• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0991

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to [email protected] on Fri Jun 5 22:24:51 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 052224
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 052224=20
    MIZ000-WIZ000-060030-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0991
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0524 PM CDT Fri Jun 05 2026

    Areas affected...Parts of central/northern WI and southern Upper MI

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 274...

    Valid 052224Z - 060030Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 274
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A threat for locally damaging wind and isolated hail may
    spread east-southeastward into the early evening.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of occasionally strong storms is ongoing at
    2215 UTC across parts of northwest WI. MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg and
    effective shear of 30-35 kt are marginally supportive of organized
    convection, though relatively weak midlevel lapse rates and
    low-level flow have hindered potential for a more substantial severe
    threat thus far. With time, expanding outflow within a steep
    low-level lapse rate environment could support an increasing threat
    for damaging wind as convection moves east-southeastward, and
    isolated hail cannot be ruled out with the strongest embedded
    updrafts.=20

    An isolated severe threat will spread to the north and east of WW
    274 into early evening. The need for a new watch is uncertain given
    current trends, but these storms will be monitored for an uptick in
    storm organization through 00 UTC.

    ..Dean/Gleason.. 06/05/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_KXxVkS276jTJLQ7drjGDuzY6exlnZ4-WqXs24EmC-B5HlfwvGuKbDLaZicbEqWyJHJZETVZR= WBu6HDONzdBfYz62VU$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...MKX...DLH...ARX...MPX...

    LAT...LON 46128990 46298865 46198805 46088782 45938764 45808757
    45438765 45238772 45148777 44638820 43888891 43718978
    43929106 44179168 44419196 44599232 44819138 45409040
    46128990=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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