• The Truth About Crime, Demographics, and Illegal Immigration

    From John Smyth@21:1/5 to All on Fri Aug 8 11:25:33 2025
    XPost: alt.fan.rush-limbaugh, alt.politics.republicans, alt.computer.workshop

    Something the people who live in these sanctuary cities know full well.

    'The Truth About Crime, Demographics, and Illegal Immigration'

    <https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2025/08/truth-about-crime-demographics-illegal-immigration/>

    'Mainstream narratives about crime and immigration have increasingly
    divorced themselves from empirical reality.

    Although government databases show clear demographic patterns in violent
    crime and gang activity, media outlets and Democrat administrations, particularly under Barack Obama and Joe Biden, have suppressed,
    distorted, or discontinued key crime data collection programs that once supported national law enforcement efforts.

    Many jurisdictions, particularly those with sanctuary policies, do not
    track or report crimes by immigration status, meaning offenses committed
    by illegal aliens are often excluded from official statistics.

    Major Democrat-led cities such as New York, Los Angeles, and
    Philadelphia failed to submit crime data during the FBI’s transition to
    the NIBRS system, further weakening the accuracy of national crime
    reporting.

    Flawed conclusions based on incomplete or biased secondary sources, such
    as academic studies, think tank reports, and media summaries, have
    gained widespread acceptance.

    These sources typically rely on conviction and incarceration data, which
    omit cases where suspects evade trial.

    This is especially significant in sanctuary cities and jurisdictions
    where illegal immigrants are released without bail and fail to appear.

    In 2017, 43% of aliens released before trial disappeared.

    From 1996 to 2017, 37% of aliens released pending trial failed to
    appear, and 75% of all deportation orders during that period were issued
    for failure to appear. Nearly one million of these orders remain
    unenforced.

    Despite these systemic failures, studies asserting that sanctuary
    policies have no effect on crime rates continue to rely on conviction
    data alone.

    The suppression of relevant crime data is not a recent phenomenon.

    Under the Obama administration, several foundational crime and drug intelligence programs were dismantled, widening the existing data gap.

    The National Drug Intelligence Center (NDIC), which had served for 19
    years as the nation’s primary hub for strategic domestic counterdrug intelligence, was closed in 2012.

    NDIC produced critical reports on drug trafficking organizations, gang activity, and links to terrorism.

    That same year, the Arrestee Drug Abuse Monitoring (ADAM) program was discontinued, cutting off a vital source of drug use data among
    arrestees. These closures eliminated key channels for gathering,
    analyzing, and distributing actionable intelligence.

    Around the same period, the FBI stopped issuing gang intelligence
    reports, including the National Gang Threat Assessment and National
    Youth Gang Survey.

    Before its end, the Gang Threat Assessment reported that gangs,
    primarily composed of Latino and Black members, were responsible for
    over half of violent crimes in many jurisdictions.

    CBP data continues to identify criminal aliens involved in drug
    trafficking, weapons offenses, and homicide, often with gang ties.

    Combined with local policies that restrict immigration data sharing, the
    loss of these programs has hindered law enforcement’s ability to monitor
    and respond to gang activity and crimes committed by illegal aliens.

    Without comprehensive, disaggregated reporting, national crime data
    remains fragmented and unreliable.

    The impact of underreporting is especially significant when accounting
    for gang-related crime.

    Although gang members make up only about 3% of the prison population,
    they are linked to over 50% of violent incidents in some jurisdictions.

    They are twice as likely to reoffend and have violent offense rates
    three times higher than non-gang delinquents. Despite their small
    population share, they are responsible for over 11% of all crimes.

    Gang affiliation often extends and intensifies criminal careers,
    amplifying the total impact of gang-related crime, particularly when
    connected to illegal immigration.

    FBI data also show that gang membership is not demographically uniform.

    Approximately 46% of gang members are Hispanic or Latino, 35% are Black,
    11% are white, and 7% belong to other groups.

    With an estimated 33,000 gangs operating nationwide, many are ethnically defined, with race or ethnicity often serving as a criterion for
    membership.

    Compounding the problem, many Democrat-led jurisdictions failed to
    report crime data. In 2022, only 24% of police departments in New York submitted reports, including major agencies like the NYPD and Suffolk
    County.

    California reported at 49%, omitting Los Angeles, San Francisco, and
    Oakland. Pennsylvania submitted data from just 9% of departments,
    Illinois from 52%, and Maryland from 38%.

