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In article <sro1ui$86a8$
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[email protected] wrote:
...Democrats fuck up everything they touch.
Homebuying froze in Los Angeles and Orange counties in November,
plunging sales 44% to a record low as house payments jumped 53%
or more.
Sales totaled 5,878 in the two counties, down 4,686 from
November 2021, according to data from CoreLogic. It was the
slowest November in records dating to 1988 and the second-
biggest 12-month decline. Closed transactions for single-family
homes and condos, existing and new construction ran 43% below
the average November since 1988.
Economic skittishness, especially soaring inflation, and pricier
home loans have frozen the housing market. Surging mortgage
rates also cut buying power by 35% in a year, making the
region�s high home prices even more unaffordable.
Let�s look at where the L.A.-O.C. cooldown was most intense,
starting with November�s sales.
Los Angeles County had 4,118 sales, down 11% in a month and 44%
lower in a year. Orange County had 1,760 � down 17% in a month
and 45% lower in a year.
Next, consider how prices moved.
In Los Angeles County, the $785,000 median was down 2% in a
month and 1% higher in a year. It�s also 9% off the $865,000
record high set in April 2022.
Orange County had a $960,000 median � up 1.1% in a month and 5%
higher in a year. It�s also 9% off the $1,054,000 peak of May
2022.
Payment pain
Pricier financing is clearly a culprit.
The 30-year mortgage averaged 6.8% vs. 3.1% 12 months earlier.
Here�s what my trusty spreadsheet tells us about how the rate
jump changed a typical homebuyer�s house payment �
Los Angeles County: Buyers got a $4,094 estimated cost per month
for the $785,000 median vs. $2,669 a year ago on the $781,100
median, 53% higher.
Orange County: Buyers got a $5,007 payment on $960,000 median
vs. $3,126 on a year ago�s $915,200 � 60% higher.
Single-family homes
Sales: Los Angeles County�s 2,866 transactions were down 12% in
a month and 44% lower in a year. Orange County�s 1,004 sales
were down 17% in a month and 49% lower in a year.
Prices: Los Angeles County�s $830,000 median was down 2% in a
month and 2% lower in a year. Orange County�s $1,062,000 median
was down 4% in a month and 3% higher in a year.
Condos
Sales: Los Angeles County had 911 units sold � down 13% in a
month and 50% lower in a year. Orange County had 453 units sold
� down 22% in a month and 51% lower in a year.
Prices: Los Angeles County�s $637,000 median was down 3% in a
month and 1% lower in a year. Orange County�s $680,000 median
was down 3% in a month and 4% higher in a year.
New homes
Sales: Los Angeles County builders sold 255 � down 4% in a
month and 28% lower in a year. Orange County had 301 sold �
down 8% in a month and 4% lower in a year.
Prices: Los Angeles County�s $841,500 median was down 6% in a
month and 8% higher in a year. Orange County�s $1,070,000 median
was up 12% in a month and 13% higher in a year.
Builder share: Los Angeles County�s 6.2% last month compares to
4.8% 12 months earlier. Orange County�s 17.1% last month vs.
compares to 9.8% 12 months earlier.
Jonathan Lansner is the business columnist for the Southern
California News Group. He can be reached at
[email protected]
<
https://www.ocregister.com/2023/01/07/los-angeles-orange-county- homebuying-plummets-44-to-record-low/>
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