (PDT), Jethro_uk wrote:

    Out of interest, in the next 5 weeks, what could Joe Biden do with the immunity SCOTUS has bestowed on him ?

    Nothing, because he is a decent man. It will be interesting to see if
    Judge Chutkan unseals the grand jury report that Jack Smith presented
    to her a couple of days ago. And it will be even more interesting to
    see if the effect is similar to what happened in 2016 when the FBI
    merely said Hilary Clinton had been under investigation.

    What _I_ wonder about is what President Biden will do between Nov 5th
    and Jan 6th if America votes for Trump. He could, for example,
    declare martial law and then order a revote in all the states, or
    some of them, with Federal troops supervising. Or he could simply
    refuse to accept Trump electoral votes, under the 14th Amendment,
    despite the Supreme Court's ruling.

    Do I think that's very likely? No, because unlike Trump, Biden
    believes in the peaceful transfer of power, which includes admitting
    it when your side has lost. But is it possible? Yes, thanks to the
    SCOTUS. Since Biden is not a candidate, there could be no question
    that he was acting as President and not as a candidate (unlike Trump
    in 2021), so I think he would be in the clear legally. And he could
    make a convincing case that he was preserving democracy, based on
    Trump's announcing to "my beautiful Christians" that if they voted
    him in there would be no need for any further elections.

    The Constitution guarantees "a republican form of government" to
    every state, but does not make the same guarantee for the Federal
    government. The Founders didn't even foresee political parties, or a
    civil war over slavery. They _did_ foresee a President trying to make
    himself king -- see the Federalist Papers -- but they believed that
    the legislature and the judiciary would restrain the executive. We've
    seen that safeguard fail repeatedly, and the danger to the United
    States is as grave as it was in 1861. Lincoln stretched the powers of
    the Presidency to fight and win that war; thanks to the stunningly
    bad decision by SCOTUS, Biden wouldn't have to stretch at all.

    --
    Stan Brown, Tehachapi, California, USA https://BrownMath.com/
    Shikata ga nai...

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  • From micky@21:1/5 to Brown on Sun Sep 29 21:35:03 2024
    In misc.legal.moderated, on Sat, 28 Sep 2024 21:52:27 -0700 (PDT), Stan
    Brown <[email protected]> wrote:

    On Sat, 28 Sep 2024 07:13:57 -0700 (PDT), Jethro_uk wrote:

    Out of interest, in the next 5 weeks, what could Joe Biden do with the
    immunity SCOTUS has bestowed on him ?

    Nothing, because he is a decent man.

    To nitpick, possibly, he asked "could", not "would". But even if Biden
    were evil, tactically it would seem to me better to wait until after the election. A good chance Harris will win. (Although even then, that
    there are 41 or 43 or 48% of the voters that would vote for trump is so
    very depressing.)

    It will be interesting to see if
    Judge Chutkan unseals the grand jury report that Jack Smith presented
    to her a couple of days ago.

    One pundit predicted Yes, and within 2 weeks of the date she got it.

    And it will be even more interesting to
    see if the effect is similar to what happened in 2016 when the FBI
    merely said Hilary Clinton had been under investigation.

    Comey is trying to rehab himself by saying a few negative things about
    trump. I don't know why he escaped total condemnation for what he did
    to Hillary.

    What _I_ wonder about is what President Biden will do between Nov 5th
    and Jan 6th if America votes for Trump. He could, for example,
    declare martial law and then order a revote in all the states, or

    They're having to reprint all the election materials in N. or S.
    Carolina because RFK Jr. dropped out after the deadline, and ballots or something had already gone out, but a court insisted they reprint them
    anyhow and now many people will be in violation of state law, because
    they have been forced to miss the statutory deadline. Of course this
    was done to benefit trump since he will get most of RFK's votes. BTW,
    it will cost the counties millions and millions of dollars to reprint
    and re-mail.

    I thought of this because a revote in all the states will cost the
    states or counties lots of money. Might be cheaper just to destroy the ballots from some red states like Texas, say they were lost in a fire
    and since they were not certified in time, they don't get to be
    counted***. That has the advantage? that it's the reciprocal of
    Republican plans to not certify one or more Republican counties in
    Democratic states so that those states can't cast their electoral votes.
    ***I'm thinking this lowers the total number of electoral votes cast
    while keeping the Democratic votes the same so even if the Dems appear
    to have less than 270, they wouldn't need 270 anymore, only more than
    the Reps.