    These gaps in reporting from major urban areas significantly weaken the accuracy and reliability of national crime statistics.

    These patterns show how the lack of primary data reporting, combined
    with policy-driven suppression, leads to distorted conclusions about
    crime and demographics.

    The refusal to track immigration status, the release of suspects without
    bail, the non-reporting of crime data by jurisdictions, and the
    dismantling of federal intelligence programs have all contributed to an incomplete picture.

    Meanwhile, mainstream media continues to distort data and shape public perception, promoting the belief that open borders are safe, illegal
    immigrants reduce crime, and that white Christian nationalists pose the greatest security threat.

    Under Trump, accurate data will be collected and published through
    primary sources, but media outlets are likely to dismiss any findings
    that challenge their narrative as disinformation'

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Mitchell Holman@21:1/5 to John Smyth on Fri Aug 8 18:34:32 2025
    XPost: alt.fan.rush-limbaugh, alt.politics.republicans, alt.computer.workshop

    John Smyth <[email protected]> wrote in news:[email protected]:

    Something the people who live in these sanctuary cities know full
    well.

    'The Truth About Crime, Demographics, and Illegal Immigration'

    <https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2025/08/truth-about-crime-demographic s-illegal-immigration/>

    'Mainstream narratives about crime and immigration have increasingly
    divorced themselves from empirical reality.

    Although government databases show clear demographic patterns in
    violent crime and gang activity, media outlets and Democrat
    administrations, particularly under Barack Obama and Joe Biden, have suppressed, distorted, or discontinued key crime data collection
    programs that once supported national law enforcement efforts.


    Utter tripe.

    National crime data numbers are
    collected and issued by the FBI in
    its yearly Uniform Crime Report.

    And who appointed the last few
    FBI Directors?

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)
  • From Gronk@21:1/5 to John Smyth on Thu Aug 14 23:18:44 2025
    XPost: alt.fan.rush-limbaugh, alt.politics.republicans, alt.computer.workshop

    John Smyth wrote:



    https://www.zmescience.com/science/news-science/immigrants-commit-fewer-crimes/

    Since the 1960s, US-born citizens are twice
    as likely to be incarcerated as immigrants.

    New research spanning 150 years of U.S.
    history provides a startling answer:
    immigrants are consistently less likely to
    commit crimes than their US-born peers.

    Researchers led by Stanford economist Ran
    Abramitzky analyzed incarceration rates of
    immigrant and US-born men aged 18 to 40 —
    the demographic most likely to be imprisoned.
    Their dataset, which spans 1870 to 2019, is
    the most comprehensive examination of its
    kind. It pulls from decennial censuses,
    large census samples, and the American
    Community Survey.

    The findings are clear. From 1870 to 1960,
    incarceration rates among immigrants and
    US-born citizens were similar. But starting
    in the 1960s, a dramatic divergence emerged.
    By 2019, US-born men were incarcerated at
    rates nearly double those of immigrants —
    approximately 3,000 per 100,000 compared to
    fewer than 1,500 per 100,000 for immigrants.

    Whether from Europe, Mexico, China, or
    Central America, immigrants consistently
    exhibit lower incarceration rates than
    US-born men. This trend holds even when
    comparing immigrants to US-born white men,
    among whom incarceration rates have
    historically been lower than other
    demographic groups.

    “The data show exactly the opposite [of
    popular assumptions]: throughout American
    history, immigrants have consistently had
    similar or lower incarceration rates than
    US-born citizens,” the researchers wrote.


    https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aeri.20230459
    Law-Abiding Immigrants: The Incarceration Gap
    between Immigrants and the US-Born, 1870–2020

    Abstract
    We provide the first nationally representative
    long-run series (1870–2020) of incarceration
    rates for immigrants and the US-born. As a
    group, immigrants have had lower incarceration
    rates than the US-born for 150 years. Moreover,
    relative to the US-born, immigrants'
    incarceration rates have declined since 1960:
    immigrants today are 60 percent less likely to
    be incarcerated (30 percent relative to US-born
    Whites). This relative decline occurred among
    immigrants from all regions and cannot be
    explained by changes in observable
    characteristics or immigration policy. Instead,
    the decline is part of a broader divergence of
    outcomes between less-educated immigrants and
    their US-born counterparts.

    --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05
    * Origin: fsxNet Usenet Gateway (21:1/5)