    Biden couldn't be prosecuted (Until the SC hears the case and decides to revisit their decision and decides he can be, because the goal of the
    immunity decision was never to do justice but to help trump.) but all
    the people beneath him could. Now trump doesn't care about the little
    people, and even I think, to make an omelet, you have to break a few
    eggs, so if some people working for Biden get imprisoned for setting
    Texas ballots aflame, it's worth it, and they'd probably agree. This
    sounds far easier to do than some of the Mission Impossible squad's achievements on TV, and those guys were always ready to go to barbaric *foreign* jails or even be executed.

    Even though some/many Mission Impossible plots are too complicated and
    too dependant on vinyl masks to take seriously, and even though no POW
    camp in Germany accomplished 1/20th or 1/1000th of what Stalag 13 did on Hogan's Heroes, when I watch either show, I'm still reminded of how many patriots this country has had who risked or gave their lives for the US, compared to trump and his many assistants.

    some of them, with Federal troops supervising. Or he could simply
    refuse to accept Trump electoral votes, under the 14th Amendment,
    despite the Supreme Court's ruling.

    Sounds simpler.

    Do I think that's very likely? No, because unlike Trump, Biden
    believes in the peaceful transfer of power, which includes admitting

    Peaceful and legal transfer of power. The first four of trump's 5-step
    plan to steal the last election were all peaceful. (I don't think
    "doing violence to the law" is included in what most people think of as
    violent or non-peaceful.)

    it when your side has lost. But is it possible? Yes, thanks to the
    SCOTUS. Since Biden is not a candidate, there could be no question
    that he was acting as President and not as a candidate (unlike Trump
    in 2021), so I think he would be in the clear legally. And he could
    make a convincing case that he was preserving democracy, based on
    Trump's announcing to "my beautiful Christians" that if they voted
    him in there would be no need for any further elections.

    OTOH, trump said that if he lost Jews would be to blame. I think the
    word is not blame but credit (although with only 2.5% of the population,
    we probably shouldn't get much of either).

    The Constitution guarantees "a republican form of government" to
    every state, but does not make the same guarantee for the Federal
    government. The Founders didn't even foresee political parties, or a
    civil war over slavery. They _did_ foresee a President trying to make
    himself king -- see the Federalist Papers -- but they believed that
    the legislature and the judiciary would restrain the executive. We've
    seen that safeguard fail repeatedly, and the danger to the United
    States is as grave as it was in 1861.

    Worse, because afaik, the South only wanted to secede. It didn't seek to destroy the governmental system for the North. Much worse, because the southern secessionists envisioned a democracy in the south, with blacks
    still slaves but that would have been no worse than it had been, and a democracy in the north, probably with no slaves. Two democracies.

    Lincoln stretched the powers of
    the Presidency to fight and win that war; thanks to the stunningly
    bad decision by SCOTUS, Biden wouldn't have to stretch at all.

    Good point.

    --
    I think you can tell, but just to be sure:
    I am not a lawyer.

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  • From Barry Gold@21:1/5 to micky on Mon Sep 30 16:48:24 2024
    On 9/29/2024 9:35 PM, micky wrote:
    I thought of this because a revote in all the states will cost the
    states or counties lots of money. Might be cheaper just to destroy the ballots from some red states like Texas, say they were lost in a fire
    and since they were not certified in time, they don't get to be
    counted***. That has the advantage? that it's the reciprocal of
    Republican plans to not certify one or more Republican counties in
    Democratic states so that those states can't cast their electoral votes. ***I'm thinking this lowers the total number of electoral votes cast
    while keeping the Democratic votes the same so even if the Dems appear
    to have less than 270, they wouldn't need 270 anymore, only more than
    the Reps.

    If you destroy some of the ballots in (e.g.) Texas, the remaining ones
    would be counted and Texas would still certify 38 electors and transmit
    the results to the President of the Senate (that is, the current Veep)
    and the Archivist of the United States. (Also to the state's Secretary
    of State and to the judge of the district where they meet. That's four
    copies, and it would be kind of hard to destroy all of them.)

    If you destroy *all* the ballots, I suspect the TX state legislature
    would decide, and the current Supreme Court would back them up. (In
    fact, I suspect even the pre-Trump SC would do that, it's the logical
    thing to do.)

    Note that the Constitution says: "Each State shall appoint, in such
    Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors,
    equal to the whole Number of Senators and Representatives to which the
    State may be entitled in the Congress"

    It doesn't say that the legislature can itself appoint the electors. If
    a state legislature decided to ignore the popular vote and appoint the
    electors directly, there would be good reason for SCOTUS to say, "No,
    you can't do that." Unfortunately, I suspect their ruling would depend
    on which way the legislature went. If they chose electors for Trump,
    SCOTUS will probably approve it. If they choose electors for Harris,
    SCOTUS will probably disapprove it. If two or more legislatures do
    opposite things, I have no idea what SCOTUS will decide. That would be a
    very difficult question. Trying to rule in favor of one and against the
    other while preserving the illusion of being nonpartisan would be very difficult.

    But I think that a legislature could enact a rule _before the election_
    that says if the popular vote is tainted by ballot destruction or other problems, the legislature will decide, and I think that would pass
    SCOTUS scrutiny.

    --
    I do so have a memory. It's backed up on DVD... somewhere...

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  • From Rick@21:1/5 to Stan Brown on Mon Sep 30 23:01:12 2024
    On 9/29/2024 12:52 AM, Stan Brown wrote:
    On Sat, 28 Sep 2024 07:13:57 -0700 (PDT), Jethro_uk wrote:

    Out of interest, in the next 5 weeks, what could Joe Biden do with the
    immunity SCOTUS has bestowed on him ?

    Nothing, because he is a decent man. It will be interesting to see if
    Judge Chutkan unseals the grand jury report that Jack Smith presented
    to her a couple of days ago. And it will be even more interesting to
    see if the effect is similar to what happened in 2016 when the FBI
    merely said Hilary Clinton had been under investigation.

    What _I_ wonder about is what President Biden will do between Nov 5th
    and Jan 6th if America votes for Trump. He could, for example,
    declare martial law and then order a revote in all the states, or
    some of them, with Federal troops supervising. Or he could simply
    refuse to accept Trump electoral votes, under the 14th Amendment,
    despite the Supreme Court's ruling.

    Do I think that's very likely? No, because unlike Trump, Biden
    believes in the peaceful transfer of power, which includes admitting
    it when your side has lost. But is it possible? Yes, thanks to the
    SCOTUS. Since Biden is not a candidate, there could be no question
    that he was acting as President and not as a candidate (unlike Trump
    in 2021), so I think he would be in the clear legally. And he could
    make a convincing case that he was preserving democracy, based on
    Trump's announcing to "my beautiful Christians" that if they voted
    him in there would be no need for any further elections.

    The Constitution guarantees "a republican form of government" to
    every state, but does not make the same guarantee for the Federal
    government. The Founders didn't even foresee political parties, or a
    civil war over slavery. They _did_ foresee a President trying to make
    himself king -- see the Federalist Papers -- but they believed that
    the legislature and the judiciary would restrain the executive. We've
    seen that safeguard fail repeatedly, and the danger to the United
    States is as grave as it was in 1861. Lincoln stretched the powers of
    the Presidency to fight and win that war; thanks to the stunningly
    bad decision by SCOTUS, Biden wouldn't have to stretch at all.


    I doubt seriously if any of that would happen in the real world - not
    because Biden is a "decent man" (which he is) but because the other
    branches of government would not allow it to happen. Contrary to what
    some people seem to think, the Supreme Court did not issue blanket
    immunity to presidents to do whatever they want. They left it up to the
    courts and individual judges to determine if presidential actions are
    truly presidential or just personal. It's not a big stretch to assume
    that declaring martial law after your VP and party lost an election and ordering a re-vote would be regarded as personal - especially when
    ordered by an elderly president whose own party already effectively
    declared he was too old to function as president and denied him the
    nomination. There would be immediate court injunctions requested to
    prevent this and I think they would be granted.

    You also need support from the military to order the kind of martial law
    you are suggesting, and I don't think he would get that. I frankly
    think that if he reacted to the election in the way you suggest, there
    would be a quick bipartisan effort to remove him from office via 25th
    amendment and subsequent impeachment and conviction.

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  • From Stan Brown@21:1/5 to Rick on Tue Oct 1 21:09:52 2024
    On Mon, 30 Sep 2024 23:01:12 -0700 (PDT), Rick wrote:
    I doubt seriously if any of that would happen in the real world - not
    because Biden is a "decent man" (which he is) but because the other
    branches of government would not allow it to happen.

    Meaning no disrespect, that is an extremely na�ve statement. Have you
    forgotten that a Republican-dominated Senate twice refused to convict
    Trump, despite his obvious guilt? And have you forgotten that the
    Mitch McConnell SCOTUS granted Trump (or Vance, or anyone) blanket
    permission to run an insurrection, unless Congress passes legislation
    to enforce the 14th Amendment, which is immensely unlikely?

    The checks and balances that we learned in civics class and have
    always depended on are broken. A necessary condition for fixing them
    -- necessary, though it may or may not be sufficient -- is to keep
    the current Republican candidate out of the White House and break the Republican stranglehold on Congress. That's not hyperbole: the
    Republican party has doubled down again and again on choosing
    subservience to Dear Leader over their oaths to the Constitution.

    Contrary to what
    some people seem to think, the Supreme Court did not issue blanket
    immunity to presidents to do whatever they want. They left it up to the courts and individual judges to determine if presidential actions are
    truly presidential or just personal.

    Right -- through a process which is guaranteed, every time a
    President claims immunity as a defense, to spawn appeals to circuit
    court and then to Supreme court on the immunity question, wasting
    months to years. And in the unlikely event that a district court's
    ruling of "not immune" is actually upheld, that will just start the
    next round of trial, appeal to circuit court, and appeal to the
    Supreme Court on the substance of the crimes.

    --
    Stan Brown, Tehachapi, California, USA https://BrownMath.com/
    Shikata ga nai...

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  • From Jethro_uk@21:1/5 to Stan Brown on Wed Oct 2 06:01:31 2024
    On Tue, 01 Oct 2024 21:09:52 -0700, Stan Brown wrote:

    On Mon, 30 Sep 2024 23:01:12 -0700 (PDT), Rick wrote:
    I doubt seriously if any of that would happen in the real world - not
    because Biden is a "decent man" (which he is) but because the other
    branches of government would not allow it to happen.

    Meaning no disrespect, that is an extremely naïve statement. Have you forgotten that a Republican-dominated Senate twice refused to convict
    Trump, despite his obvious guilt? And have you forgotten that the Mitch McConnell SCOTUS granted Trump (or Vance, or anyone) blanket permission
    to run an insurrection, unless Congress passes legislation to enforce
    the 14th Amendment, which is immensely unlikely?

    The checks and balances that we learned in civics class and have always depended on are broken. A necessary condition for fixing them --
    necessary, though it may or may not be sufficient -- is to keep the
    current Republican candidate out of the White House and break the
    Republican stranglehold on Congress. That's not hyperbole: the
    Republican party has doubled down again and again on choosing
    subservience to Dear Leader over their oaths to the Constitution.

    Contrary to what some people seem to think, the Supreme Court did not
    issue blanket immunity to presidents to do whatever they want. They
    left it up to the courts and individual judges to determine if
    presidential actions are truly presidential or just personal.

    Right -- through a process which is guaranteed, every time a President
    claims immunity as a defense, to spawn appeals to circuit court and then
    to Supreme court on the immunity question, wasting months to years. And
    in the unlikely event that a district court's ruling of "not immune" is actually upheld, that will just start the next round of trial, appeal to circuit court, and appeal to the Supreme Court on the substance of the crimes.

    Most countries can get by with just one massive civil war. It seems the
    US may need two at least.

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  • From Rick@21:1/5 to Stan Brown on Wed Oct 2 05:58:55 2024
    On 10/2/2024 12:09 AM, Stan Brown wrote:
    On Mon, 30 Sep 2024 23:01:12 -0700 (PDT), Rick wrote:
    I doubt seriously if any of that would happen in the real world - not
    because Biden is a "decent man" (which he is) but because the other
    branches of government would not allow it to happen.

    Meaning no disrespect, that is an extremely naïve statement. Have you forgotten that a Republican-dominated Senate twice refused to convict
    Trump, despite his obvious guilt? And have you forgotten that the
    Mitch McConnell SCOTUS granted Trump (or Vance, or anyone) blanket
    permission to run an insurrection, unless Congress passes legislation
    to enforce the 14th Amendment, which is immensely unlikely?

    The checks and balances that we learned in civics class and have
    always depended on are broken. A necessary condition for fixing them
    -- necessary, though it may or may not be sufficient -- is to keep
    the current Republican candidate out of the White House and break the Republican stranglehold on Congress. That's not hyperbole: the
    Republican party has doubled down again and again on choosing
    subservience to Dear Leader over their oaths to the Constitution.

    Meaning no disrespect, to use your words, but have you forgotten that
    the Republican Senate you think is so evil was elected by the people
    through a democratic process defined by our Constitution? As elected
    officials they have a perfect right to make the decision they wanted in
    the impeachment trials, and as a citizen you have a perfect right to try
    to convince your fellow citizens to try to change the Constitution to
    follow a different process. Democracy doesn't mean that you get to
    agree with every decision made by our legally elected officials. To
    think otherwise is, to use your own words, extremely naive.




    Contrary to what
    some people seem to think, the Supreme Court did not issue blanket
    immunity to presidents to do whatever they want. They left it up to the
    courts and individual judges to determine if presidential actions are
    truly presidential or just personal.

    Right -- through a process which is guaranteed, every time a
    President claims immunity as a defense, to spawn appeals to circuit
    court and then to Supreme court on the immunity question, wasting
    months to years. And in the unlikely event that a district court's
    ruling of "not immune" is actually upheld, that will just start the
    next round of trial, appeal to circuit court, and appeal to the
    Supreme Court on the substance of the crimes.


    But again, the Supreme Court you also think is evil was appointed by
    presidents who were legally elected according to a process defined by
    our Constitution. The tone of your remarks suggests that we are all
    under the control of a dictatorship who forced its way into controlling
    our nation. Not true. Our government is legally elected by us - the
    people - and the Supreme Court was legally and duly appointed by
    officials who were also legally and duly elected by our democratic society.

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  • From Stuart O. Bronstein@21:1/5 to Rick on Wed Oct 2 11:45:52 2024
    Rick <[email protected]> wrote:

    But again, the Supreme Court you also think is evil was appointed by presidents who were legally elected according to a process defined by
    our Constitution. The tone of your remarks suggests that we are all
    under the control of a dictatorship who forced its way into
    controlling our nation. Not true. Our government is legally elected
    by us - the people - and the Supreme Court was legally and duly
    appointed by officials who were also legally and duly elected by our democratic society.

    A majority of Supreme Court members were appointed by Republican presidents
    who lost the popular vote. Some were rushed through without proper investigation, and have been taking a wrecking ball not only to well established precedent, but have made decisions that make no sense under the terms of the Constitution, but only make sense from a purely partisan viewpoint.

    Just because the people elect someone to Congress doesn't mean that person
    has any faithfulness to the Constitution, law or fairness.

    --
    Stu
    http://DownToEarthLawyer.com

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  • From Rick@21:1/5 to Stuart O. Bronstein on Thu Oct 3 06:15:45 2024
    On 10/2/2024 2:45 PM, Stuart O. Bronstein wrote:
    Rick <[email protected]> wrote:

    But again, the Supreme Court you also think is evil was appointed by
    presidents who were legally elected according to a process defined by
    our Constitution. The tone of your remarks suggests that we are all
    under the control of a dictatorship who forced its way into
    controlling our nation. Not true. Our government is legally elected
    by us - the people - and the Supreme Court was legally and duly
    appointed by officials who were also legally and duly elected by our
    democratic society.

    A majority of Supreme Court members were appointed by Republican presidents who lost the popular vote. Some were rushed through without proper investigation, and have been taking a wrecking ball not only to well established precedent, but have made decisions that make no sense under the terms of the Constitution, but only make sense from a purely partisan viewpoint.

    Just because the people elect someone to Congress doesn't mean that person has any faithfulness to the Constitution, law or fairness.


    That's actually not true. Three of the members were appointed by Trump
    who indeed lost the popular vote. But Roberts and Alito were appointed
    by G.W. Bush during his second term, and he did win the popular vote for
    that second term over Kerry.

    And it wouldn't matter anyway because our Constitution does not require presidents to receive a majority of the national popular vote - it
    requires winning a majority of the electoral vote. People often like to
    make a big deal out of the fact that both Trump and G.W. Bush for his
    first term lost the popular vote - but what you forget is that those
    campaigns were run knowing that the election would be decided based on electoral and not popular vote. The candidates would have campaigned differently and focused on different states if the election were based
    on popular vote, and there's really no way to know what the outcome
    would have been in those or other close elections.

    As for your comment that recent Supreme Court decisions have taken "a
    wrecking ball not only to well established precedent, but have made
    decisions that make no sense under the terms of the Constitution, but
    only make sense from a purely partisan viewpoint" - I actually think
    that comment itself comes across as highly partisan. You're certainly
    entitled to your opinion, of course, but I don't think you can deny my
    basic premise that the Court was legally appointed by presidents and
    approved by a Senate that were legally elected under the rules of our Constitution. The Court was not appointed by dictators or autocrats or monarchs or anyone who forced their way into power using the military or
    any non-democratic process. The Court members were appointed by a legal democratic process that is 100% consistent with our Constitution.

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